Of course Leonel will run again and win again. Those who even doubt that don't know a thing about Dominican politics. It's been thay way since Balaguer's times (probably even before then)...the current president always says he won't run at the begginning of the term and then by election time they change their tune. Balaguer always ran because "el pueblo se lo pide...cuatro anos mas por necesidad...". Leonel didn't try to run again last time, because at the time he knew he had no support to even attempt such a thing. This time is different and he even doesn't have to change the constitution to run again (he will change it anyways), as Hippo in his greed took care of that for him.
I predict we'll get four more years of him and then Medina will try to run again and lose the election to whoever the PRD candidate is at the time, as he has absolutely no charisma. Too bad Jaime David Fernandez is not going to get a chance. He would make a fine president...well liked, honest, educated, etc...