so 's up out there on the Highway this beautiful sunny sunday?
TS Fionawent as expected and is runnign uninhabited Atlantic Waters.
last night it experienced the typical night-fueling and reached her Top Powers of 50mphr with the central pressure dropping by 3 points to 1004mb.
the glorious times should be over for that very small Storm, she been this morning already back on rising pressure 1006mb and down to 45mphr max winds.
it already passed it's closest point to our soil, no influence to await from that one for our Paradise Isle.
Invest 90L, which newly hit Atlantic Waters,
looks til now large on size and not super powerful, but conditions are favorable there for development,
so it should be able to get organized and become TD7 by tomorrow.
from that positioning and developing into a Storm that early/far East the steering should bring it WNW'wards
and due that make it an other runner for the open Central Atlantic, the Graveyard.
Invest 99L is the one of Interest for all Islanders on the caribbean end of the Highway.
the area is not organized and barely any spin existant, as it is a very wide area of disturbed weather and running close to the 10th"N.
Thunderstorm activity and it's strongest rains run in the northern quadrant and in the southern quadrants.
those southern quadrants are located as far south as 5"N, too far south to get a good Spin.
there are 2 different scenarios in case of Tracking for the stormy area:
** the longer it takes to become a Storm/the weaker it stays, the closer it will come for the caribbean.
in that scenario it will stay on a westward Track and enter the caribbean Sea, wandering along the South or even Towards the S-shores of the greater Antilles.
it can collect quiet some loads of very heavy rains on it's way over here, so keep those waterpumps well maintained.
** itcut's off the bothering southern portion and build's a Storm out of it's actual center and northern quadrants.
due the smaller size and with the strong Thunderstorm activity present there, a Storm could develop fairly quick and grow on size again once organized.
as a strong Tropical Depression or low Tropical Storm it would change Tracking from West to more W-WNW.
as a strong Tropical Storm or even more, the Tracking would lead towards NW'ern directions.
so a early forming strong Storm would miss the Islands on their NW.
a weak system would bring heavy rains over the Island belt and very likely also to our Isle.
the "middle powers", a weak storm, should move close to or right over the northern Islands of the Belt,
it could pass close to our NE, too, but would leave us very likely on it's supposed dryer southern and western quadrants.
til now, nothing really bad to watch out for,
but we keep an eye on 99L, as it could become a very wet visitor for our grounds.
Mike
