"Lennie"

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Tom

Guest
I have two friends scheduled to leave tonight for SDQ, is Trop Dep Lennie causing any weather problems? They were looking for a few days of sun, is this a bad few days predicted?

Thanks

Tom
 
A

Anon

Guest
Re: Hurricane Lenny

The Weather Channel reports this storm has just been upgraded to a hurricane. Looks like this one bears careful watching!!
 
D

DR One

Guest
Re: Hurricane Lenny

From its present track, this hurricane requires close monitoring by those in the DR. It looks like it may affect travel plans of those coming to Santo Domingo and to the Southeast and East Coast tourism areas as of Tuesday.

It is very likely we will have heavy rains from Monday through Thursday. This Sunday evening it is drizzling in Santo Domingo.

Lenny will not affect travel to Puerto Plata unless it changes course.

This will be the first hurricane in the area this late in the season that I can recall. If it is a hurricane category one or two, most everything will be back to normal in a day or two. Thus, it is unlikely tourists will have to interrupt their vacation as occurred during Hurricane Georges in 1998. Moreover, after Georges, new construction at hotels went up in such a way to resist hurricanes. In Santo Domingo, Georges left trees pruned, so felled branches will not be a problem this time either if the hurricane does affect the city.

Also note that hurricanes can turn into tropical storms or change course.

To monitor the hurricane, some good links with information are:

<A HREF="http://www.weather.com/weather_center/trop_season">http://www.weather.com/weather_center/trop_season</A>/

<A HREF="http://www.usatoday.com/weather/huricane/images/atlantic_track_lenny.htm">http://www.usatoday.com/weather/huricane/images/atlantic_track_lenny.htm</A>

<A HREF="http://www.gopbi.com/weather/storm/atlantic/lenny.html">http://www.gopbi.com/weather/storm/atlantic/lenny.html</A>

<A HREF="http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/home1.shtml">http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/home1.shtml</A>

<A HREF="http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at199916.html">http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at199916.html</A>

<A HREF="http://www.intellicast.com/Tropical/World/UnitedStates/HurTrack1">http://www.intellicast.com/Tropical/World/UnitedStates/HurTrack1</A>/
 
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Tom

Guest
Re: "Lenny" from AP

Hurricane Lenny Threatens Jamaica

.c The Associated Press

MIAMI (AP) - Tropical Storm Lenny escalated to hurricane strength Sunday, bringing thunderstorms and a threat of flooding to Jamaica.

Saturday afternoon, Lenny's center was about 175 miles west-southwest of Kingston, Jamaica, with top sustained winds of 80 mph, the National Hurricane Center in Miami reported.

A tropical storm becomes a hurricane once its top sustained winds reach 74 mph.

Lenny, the 12th named storm of the Atlantic season, was moving east at about 6 mph. Forecasters expect 5 to 10 inches of rain and storm surge flooding of 2 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the island's coast.

The storm also is likely to affect the southern portion of Haiti by early Tuesday, the hurricane center said. ********************************************************************** AP-NY-11-14-99 1850EST
 
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Tom

Guest
Re: Hurricane Lenny/track

Dolores

Have you ever before noted a storm forming so far West in the Gulf and then travelling east?

Tom
 
D

DR One

Guest
Re: Hurricane Lenny/track

Historical data on November hurricanes.
 
A

arcoiris

Guest
Re: Hurricane Lenny/track

we are getting pretty good at hurricane watching and warning. Practice makes perfect. thanks Tom, and dr1!
 
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Tom

Guest
Re: "Lenny" from AP @ 2:45pm Mon

Lenny Churns Past Jamaica

.c The Associated Press

xhl(Hurricane Lenny Mostly Spares Jamaica, Taking an Eastward Course That Threatens Haiti and the Dominican Republic With Wind and Heavy Rain%xhl)

MIAMI (AP) - Hurricane Lenny churned south of Jamaica today, taking an eastward course that largely spared that island but threatened Haiti and the Dominican Republic with wind and heavy rain.

The eighth hurricane of the Atlantic season, which was packing 100 mph wind, also could affect Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The Atlantic hurricane season officially ends Nov. 30.

A hurricane watch was posted for the south coast of Haiti and the Dominican Republic, and a hurricane watch may be required for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands later today, U.S. hurricane forecasters said.

A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch that had been posted for Jamaica was discontinued because the storm's easterly path posed less of a threat for that island.

At 1 p.m. EST, Lenny's center was located about 250 miles south-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, the National Hurricane Center in Miami said.

Lenny, the 12th named storm of the Atlantic season, was moving toward the east-southeast at 14 mph with maximum sustained wind of 100 mph. The storm had strengthened early in the day, but forecasters said this afternoon that there were preliminary indications that the storm could be weakening slightly.

The mainland United States will not be affected, said hurricane specialist Richard Pasch.

Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches were likely along the hurricane's path.

``At the moment, the threat is the moisture coming down over a mountainous area and the potential for rain, even if there is not a direct hit,'' Pasch said.

Tropical storm or hurricane conditions were expected to affect southern Haiti by early Tuesday.

``We expect rain and its consequences, flooding and landslides,'' said Ronald Semelfort, a meteorologist at Haiti's national weather office. He said the storm threatened as many as four of Haiti's southern provinces, including the capital, Port-au-Prince.

Only a few hours after becoming a named a tropical storm Sunday, Lenny escalated to hurricane strength. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane once its top sustained wind reaches 74 mph.

AP-NY-11-15-99 1442EST
 
T

Tom

Guest
Re: "Lenny" from AP @ 3pm Mon/forced eva

Hurricane Lenny Grows Stronger

.c The Associated Press

By MICHAEL NORTON

PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti (AP) - Hurricane Lenny grew stronger Monday and threatened Haiti and the Dominican Republic - hilly, rain-saturated lands where the expected heavy downpours could cause dangerous flooding.

The southern coasts of the two countries that share the island of Hispaniola were under a hurricane watch, and the storm also was being followed closely by residents of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Lenny passed south of Jamaica on Monday and a hurricane watch there was canceled.

Noting the hurricane's unusual eastbound route, the U.S. National Weather Service warned, ``Do not be fooled. This is a potentially very serious situation.''

Meteorologist Ronnie Semexant of Haiti's weather bureau said people on the south coast were being asked to evacuate to higher ground. ``The land is already saturated from heavy rains, meaning that the slightest rain will cause flooding,'' he said. ``If the warnings are not heeded, it means certain death for many.''

Lenny was moving east at 14 mph Monday afternoon with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph. Hurricane winds extended 25 miles from the center and tropical storm winds another 85 miles.

The storm appeared to be weakening slightly, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said. It could drop up to 10 inches of rain on Haiti, and its winds could whip up 13- to 16-foot waves, forecasters said.

Lenny's appearance so late in the hurricane season revived memories of Tropical Storm Gordon, which struck in November 1994 and killed at least 1,000 people in Haiti's southern provinces, drowning them in torrential streams or burying them in mudslides.

Hurricane Georges swept over Hispaniola last year, killing more than 220 people in Haiti and 283 in the Dominican Republic, according to official counts that were considered low.

On Monday, only a minority had heard the warnings in Haiti because many are too poor to afford radios. ``I'm afraid people won't be informed quickly enough,'' said civil defense director Bertony Malette.

Haiti is the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere, a place where eroded hills and remote, ramshackle settlements make for great vulnerability to floods and mudslides.

``We're in the hands of God,'' said 31-year-old cook Jesula Merilien in Port-au-Prince.

Authorities in the Dominican Republic urged residents living near rivers or in low-lying areas to evacuate and warned those who refused would be forcibly moved. The southwest was flooded by heavy rains from the hurricane's outer storm bands Sunday and Monday.

Lenny soaked southern Jamaica on Sunday, but caused no major damage.

In Puerto Rico, Gov. Pedro Rossello met with emergency officials Monday to discuss setting up shelters and coordinating efforts. Although homes in the U.S. territory tend to be better built, its low-lying coastal areas remain vulnerable to flooding.

Lenny is the eighth Atlantic hurricane this year. The Atlantic hurricane season officially ends Nov. 30.

AP-NY-11-15-99 1500EST
 
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Natasha

Guest
Re: "Lenny" from AP @ 3pm Mon/forced eva

Thank you Tom for the updates. This is really unusual, a hurricane during this time of year. God willing all will be fine.

Regards,

Natasha
 
D

DR One

Guest
There seems to be a wait-and-see attitude about Lenny in the population, as preparations are put into place. This especially, with the southern turn of the hurricane as it pushes east.

Note Dominicans got lots of practice after Hurricane Georges in September 1998. We now know what our homes and businesses can take. The government Civil Defense last night gave a red alert on television.

Given the track of the hurricane, a direct hit is not expected but everyone is monitoring closely the storm. Torrential rains are expected, and the government is especially alerting on the danger of floods and mudslides. It has been raining on and off on the south of the island for several days now.

Public and private schools told students to stay home tomorrow, to allow them to prepare for the hurricane. Many public schools will be used as refuge. Heavy rains also spell major floods, so the least traffic in Santo Domingo, the better.

Resorts in the area of influence of the hurricane are well prepared for the brunt, that should at the most mean a day or two of staying inside for visiting tourists. Since the worst of the hurricane is expected to pass at midnight Tuesday and morning Wednesday, most will not even notice it.

To monitor the hurricane, some good links with information are: <A HREF="http://www.weather.com/weather_center/trop_season">http://www.weather.com/weather_center/trop_season</A>/

<A HREF="http://www.usatoday.com/weather/huricane/images/atlantic_track_lenny.htm">http://www.usatoday.com/weather/huricane/images/atlantic_track_lenny.htm</A>

<A HREF="http://www.gopbi.com/weather/storm/atlantic/lenny.html">http://www.gopbi.com/weather/storm/atlantic/lenny.html</A>

<A HREF="http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/home1.shtml">http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/home1.shtml</A> (then click on Tropical cyclone link)

<A HREF="http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at199916.html">http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at199916.html</A>

<A HREF="http://www.intellicast.com/Tropical/World/UnitedStates/HurTrack1">http://www.intellicast.com/Tropical/World/UnitedStates/HurTrack1</A>/
 
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Katia

Guest
Can anyone keep us posted day to day on this hurricane. I'm terrified as to what will happen. My boyfriend lives in San Pedro de Macoris, an area which can be terribly affected by this hurricane.

For all the Dominicans, I'm praying for you.

Katia