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Thread: 2018 Hurricane Season

  1. #1
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    Default 2018 Hurricane Season

    Soooo,
    It is this time of the year again.
    Still not fully ready with all maps and direct features, as i switched for this season from PCand Laptop to pure Tablet work. It makes me more independ from power outs and the pocketjuices keep me connected for a very long time without power, as long as the batteries on the Claro Tower hold up to provide a internet connection.
    Still trying to get used to the different keybord, but on time for our local stormy primetime i will bring the best fitting equipment from my Europe Vacation, leaving here June 19thfor funtastic 7 weeks with my Baby Daughter to spend the summer with the german grannies, those poor Folks still dont have an idea what kinda stormy forces will hit them all summer long, lol. We will be back on august 7th here on the Isle and in the mean time keep an eye on any stormy deve!opments from abroad.
    Hey, todays those Germans have internet, too. And more or less reliable electricity to use a 'puter.

    The head start of this2018 Season goes to southern Florida.
    We have actualy a nice looking low pressure system developing over the Eastern Gulf of Mexico, which
    should bring at least some good amounts of Water over the south of the Sunshine State.
    No maps or such from me at this time, as nothing actual is any near our Paradise Isle.
    Our local area is still under the influence of a nice strong High, so we should have many more sunny days ahead of us for this week.

    The waters over the different parts of the highway are for this time of the year on their normal/average levels, so as a long range outlook we have nothing special to fear.
    We have, as usual, to take it as the season proceeds and develops.
    Week by week of living in Paradise.
    I will be back here as needed, so hopefully not any soon.
    I just started this Topic so we have our place where we can chat, report and fun all around those windy things.
    Have a great sunny sunday and a windfree 2018 Season y'all

    Mike
    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

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  3. #2
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    Great to see you Mike. Here's to a quiet season!

    Jamie

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    The Outlook (a Fisher 'guess') for the season to come.
    Starting tomorrow for the East and shortly afterwards the rest of the Island the rainy phase should be over.
    Til end of the month we will very likely stick to winds a bit above our used to breezes, but aside of the ocassional short tropical bursts we should stay for most part on the dry side with the heat to start going upwards steadily.
    For the months June, July, August we can await to get extra hot and dryer than our anyways dry summer time, the danger for a couple months of a drought period is looking very high for 2018.
    This goes for the Eastern Caribbean as a whole wide Area.
    The opposite is the case for the western caribbean, where it will stay very wet and rough at least for the rest of the month May, with heavy water loads to continue over the NWern caribbean and southern Florida.
    Looks like a hot dry summer for us easterners over here,
    Stay Hydrated, keep the beercoolers stocked and iced
    And also take care that your cattle stays hydrated,
    Those animals most likely have a bit of a hard time ahead of them.
    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

  5. #4
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    aloha mike! my money is on you but gotta mention that about two weeks ago there was an article in el caribe noting a warning from a dominican geologist that this season will be very hot and wet:
    http://www.elcaribe.com.do/2018/05/0...el-ano-pasado/
    this past week has been a bit windy, especially in the afternoons.

    North Coast Moderator

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    Ich wuensche Dir und Deine Familie einen schoenen Urlaub!

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    Quote Originally Posted by dv8 View Post
    this past week has been a bit windy, especially in the afternoons.


    Speaking as a kitesurfer, I would say this has been one of the longest periods of really strong winds I have ever seen here. There has basically been 20+ knots every day now for the last 5 weeks...

  10. #8
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    We had been/still are super windy here on the east shores since thursday a system brought awaited and forecasted winds and waterloads over the USVI and PR and continued to our side of the channel. The prior weeks been so far normal conditions with normal ups and downs of wind and waves, appropriately for the time of the year so far.
    It wouldn't be ME, if i would just repeat what weather sides think to know.
    Too me wemwill stay anshort longernwhilemwindier as usual but rainfall will stop, at least here on the East. Not a drop of rain at my place so far today already, while the breeze is still gusting up heavy.
    til the beginning of our Peak Time for Hurricane Season mid august we will run very dry and be happy about every "lil stormy cloud" to dump down some water once reaching mid august.
    As for the hurricane season so far as a outlook,
    I dont agree with the sensationalizing press about a hyper active season to come.
    I see ahead of us not very hot sea surfaces out there on out far eastern highway, so early and numerous running big boys and gals are at this point not a theme, the conditions simply do not call for such asumptions at this moment.
    What the press, a Trumpeter influenced and by their governemnt steered medium, is "promising", is a 60% chance of a Hurricane hit for the Eastshores of the USA.
    I have no idea where such calculation could come from and anyways, a high chance of a us east hit has nothing to do with a hyperactive or below average moving season/number of named stroms.
    1 single storm during a dead slow movimg season, on the right path, would become a record devastating occurrance for that area, while we also saw so often way above average active seasons with no significant hits near our soil, those american chances calling simply mean nothing for our to be awaited conditions.
    If we consider the coming season to become very active or not, we will not be able to decide/comment on before end June, as by then the patterns of warming waters etc will show a real pattern to use for c conclusions/calculations.
    By now, the biggest fear is a too dry early summer, as such would have significant damaging influence on agriculture for our own Isle.
    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

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  12. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by frank recktenwald View Post
    Ich wuensche Dir und Deine Familie einen schoenen Urlaub!
    Dankeschoen.
    The 7 weeks June 19th-August 7th cant come soon enough.
    Daddy Daughter time without house dragons are the Best. Lol
    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

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  14. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinyasa View Post
    Speaking as a kitesurfer, I would say this has been one of the longest periods of really strong winds I have ever seen here. There has basically been 20+ knots every day now for the last 5 weeks...
    You are on the North Shores, right?
    Right now we also habe nice conditions for the Kites here on the East, but not for too lenghty time periods.
    This month they should stay nice at least til end May, tho.
    Mike
    www.MikeFisherPuntaCana.com
    [email protected]
    Punta Cana/Cap Cana/Dominican Republic
    Mike Fisher Facebook Group on

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