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Thread: hurricane season 2017

  1. #1
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    Default hurricane season 2017


    North Coast Moderator

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  3. #2
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    Where is Mike?

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    Quote Originally Posted by DR Solar View Post
    Where is Mike?


    I'm guessing he has a life outside of DR1.........








    Unlike me.......

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    Quote Originally Posted by DR Solar View Post
    Where is Mike?
    Gone fishing!

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    Here is the forecast for 2017 courtesy Stormcarib http://stormcarib.com/

    Below normal hurricane season forecasted


    As a long time tradition the scientists at Colorado State have issued their Atlantic Hurricane Activity forecast. Philip Klotzbach and his team is calling for a slightly below average season. They expect 11 named storms (12 is normal), 4 hurricanes (6.5 is normal) of which 4 might become big ones (Cat-3+, 3.9 is normal).
    The probability of at least one major hurricane traveling through the Caribbean is 34% (42% is normal). The main reasons for this is that the Atlantic is pretty cool at the moment due to a persistent positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation, also, it looks like there might be weak El Nino conditions developing in the summer, which is not conducive to hurricane formation either.
    Three Caribbean locations have an above 10% change that a major hurricane will track within 50 miles some time during hurricane season: The Bahamas (29%), Cuba (19%) and Mexico (13%). Not sure how they calculate this, but it looks like size/area is a factor too.
    In any case, even if chances are small, there is still a chance! Only one big hurricane hitting your island will spoil your whole season! So, regardless, be ready! The best thing is to prepare now. Check that all your shutters are ready, have some supply of water, food, batteries and other emergency supplies. You all should know the drill by now. It is a lot easier to prepare for things now then just a few days before a storm might hit, when everyone else is scrambling at the grocery and home improvement stores

    Thanks to GERT of StormCarib

    Olly

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  10. #6
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    StormCarib is a great resource. I've used it for years.

  11. #7
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    2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season:
    Arlene-Bret-Cindy-Don-Emily-Franklin-Gert-Harvey-Irma-Jose-Katia-Lee-Maria-Nate-Ophelia-Philippe-Rina-Sean-Tammy-Vince-Whitney.

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    I saw this in twitter, does anyone know what it means?


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    Quote Originally Posted by Marilyn View Post
    I saw this in twitter, does anyone know what it means?

    That blue area with the L is a low pressure system.

    Click on the bolded words to follow a link to a listing of sites that explain it in depth.

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