2016 Hurricane Season

[MikeFisher]

HB,
the real "interesting" stuff is the one which is still out of the coverage of your loop.
it will come into it from the right side/east the next couple days.
it is a Tropical Wave that will leave the African Continent tonight.
looks very interesting over land already since a couple days crossing the Sahara.
and it is positioned on the middle Lane for the Highway.
conditions are good out there on the far East, so the pavement is laid out for a smooth run towards the Caribbean.
now the question is:
What will build out of it?
we will know soon.

Mike

 

[Hillbilly]

yeah Mike, I saw a little of it before.
I guess you mean this:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/flash-rb.html

HB

 

[MikeFisher]

yeah Mike, I saw a little of it before.
I guess you mean this:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/flash-rb.html

HB

Yesss!
it's Big.
it's powerful.
it cold be our BadAzz of the Season.
just a few more sleeps and we may start to "guess stuff" and an other few sleeps later "get da fridge stocked".

Mike

 

[Meemselle]

We need the rain.

 

[charlise]

We need the rain.

We need the rain ?? My pool is overflowing with all the rain we had for the past 5 days...

What I want is a real bad ass tropical storm. I've been waiting 5 years to experience one. Being born and raised in Qu?bec, I'm used to bad weather and kick ass storms... Talk about 3 days snow storms...

Bring the rain and wind, Mama Lise is ready...

 

[MikeFisher]

92L hit Atlantic Waters last night.
looked strong over Land but isn't looking that strong over water.
we have to wait til beginning of the weekend to see if significant development kicks in, when it passed the half way point over the highway.
at the moment, nothing bad/dangerous out there for us.

Mike

 

[Derfish]

I am getting emails from Tennessee asking me about the storms in the are. What is there that I am not aware of?

 

[windeguy]

Hermine

I am getting emails from Tennessee asking me about the storms in the are. What is there that I am not aware of?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents

 

[Derfish]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents

Thanks, That is all I could find, that is why I told them it is closer to them than it is to me!

 

[MikeFisher]

Thanks, That is all I could find, that is why I told them it is closer to them than it is to me!

they are looking on Hurricane Hermine,
which is located in the NE'ern Gulf of Mexico and will wander over land somewhere NE-Florida and then most likely along the US-SE shores over Land as long as it has powers to survive over land.
we Islanders do not monito such, as it is as far away from us as a strom could be in the Atlantic Basin.
we have actually nothing to worry about or look out for, we are all nice calm and clear.
the only "active" thingy on the highway is a Tropical wave which did by now the half way over here from Africa, on the "middle Lane" of the pavement,
so it will very likely make it's way into the eastern caribbean Sea or over the northern Islands of the Belt,
like the former Wave did which later on became Today's Hurricane Hermine in the Gulf of Mexico.
it may or may not bring some rainfalls to our soil, it may but more likely will Not develop into anything Stormy before arriving at the Lesser Antilles.
we watch it the next days and stay tuned, but nothing looks anything bad out there at this point, not for us on Paradise Isle at least.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

Invest 92L did not develop anything the last days.
the opposite, it is a wide spread out sausage reaching looong from west to east.
it is not a heavy power waterload nor does it contain any significant windforces til now.
it's western portion is approaching the esternmost Islands now/this afternoon.
it moves qickly westward and should pass the Caribbean Sea from East to Western directions.
at this moment nothing on this system looks dangerous nor would be expected to become any danger to us.

Life is good
and get's even better on a calm Beach

Mike

here you can follow it's approach of the Lesser Antilles today.

 

[jstarebel]

Thanks for the link and the update Mike. Not even putting out an extra an for 92 . It's big though.

 

[MikeFisher]

here you can follow the waterportions of 92L moving over the Islands and into the caribbean Sea.
very few small spots producewinds near TS-Force.
it is just a bad weather area moving thru the caribbean Sea from East to West the next days.

Mike

 

[Olly]

Mike -I have not joined the discussion this year but feel we should really keep a watch on this system. Some projections suggest a TS moving to the south of DR. Reports from the Islands suggest it is a windy rainmaker -let us hope that is true.

Olly and the Team

 

[MikeFisher]

yes, some areas showed near TS Force winds already yesterday when the western portion approached the first Islands.
such systems mostly run near TS Force and sometimes even above.
they are just not declared a Depression or TS due lack of beeingt a organized system/Storm, running powers over a certain piece of area and constantly.
some TS Force blowing at a spot or few, that's not a real big danger, we have such gusts on winter frontals around the world everywhere.
it's "Center" is over the Central Lesser Antilles now, tomorrow afternoon we will see in case it starts to get organized to become a Storm.
as long as the center is over the Islands it will not start development.

Mike

 

[caribmike]

Where is it...?

 

[MikeFisher]

Where is it...?

it is going down/apart.
passing the small Islands was already too much for it to stick together.
you can watch it's waterportion, which moved to the West of the "Center" on the loop a couple posts above.
that Loop stays up to date, it is auto-updating here.
it's biggest portion is now south of Puerto Rico, wandering westward thru the caribbean Sea.
nothing to worry about.

so far no dangers anywhere out there for our Isle for this week.
the next Tropical Wave is leaving the african Mainland since a few hours/during this morning.
it is located well south below the 10"N Margin, so the next couple days no significant development should start.
the forecasts give it good chances to develop late this week after it passed the Cape Verde Islands by a few hundred miles,
then it should be located further North between the 10th" and 15th",
where watertemps and windshare with a wet pavement could allow development.
but that's far away future, for now we are all fine, nothing to fear about.

Mike

 

[jstarebel]

Some good amounts of rain with this storm. Steady rain with some heavy downpours as the storm passed through the Antilles chain. Cooled thing down nicely. Moderate winds. Largest gusts my boats wind instruments measured were 32 knots, so nothing to be concerned about.

 

[MikeFisher]

here on the East rain is on since around 20 minutes.
it is only the western portion that arrived, the rest is still SE of the Isle.
no wind over here at the moment.
the system will move thru the central caribbean Sea westward towards Yucatan,
the waters are located north and will wander along our south, more likely right over the Isle from East to West.
nothing bad to watch out for.
it is rain, fresh temps keep the darn heat down, maybe some nasty wind gusts here or there.
all is fine

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

after a grey skies day we have some rain here on the East now, since around 15 minute or so.
nothing mayor, just soft rain, no wind to speak of.
should be all nice again for tomorrow.
i can imagine that some other portions of the Isle get more rain than the few drops we got here,
but it does not look any dangerous, other than the usual floodongs due poor drainage.
Highway looks all good for the next couple days,
then we can take a look on the new T-Wave, once it approaches the half way point of the Tropical Highway.
it's actual movement suggerates a Tracking up to nowhere, but that could change a lot towards the weekend.

Mike