Fernandez, if no high jinks!
All serious (Hamilton, Gallup, Penn & Schoen) polls have Fernandez at about 55, Hippo at about 25-27 and Estrella at about 15....
I foresee Fernandez 58, Hippo 30, Estrella 10, others 2.
At the last minute, a lot of the Estrella people will go with whom they foresee will be the winner and 2 to 1 they will go to Fernandez, at least, also, the undecided you can split 2-1-1....all this, of course, is just using logic and common sense based on the various, serious polls....however....two things:
Hippo's people are capable of any and everything and they control the legislative and judicial branches and the electoral tribunal so, there are many factors than can make it possible for them to steal the first round, at least (for those that aren't aware, on May 16th, whomever gets 50% + 1 vote will win, otherwise, a second round with the two top finishers will be necessary on June 30)....secondly, if Fernandez wins on May 16th, Hippo's people will take everything, including paper clips and rubber bands during the 90-day transition period and will be ticked off and taking it out on the population with blackouts, etc.