What i am looking in to is the tropical waves activities out of our east. Since weeks the forecasts for conditions promise very good to perfect conditions for fast and strong development of any disturbances carried Eto W by tropical waves.
It is not very nice to see that the actual tendencies prooves those forecasts very right.
The conditions are already very good for stormy development and the tendency looks like they will be perfect no later than mid month.
We will have a very long qindow of minimum.6 loooong weeks of such conditions from late 2nd week if september til end of october at least.
There are no indicators for a brwak down on that.
So we very likely will get a bunch of weeks with always something on the make somewhere out there.
The super large and active wave S of the Cape Verde Islands gets by the NHC a very high 40% of chance to develop into a storm in just 5 days from now when it still would be way East of the caribbean with pleanty of time to become anything we won't wanna see.
To me it looks like having quiet some northwards drift, a swing that brings them typically NE of the caribbean islands, after we sh.it our pants for days watching it growing and growing.
It takes several more days before real guesses can be made on it, but it def looks like quiet a Babe with possibilities.
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