Hurricane Preparedness - 2007

Chris

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Oct 21, 2002
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The hurricane season for the Atlantic runs between June 1, 2007 and November 30, 2007.

From Dr. Klotzbach?s team we know that the Caribbean could see above average hurricane activity this year. The expectation is for 17 named storms of which 9 could develop into hurricanes.



Noaa issued 2007 hurricane predictions that there would be between 13 and 16 named storms. Of those storms, between 8 and 10 would reach hurricane strength and 4 to 6 would go on to become major hurricanes.


We will see a final assessment of these numbers by Drs Klotzbach and Gray at the end of May 2007.



If you're living on and along the coast in the DR, you should take precautions and be prepared for this above-normal hurricane season. For 2006 I prepared the following, and repeat it here for newcomers and those that want to make a hurricane preparedness plan.


A Hurricane, also referred to as a Tropical Cyclone, is given a name when its winds travel counterclockwise and reach 39 mph, tropical storm strength. Taking action to be safe is easy if you've done your Hurricane Preparedness Planning well. If you live in a hurricane prone area, or near the coast, it is best to do you hurricane preparations early and effectively and revisit your plan periodically during the hurricane season.

Hurricane Hazards
Storm Surge - Storm surge is water that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the storm. Combined with normal tides this surge creates the hurricane storm tide, which can increase the mean water level 15 feet or more. Storm surges of 24 feet over 120 miles of coast line has been reported and measured in the past. Should a storm surge coincide with a normal high tide, severe flooding occurs in coastal areas.

High Winds - The most commonly used scale to measure winds during a hurricane is the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. So, a Category 1 hurricane has lighter winds compared to say a Category 3 hurricane. A Category 4 hurricane would have winds between 131 and 155 mph and could cause 100 times the damage of a Category 1 storm. The strongest winds usually occur in the right side of the eyewall of the hurricane. Wind speed usually decreases significantly within 12 hours after landfall.

Tropical storm-force winds are strong enough to be dangerous to those caught in them. Should a hurricane approach, it is best to have all your preparation complete, even before the onset of tropical storm-force winds. Usually there is sufficient warning before a hurricane, so that preparations can be made in advance.

Inland Flooding - Statistics from the US teach us that freshwater floods account for more than half of the tropical cyclone deaths over the past 30 years. Inland areas are by no means safe from the results of hurricanes or tropical cyclones. It is best to understand the patterns of the water around your area of living and to make appropriate plans.

What can you do to safeguard yourself and your family?
The essential decision that needs to be taken is whether your home is safe and sturdy, and far away from areas prone to flooding or storm surge, so that you can remain there during a hurricane, or whether you should evacuate to a safer area. Discuss these plans with your family and get their input. Even kids can be a great help. To my mind, everything greater than a Cat 2 hurricane, even if your home is sturdy and safe, requires evacutation.

To go - or not to go
- If your home is safe, prepare it and stay there
- If your home is not safe, arrange for an evacuation location well in advance. Now is the time to make plans for that visit to Santiago.
- Keep your car filled with gas during hurricane season.
- Many DR1 members do not have cars as public transport is readily available. Have the bus schedules on hand and take an earlier bus or public transportation, rather than planning on taking a later bus.

Securing larger buildings - Condos or Blocks of Flats
Your building should have a hurricane preparedness plan that you could carry out as a community.

For Tourists and Visitors
The hotels situated on the coastal areas of the DR have experience with preparing for hurricanes. Let your friends and family know that http://www.dr1.com/status/index.shtml has up to date information about the status of hotels. You can be of help by assisting the staff to carry out the preparedness plan. In certain cases, you will be evacuated. Most Dominican hotels have already lived through the effects of a hurricane and by now are most likely to have a rehearsed hurricane preparedness plan.

The Evacuation
Make the evacuation decision early enough. You know our roads and I would suggest a full 12 hours before a hurricane is predicted to make landfall in your area, you need to have completed your home safeguarding actions, and be ensconsed in, or on the way to a higher area, ready to drink port and eat Sancocho with good friends.
- Minimize the distance you must travel to reach a safe location.
- Discuss your evacuation plans with neighbors, family or friends, so that they do not lose sight of where you are, and become worried.
- Think of what you will do with your pets.
- Keep your vehicle full of gas with necessaries already packed. Have a look at the specific list of requirements following, and set together in a hurricane pack what you may need.
- Ensure that your place of evacuation has some kind of communication, television, radio or/and internet.
- Monitor DR1, where we'll keep the information flowing.

Staying in your Home
TO DO BEFORE HURRICANE SEASON
*The DR building codes are not always up to snuff, so, I would suggest you take a good look at your home. If concrete roof, all should be fine. If other style roof, make sure that the roof is well constructed. Possibly add hurricane clips. If you feel that your home would not be safe, please evacuate.
*Protect all windows by installing commercial shutters or preparing 5/8 inch plywood panels in such a way that they can be easily affixed over your windows.
*Garage doors are frequently the first feature in a home to start flying. Reinforce all garage doors so that they are able to withstand high winds.
*Designate an interior room with no windows or external doors as a ?Safe Room? where you are going to wait out the storm. The previous year, friends of ours on a neighboring island spent 16 hours in their 'safe room'. Be ready to make your 'safe room' comfortable with beds or mattresses and lots of books and activities. You may be there for many hours. When you choose this 'safe room', make sure that it won't flood.
*Before hurricane season, assess your property to ensure that landscaping and trees do not become a wind hazard. It is a good idea to do this now and then again in August sometime, prior to the peak of the season. Trim dead wood and weak overhanging branches from all trees. Trees and bushes are vulnerable to high winds and any dead tree near a home is a hazard.
*Consider landscaping materials other than gravel/rock.

TO DO AS A HURRICANE APPROACHES
*Once a hurricane warning is issued for your area, install your window shutters or plywood panels. (It is a good idea to practice this once or twice during your preparation, so that you know you have everything on hand for the task). It is good practice to tape up the windows with some sturdy ductape as this may help protect against flying glass fragments should a glass window or door break. Ductape alone will not do it. Install those shutters!
*Secure or bring inside all lawn furniture and other outside objects that could become a projectile in high winds. I've seen many people simply throw garden chairs into the pool. They are safe there and won't blow around
*Place all the final items that you may need, in your safe room, or evacuate.
*As the winds approach, get into the 'safe room' and monitor informational sites about the hurricane. Note that in Santo Domingo, at least, telephone lines are underground so Internet connections should continue throughout the storm as was the experience during Georges in 1998.
*Do not leave your ?Safe Room? until the wind has subsided, the 2nd time. The first time around, as you hear the wind drop, it maybe the eye of the hurricane passing over. There is little to no wind in the eye of a hurricane.

SAFE ROOM STOCK or PACK IN THE CAR ready for evacuation.
- Water - at least 1 gallon daily per person for 3 to 7 days
- Food - at least enough for 3 to 7 days (canned food / juices), foods for special needs in your family, babies or older folks, snack foods, non-electric can opener, cooking tools / fuel (a little gas stove with a small gas cannister is a life saver!), paper plates/plastic utensils
- Make your 'safe room' comfortable (matresses, bedcovers, pillows, games, books, lighting)
- Dry clothing, rain gear if you have it
- Medicines / Prescription Drugs / Medications / Glasses / Keys
- Any special items that you cannot live without
- Paper / Toiletries / Hygiene items / Moisture wipes
- Flashlight / Batteries
- Radio - Battery operated with fresh batteries
- Cash - Banks and ATMs may not be open for a period
- Keys
- Important documents - in a waterproof container or big ziploc bag (insurance, medical records, bank account numbers, Cedula and Residencia, Passport etc.)
- Tools - keep a set with you during the storm
- Vehicle with full tank
- Pets (food, water)
- The water may be contaminated after a hurricane. Also have some chlorine at hand to sterilize your water source if necessary.
- First Aid Kit should you have to treat an injury
- Check the generator, fuel should be safely stored.
- If you live in a high-rise apartment building, make sure the elevator is kept at the top floor.

Final Actions - before Huddling Down
*Shut off Propane
*Shut off Water Mains
*Check storm shutters one last time
*Shut electricity off at the mains
*Close and lock the doors and huddle down in the 'Safe Room'.

To recap, when Hurricane Season Starts (right about now if you have not done so!) YOU SHOULD:
- Assemble your Hurricane Survival Kit and all those items needed to safeguard your home.
- Write out and agree with family a Family Preparedness Plan.
- Let friends and family know that you will be safe and arrange for a contact telephone number.

When a Hurricane WATCH is issued:
- Check your Hurricane Survival Kit.
- Make sure nothing is missing. Determine if there is anything you need to supplement your kit. Replenish your water.
- Activate your Family Disaster Plan.
- Evacuation Plans should be in progress right about at this stage of the process.

When a Hurricane WARNING is issued YOU SHOULD IMMEDIATELY:
- Ready your Disaster Supply Kit for use and do the final preparation of your safe area in your home. When the winds start howling, huddle down in the safe area and don't leave until the winds subside for the 2nd time.
- Evacuation plans should be proceeding brisky.
Remember, you cannot evacuate when a storm is howling around you... so, make that evacuation decision early if you have any doubts.

Let's all be safe during this Hurricane Season and have additional resources on hand to help neighbors, friends and the community.
 

Rocky

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Apr 4, 2002
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If you vote for me in the next election, I will make a law against hurricanes and motoconchos without mirrors and cerebrums.
 

Mirador

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Apr 15, 2004
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Chris, please follow up on the following storm....

Andrea?

ORLANDO, Fla. -- Tropical storm-like gusts of 50-plus mph winds were recorded with a rogue low-pressure system that could strengthen into the season's first named storm later this week.


6250en4.jpg
 

Celt202

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May 22, 2004
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The hurricane season for the Atlantic runs between June 1, 2007 and November 30, 2007.
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Let's all be safe during this Hurricane Season and have additional resources on hand to help neighbors, friends and the community.

Well done.
 

pyratt

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Jan 14, 2007
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For information on preparedness, please PM me. It's what I do! I can assist with food, water and shelter preparations for individuals, cities or nationally


 
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Chris

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Oct 21, 2002
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pyratt, it is what we have done for a long time on DR1. If you can help us, please send me a pm. We have a good system and good information. I do not know if your post is spam or not, so I will ask you directly. How much for your assistance? Kindly educate yourself on what we've done so far on the DR1 and please work with us. You have not lived through a hurricane with us on this board. We all have lived through hurricanes with us on this board. So, don't spam, and if your offer is genuine (that means free, spending long hours, for the good of the community), please pm me.
 
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gary short

Guest
For information on preparedness, please PM me. It's what I do! I can assist with food, water and shelter preparations for individuals, cities or nationally



You must have been pretty bored last year what with the predicted.." MONSTER STORM SEASON" that didn't happen......yawn...
 

Chris

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Oct 21, 2002
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Mirador, this is a large occluded low pressure system, centered off the South East US near 31 North 75 West. This system has an impressively large circulation but not much deep moisture.

Very strong winds, with a tight pressure gradient between the low and the strong high pressure ridge, over and off the NorthEast US coastline. This pressure gradient is producing hurricane force winds North of the area and East of the Carolina coast line and storm force conditions North of 28 North. Winds should slowly subside from now on - this one looks scary, high winds, and dumps a stack of water in a short time. But is not developing into a serious system.

I must tell you, I've never in 15 years seen something with these characteristics so early in the season, so far North - but I should also say, I have not studied this system. This is a quick first glance.

In the DR is an offshoot of Easterly moving winds, creating moisture on the North Coast ... it is the result of a 'backdoor' cold front associated with a large Western Atlantic low, pushing slowly southward, across the Central Bahamas and Northern Shore of Cuba. There are isolated showers along this boundary. No characteristics here besides normal tropical storm or tropical front.

Tropical storms can be very scary for the uninitiated, they can cause serious mudslides and catastrophic floods and all the damage one associates with high winds. Do remember, between a tropical storm and a Cat 1 hurricane, there is 1 mile difference in wind speed.

My usual weather advisories, started testing yesterday to get ready for season. So, I started my preparation phase a few days ago and will be on track and up to date soon here.

Geez, I got lazy during the previous slack season! :paranoid:
 
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Chris

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Oct 21, 2002
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Let this be an early warning. GET HURRICANE PREPARED NOW!

We will be pleased to answer any further questions in this thread. Formal advisories will start with the start of the season, 1 June.

Let me enjoy my last few lazy days off before I become serious! But, there is lots of activity out there.

Hispaniola forecast ... North to North East Winds, 10 to 15 knots wind, 8 to 10 foot seas with a North West swell ... get out there Surfers!
 

pyratt

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Jan 14, 2007
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You must have been pretty bored last year what with the predicted.." MONSTER STORM SEASON" that didn't happen......yawn...

I don't just do hurricanes, so the company has stayed busy....thanks for worrying

There are cities in Florida still in recovery from the 2004 season, LA, MS, and AL are still digging out from Katrina....

Let's hope the DR remains lucky, from what I've seen the poor and elderly will lose a lot....the island has recipes in the different regions that are disasterous with the right ingredients.

My goal has been to help and save lives since the early 90's and thankfully I've been fortunate to have done so....in many countries
 

JohnGauquie

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Aug 16, 2007
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Have not heard or seen any posts since 10:52AM today. Is communication access knocked out in DR?
Hope everyone is safe. American Airlines cancelled last flight out today to DR, Santa Domingo. I will check later to see if my scheduled flight for tomorrow to arrive at 1PM is available???
 

whirleybird

Silver
Feb 27, 2006
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Have not heard or seen any posts since 10:52AM today. Is communication access knocked out in DR?
Hope everyone is safe. American Airlines cancelled last flight out today to DR, Santa Domingo. I will check later to see if my scheduled flight for tomorrow to arrive at 1PM is available???

Try the 'Hurricane Dean' thread for all the latest updates.
 

chibani

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Oct 29, 2007
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Could anybody give me a serious reference for installing shutters in Bayahibe. Could be in La romana, higuey o en la capital.