Page 2 of 7 FirstFirst 1234 ... LastLast
Results 11 to 20 of 63

Thread: 2018 Hurricane Season

  1. #11
    Bronze
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Posts
    1,304
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by MikeFisher View Post
    You are on the North Shores, right?
    Right now we also habe nice conditions for the Kites here on the East, but not for too lenghty time periods.
    This month they should stay nice at least til end May, tho.


    Yes, Cabarete. Wind has been starting early and just blasting all through the afternoon and well into the night...last night until 1am! This is not usual but im not complaining

  2. Likes MikeFisher liked this post
  3. #12
    Platinum
    Join Date
    Feb 2006
    Posts
    12,209
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Vinyasa View Post
    Yes, Cabarete. Wind has been starting early and just blasting all through the afternoon and well into the night...last night until 1am! This is not usual but im not complaining
    I hear you.
    My Kite and Surfing buddies over here do not complaint neither, as we have the same comditilns over here, too, this weekend.
    Me, the fisherman, is of course not happy, as i could today run only one out of 8 boats. And that one was a lucky shot to have a real sea leg hard core angler who chartered tje smallest boat for 3 full days, not willing to reshedule or cancel just due 20knots blowing winds and 10ft very heavy running Sea.
    Today was his 1st day and he stood it all, took stand up fighting without the use of a fighting chair 16 nice Mahi and missed on a white Marlin.
    He will be back on Tuesday and wednesday.
    lazy family day for me, tho, with the MIL arrived for a week or so.
    so i get new variety of cooking in the house, nothing bad at all, lol
    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

  4. Likes Vinyasa liked this post
  5. #13
    Platinum
    Join Date
    Feb 2006
    Posts
    12,209
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Today lets have a look on the very important and for a long range outlook significant Sea Surface Temperatures(SST).
    They nicely underline my antipation of the media hyped promises of a high active season.

    FB_IMG_1527168830495.jpg
    FB_IMG_1527168852249.jpg

    As the graphs show, the SST out on the Tropical Atlantic, our Highway,
    Are well below the average awaited temps for this time of the year.
    The 2018 Hot Zones for Tropical Storm Formations and awaited conditions to support quick developments of upcoming Storms, are located im the northern Gulf of Mexico and along the north shores of the Eastern US Coastline.
    This is a highly unusual constellation, but it indicates the less likelyhood of forming the BigBoys and Gals out East, the so named Cape Verde Cyclones. It also indicates high danger for the North of the US East to get Tropical Storm Formations forming up there, which i guess is the reason for the high probabilities of a US Mainland storm hit given by so many US weather entities on their 2018/Season outlook.
    Such Storms forming close to the coast have on most ocassions not the time to become so named super cyclones, but to bother dangerously no super storm is needed, Sandy for example was "just" a Tropical Storm.
    Where close to the coast forming Tropical Storms are extra dangerous, as they raise the power bar quickly in record time due the specific conditions patterns there, is the Gulf of Mexico, where upcoming systems well often become a TS in no time and a couple days later show highest powers.
    A good example is the actual first noticed system of the Season, Invest 90L, in the NE ern Gulf, and that today on May 24th, well earlier tham anything would be awaited anywhere.
    I stick to my "safer than average" outlook for the Hurricane Highway, which is the place where 95% of the danger for our Island comes from, but i agree to the way above average danger outlook for the East and Gulf Coast of the US Mainland.
    These charts are the first ones i add on this tablet, which i am far from beeing used to use, yet.
    I hope ll shows up and typos are within the acceptable margins. Lol
    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

  6. Likes caribmike, janlindy liked this post
  7. #14
    Platinum
    Join Date
    Feb 2006
    Posts
    12,209
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    May 25th and we have the first storm of the season up and in a awaited for area.
    Subtropical Storm Alberto formed over the NWern Tip of the Caribbean Sea and will wander the comfy waters of the Gulf Northwards.
    hotpoint for the season's first Landfall will be around the Alabama/Mississippi border.
    Alberto will not become something big by Wind Force,
    but it already carry's a heavy waterloo and will continue to collect more water on the way.
    the SE USA will get a heavy dump-down of water from this one.

    nothing out there near our Isle.
    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

  8. Likes jstarebel liked this post
  9. #15
    Platinum
    Join Date
    Feb 2006
    Posts
    12,209
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    let's see if the Image sticks here to auto update.

    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

  10. #16
    Bronze
    Join Date
    Jan 2002
    Posts
    540
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default Hurricane / Storm Season 2018

    First storm forming thats a potential threat forming mid Atlantic see
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

    Hey Mike Its that time of year for your valued opinion. What do you think of this one?

  11. #17
    Bronze
    Join Date
    Jan 2002
    Posts
    540
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Update
    Disturbance 2: 30% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 2:00 pm EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 ...
    Shower activity has changed little in organization near a small
    area of low pressure and tropical wave located several hundred miles
    west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. In addition, recent
    satellite-derived wind data and visible satellite images suggest
    that the system may not have a closed surface wind circulation.
    Some development of this system is possible during the next day or
    two while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical
    Atlantic Ocean. Upper-level winds are expected to become less
    conducive for development by this weekend when the system approaches
    the Lesser Antilles.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

  12. #18
    Regular
    Join Date
    Jun 2003
    Posts
    447
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Drake View Post
    First storm forming thats a potential threat forming mid Atlantic see
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

    Hey Mike Its that time of year for your valued opinion. What do you think of this one?
    Mike is the best, but as a second best, I like this forecaster. Some more observations on 2 here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJpQ0n9CB9U&t=20s

  13. #19
    Moderator - North Coast Forum
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    30,811
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    dominican mentirologia is also warning about this possible cyclone:
    http://www.elcaribe.com.do/2018/07/0...roximas-horas/

    North Coast Moderator

  14. #20
    Moderator parum momenti
    Join Date
    Apr 2014
    Posts
    5,006
    Post Thanks / Like

    Default

    NOAA reports it will intensify for the next three days than encounter poor conditions and downgrade itself.

Page 2 of 7 FirstFirst 1234 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •