2016 Hurricane Season

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,814
2,273
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Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
it's done.
it diminished as a stormy System, just a few clouds left moving around.
here on the East we are already since hours dry and completely calm, as usual after the bypass of a System.
Zero dangers anywhere out there for our Island for the rest of the week,
nothing forecasted to pop up before the weekend.

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,814
2,273
113
Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
Now that the pavement is wet, due the several Tropical Waves taking out the dry Air Protection Shield,
with conditions for development of Systems nice favorable on the 2nd half of the Highway (the last 1000 miles when approaching the Islands from the East),
perfectly warm Sea Surface Temperatures reaching to good depth, low windshear,
Now we still do not have to worry about shyt!
Steering patterns on the 2nd half of the Tropical Highway are a strong WNW-wards pusher,
so what ever may approach the Caribbean from the East, will move towards WNW to miss us on our NE.
at this moment there is anyways only one active TW close, less than 300 miles east of the Antilles,
a weak one and on exactly that WNW-tracking.
the larger wave, to date completely unorganized, located 600 miles wsw of the Cape Verdes,
is running on the 10th" North, so it needs to climb the map a good piece to be able to start a swing.
conditions for anything will not be good before it reaches the half way point of the tropical Highway Run,
AND from there it will be pushed WNW-wards anyways, to keep da Graveyard Busy in the Central Atlantic.

we are looking on a calm rest of the week and a calm and danger free weekend, deep into next week.

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,814
2,273
113
Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
It looks quite busy now out there...

naaa,
that's nothing for this time frame of the year/season.
the few clouds in the Fl?orida straight don't count for us Islanders.
the system over the northern Islands right east of Puerto Rico is just a small area of clouds and rain without a chance to form anything.
and then we have the sure Bet mid highway, that is def a developing Storm,
but the steering currents will not bring it towards the caribbean Sea.
what ever size of Storm develops there the next couple days, it will miss the Islands on their NE'ern side.

BUT!!!
just in case, we will keep the beer fridges stocked for this weekend.
you never know when you need some rehydrating emergency supplies.

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,814
2,273
113
Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
good Monday morning
with a nice outlook on a calm week for Paradise Isle.
94L did cut off it's widespread southern portion as is now def a Storm in the make, despite the heavy dry air on it's West.
it will be the next named Strom/Tropical Storm any moment today.
located ENE of our Island many hundred miles out, wandering northern/NE'ern directions, it will not come any closer to us and never become a concern for our Isle.
so far, nothing in the make out there, the Highway looks clear and should stay quiet for several days into this week.

keep da fridges stocked, just in case, as y'all never know ...

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,814
2,273
113
Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
they don't turn S towards the Equator,
that would take da Spin down and bother development.
steering currents push towards WNW.
we won't know the final tracking before it reaches the half way point/1000 miles E of the Islands,
how high it will reach up into the Atmosphere then will decide the heading of it's future Track.
it should be our 11th TD/named Storm for the Season before the weekend, tho.
the next wave leaving the african WestCoast should hit on a similar/same Location and get the same move over the Cape Verde Islands.

at the moment we have nothing of concern out there

Mike
 

jstarebel

Silver
Oct 4, 2013
3,330
333
83
I believe the last storm to change direction was "wrong way Lenny" . Don't remember the year, but messed up St. Thomas and PR pretty.good. You're right. though. It's unusual for them to track south.
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,814
2,273
113
Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
I believe the last storm to change direction was "wrong way Lenny" . Don't remember the year, but messed up St. Thomas and PR pretty.good. You're right. though. It's unusual for them to track south.

that's right, they can head south and also east, instead of the typical western and northern directions.
there been several storms who went havock by going surprisingly "the otha way".
but not when wandering on the Highway form Africa over here between the 10th and 20th N.
on that pavement ging away from the Equator/northern drift allows for a better Spin of a system/Storm,
to go southwards would take Spin/Power/Organization away from it.

Mike
 

caribmike

Gold
Jul 9, 2009
6,808
202
63
At the moment it looks to me Tropical depression 12 is on its way to us and will change into a storm by Sunday...
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,814
2,273
113
Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
At the moment it looks to me Tropical depression 12 is on its way to us and will change into a storm by Sunday...

to become a Storm, Yes.
to come our way, til now Nope.
it is already over the 17th"N(we are on 18"N) and tracking WNW'wards, means it will miss us well northeast.
the same goes til now for the steering currents for the next wave, approaching waters soon.

Mike