May 16 Election: The Ecomist's Prediction Mirros Mine - Leonel's Party Wins, But..

aegap

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Mar 19, 2005
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May 16 Election: The Economist's Predictions Mirror Mine - Leonel's Party Wins, But..

The political scene has been dominated in recent months by the approach of the mid-term congressional and local elections, which are to be held on <ST1:DMay 16th.</ST1:D
[...]
Mr Fern?ndez won a strong mandate at the May 2004 election and remains popular, but his Partido de la Liberaci?n Dominicana (PLD) party has a weak position, owing to its poor showing at the congressional vote in 2002. In the Senate (the upper house), the opposition Partido Revolucionario Dominicano (PRD) has 29 seats, whereas the PLD holds only one. In the Chamber of Deputies (the lower house), the PLD is better placed, with 41 seats out of 150, but the PRD still holds 73 seats, and the third-largest party, the Partido Reformista Social Cristiano (PRSC), holds 36 seats.

[...]
The PRD and the PRSC have formed an electoral alliance called the Gran Alianza Nacional, but popularly known as the Alianza Rosada. The alliance is a tactical move by both parties designed to improve their electoral chances, rather than a step towards a merger, which is quite unlikely. The parties have in the past been bitter rivals, and the alliance is largely a reflection of the internal weaknesses from which they are suffering.

The Economist Intelligence Unit assumes that the result of the mid-term elections on May 16th 2006 will leave the ruling Partido de la Liberacion Dominicana (PLD) in a stronger position than in the 2002-06 Congress, but still short of an [absolute] majority.

The latest opinion poll in April for the May 16th congressional and local elections has the PLD-led Bloque Progresista on 41.7% of voting intentions and the PRD-PRSC Gran Alianza Nacional on 41.4%. This is in line with our view that the PLD will be the largest party in Congress, but will need to negotiate reforms with the opposition.

[..]
According to a Gallup-Hoy poll in April, the seats look likely to be evenly distributed between the government Bloque Progresista, which attracted 41.7% of voting intentions, and the Gran Alianza Nacional (41.4%). Although this would make the PLD the single largest party in Congress, the government would not have a majority, obliging the president to negotiate with opposition parties. The PRD-PRSC alliance is an electoral tactic and the [PRD and PRSC] will not necessarily vote together in opposition in the next congressional term. Before the pact, the PRSC had been relatively supportive of the executive.
[...]

[article]
 
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asopao

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Aug 6, 2005
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aegap said:
The political scene has been dominated in recent months by the approach of the mid-term congressional and local elections, which are to be held on <ST1:DMay 16th.</ST1:D
[...]
Mr Fern?ndez won a strong mandate at the May 2004 election and remains popular, but his Partido de la Liberaci?n Dominicana (PLD) party has a weak position, owing to its poor showing at the congressional vote in 2002. In the Senate (the upper house), the opposition Partido Revolucionario Dominicano (PRD) has 29 seats, whereas the PLD holds only one. In the Chamber of Deputies (the lower house), the PLD is better placed, with 41 seats out of 150, but the PRD still holds 73 seats, and the third-largest party, the Partido Reformista Social Cristiano (PRSC), holds 36 seats.

[...]
The PRD and the PRSC have formed an electoral alliance called the Gran Alianza Nacional, but popularly known as the Alianza Rosada. The alliance is a tactical move by both parties designed to improve their electoral chances, rather than a step towards a merger, which is quite unlikely. The parties have in the past been bitter rivals, and the alliance is largely a reflection of the internal weaknesses from which they are suffering.

The Economist Intelligence Unit assumes that the result of the mid-term elections on May 16th 2006 will leave the ruling Partido de la Liberacion Dominicana (PLD) in a stronger position than in the 2002-06 Congress, but still short of an [absolute] majority.

The latest opinion poll in April for the May 16th congressional and local elections has the PLD-led Bloque Progresista on 41.7% of voting intentions and the PRD-PRSC Gran Alianza Nacional on 41.4%. This is in line with our view that the PLD will be the largest party in Congress, but will need to negotiate reforms with the opposition.

[..]
According to a Gallup-Hoy poll in April, the seats look likely to be evenly distributed between the government Bloque Progresista, which attracted 41.7% of voting intentions, and the Gran Alianza Nacional (41.4%). Although this would make the PLD the single largest party in Congress, the government would not have a majority, obliging the president to negotiate with opposition parties. The PRD-PRSC alliance is an electoral tactic and the [PRD and PRSC] will not necessarily vote together in opposition in the next congressional term. Before the pact, the PRSC had been relatively supportive of the executive.
[...]

[article]

Lo que quedan se van ! E'pa fuera que van !

PLD all the way !
 

mariaobetsanov

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Jan 2, 2002
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With a few million pesos everything can and was purchased. I voted in Licey and the PLD was paying $500. pesos per vote and was also done in La Paloma on the line, without shame. Next elections will need UN and no loitering within the area.
 

Robert

Stay Frosty!
Jan 2, 1999
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mariaobetsanov said:
With a few million pesos everything can and was purchased. I voted in Licey and the PLD was paying $500. pesos per vote and was also done in La Paloma on the line, without shame. Next elections will need UN and no loitering within the area.

Just out of curiosity, how do they know you would vote PLD?