2020 Hurricane Season

[Olly]

Tropical Depression 7 (AKA 99L)
An update from StormCarib :
99L: Looks to make TS Gonzalo soon. It is now Tropical Depression 7. Already impressive on visible satellite, currentÂtrack takes 99L through the lower Windward Islands and into the eastern Caribbean graveyard and the current models forecast it to die there as so many before have. However, at the moment, not forecast to become a hurricane even though shear is low and the dust shield is down. Main reason as it's very low around 9 degrees N, 40 degrees W and has to escape the ITCZ which it will.
Big thanks to Gert of Storm Carib .

It looks like going well to the south of DR in about 5 days time as a Tropical Storm

Olly and the Team

 

[Drake]

There are a few tracks on the stat models for Gonzalo that are trending North as it passes south of the island. We really need the rain. Any opinion on whether it will trend north ?

 

[Drake]

Tropical Depression Seven Tracker | Weather Underground

Weather Underground provides tracking maps, 5-day forecasts, computer models, satellite imagery and detailed storm statistics for tracking and forecasting Tropical Depression Seven Tracker.

www.wunderground.com

 

[XTraveller]

Mike we need your opinion on this one. All I read is"It should be noted that small systems
like Tropical Depression Seven are often difficult to predict as
they are more likely to fluctuate in strength compared to
larger cyclones."

Mike Help please!

Xtraveller

 

[william webster]

Last I remember - Mike went to Europe for a visit

 

[DR Solar]

Mike we need your opinion on this one. All I read is"It should be noted that small systems
like Tropical Depression Seven are often difficult to predict as
they are more likely to fluctuate in strength compared to
larger cyclones."

Mike Help please!

Xtraveller

We all miss Mike. Google is your friend with tons of good forecast sites so YOU can figure out what to do. (Or maybe not.)

 

[william webster]

 

[El Rey de Mangu]

View attachment 2926

The inlaid copy and paste of today's map is a disappointing post from a man of your caliber. I was hoping for at least a few words of commentary, like that's quite a few 5 irons away for us to be worried

 

[El Rey de Mangu]

Maybe Mike missed his account payment like me W²

 

[william webster]

Wait until the season starts...
I'll hook you up on the chain = off DR1 chat during the hurrycanes

 

[william webster]

Fisherman's last postings were May28th..........Europe for sure

at least - I hope so

 

[AlterEgo]

Fisherman's last postings were May28th..........Europe for sure

at least - I hope so

Mike’s in Punta Cana according to his Facebook page

 

[william webster]

yes he is

threw in the towel w/ DR1

 

[Andre14615]

it will probably be some tremendous downpours with this thing and nothing worse if the trajectory remains the same. But dios its the last thing the island needs. 2020 is one son of a gun.

 

[Cdn_Gringo]

sorry officer, I'm out in the street during curfew because my house blew down.

 

[melphis]

Here is an exert from Public Advisory 7A on NHC. Gonzolo will turn into a Hurricane but should drop back to a tropical storm as it approaches the DR.
The full forecast and advisory are on nhc.noaa.gov


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

The government of Barbados has issued a Hurricane Watch for St.
Vincent and the Grenadines.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNING IN EFFECT...

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

 

[NanSanPedro]

Here is an exert from Public Advisory 7A on NHC. Gonzolo will turn into a Hurricane but should drop back to a tropical storm as it approaches the DR.
The full forecast and advisory are on nhc.noaa.gov


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

The government of Barbados has issued a Hurricane Watch for St.
Vincent and the Grenadines.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNING IN EFFECT...

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Thanks for posting.

 

[Caonabo]

yes he is

threw in the towel w/ DR1

Now this is sad to hear.
Mr. Fisher was a valued member of this community, and his contributions were well versed, educated, and second to none.

 

[Celt202]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ (link)

 

[Celt202]

Spaghetti models

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/07L_tracks_latest.png