Page 187 of 187 FirstFirst ... 87137177185186187
Results 1,861 to 1,865 of 1865

Thread: hurricane season 2017

  1. #1861
    Platinum
    Join Date
    Feb 2006
    Posts
    12,152
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by william webster View Post
    Mike, I'm still looking at the storm... slow mover still but Wow , it looks big !!

    Is it bigger now ?
    yes, it grew a lot on size, specially towards it's stronger northern directions.
    big beast.

    Mike


  2. #1862
    Bronze
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Posts
    602
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Holy crap I hate to see what she brings next

  3. #1863
    Platinum
    Join Date
    Feb 2006
    Posts
    12,152
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by robbie View Post
    Holy crap I hate to see what she brings next
    it is a Storm, not a she, lol.
    it is slow moving and keeps it's high strength, despite struggling under it's absolutely non perfect construction.
    since destroyed in PR over Land it never recovered.
    the machines system is interrupted on many ends/points. no round closed Center and the windshear coming from the south west is injecting dryer air in bothering quanities, hence as i mentioned above, it is very large on size on it's nortehrn sides, specially the NE, but the SW looks dry and weak. Thunderstorm activity sent out to the SW just puffs into thin air, like some Magic let it disappear. such is most likely due dry air on that side and windshear blowing from that same SW towadrs the Storm.
    due those struggles and the fact that it did not manage to rebuild a real closed Center, intensification is not very likely, at least not much and not quick, even that Maria runs over perfectly hot waters on a favorable forward speed.
    It will continue over thosehot watertemps for the next 36hrs maybe 48hrs, then Maria reaches the Cold Wake of Jose.
    Jose been up thereon very slow forwards speed, for a day even completely stationary, so it stirred up cold waters from the depths. the SST Maps show those cooler Surface Temps where Jose took a rest for a long while before it's remnants moved on.
    as far as tracking goes the ridge ahead is forecasted to break.
    that break would force the actually northwards moving Storm further to the West.
    the airflow over the US Coast will not allow a Landfall, at least not under given and forecasted conditions,
    but Maria has good chances to come very close to the Carolinas, striking distance for TS-Force winds over the Outer Banks there i give good chances for, as Maria is a large Storm running a large and still slowly growing windfield which send's out TS-Force over a long distance.
    again, I don't believe it could manage against the airflow over the US Eastcoast to reach land,
    it will do the typical curve N, NNE, NE and out on Sea then.
    but i see it due the Eastward move of the High blocking it's Noth Track, forecasted bu the very reliable european model on such shifting conditions, drifting significantly West from the actual North Track,
    coming as close as 150 miles to the Outer Banks, maybe a 100 miles only,
    which would bring TS Force over there.
    should not be the big danger, but you never know what changes on such tracking last minute and would shift a piece more here and there, it sure will be observed closely by the Carolinas the next couple days,
    to maybe get ready for ****ty conditions on the outer banks and surroundings.
    this year they seem all be so exceptionally long living.
    look where Irma came from and how far it went, even deep into the US Mainland after it's many prior encounters with land.
    and Jose, look how old this Storm is and how old it became and still was a Hurricane by then, hanging stationary so far up North off the US Coast for so long.
    and now Maria, crossing all PR with it's core destroyed but continued as a Major Hurricane to smash on the DR, getting the inner completely taken apart again and messed around but leaveing that smack down as a Hurricane with 125mphr windforces and growing immense on size, still wandering as a Monster up there and expected to stay on for many more days to come.
    they have this year some magic to get very old, to keep running no matter what the conditions or hits are.

    Mike

  4. #1864
    Moderator
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Posts
    16,680
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Stormy all night in Punta Cana area, still raining this morning.
    Moderator East Coast Forum


    www.DR1.com

  5. #1865
    Platinum
    Join Date
    Feb 2006
    Posts
    12,152
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    calm and dry in Cabeza de Toro, cloudy tho.
    like yesterday the Caterpilar is on Duty all day long digging boats out of the sand on the beach,
    people are out from dawn til dusk taking seaweed away.
    the water itself looks nice, but it was heavy loads up on the beach of course.

    Maria continues it's way out northwards without threatening Land at this time,
    but has to be vigilated the next few days by the Carolinas area,
    as shifting currents could bring it further W than shown on the Forecast.
    it would still not hit the Mainland, but could come into TS Distance for the Outer Banks Region.

    Lee, which was down and dead, will also become an other of those long living 2017 Storms.
    not threathening and, it is trapped under a ridge that does not allow it to continue the journey to Hurricanes Grave.
    it should linger for days in the actual Area, circleing. an other one which will wander S again and come back on a W Course.

    actually no dangers out there for our Isle for the next days, let's enjoy that break mid Season.
    we have still many long weeks to go.

    Mike

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Single Sign On provided by vBSSO