2020 Hurricane Season

Status
Not open for further replies.
Caonabo

Caonabo

LIFE IS GOOD
Sep 27, 2017
7,339
2,949
113
Dolores said:
There is much uncertainty with the forecasts for Nine. I can't remember a storm of this kind so big so early in the Hurricane Season. For the DR hurricane season means September. The last hurricane that was in August, that I can remember was 30 August, Hurricane David, followed by Hurricane Frederick. From a statistical standpoint, storms in the Caribbean and this side of the world develop mostly in late August, September and October.

This is a record setting year for named storms so early in the year. We may run out of names.

Reading about this storm, what is leading to the uncertainties is that it is battling the Sahara Dust remnants and all the dry air. This is causing speculation that its center may be as down south as Barbados. The US Hunter planes have not yet found the center. And the storm is moving quickly 23mph. That is fast for storms. There have been many storms moving at a slow 5mph. A fast storm is much better than a slow storm. It causes less damage.

It is keeping south. Most tracks had shown it going much more to the north. The normal path for hurricanes this time of the year is to swerve north as they pass Puerto Rico.

Need to watch the pressure as an indicator of the threat of the storm. Let's see what the next weather forecasts bring.
Click to expand...

You are absolutely correct Ms. Dolores.
All of the expert sites, and amateur opinions are all over the spectrum regarding this system. I guess we will just have to see, and treat it as a learning experience. Not surprising in this year 2020.
 
D

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
1,626
365
83
I looked at whether stations in USVI, BVI and PR several times today. Winds under 50 mph and most around 25 and under. Rain under 1" per hour but for several hours. Keeping in mind that these require power/internet to function and most working.

I'm not even putting my patio furniture away. (If wrong, they will find new homes.)
 
  • Like
Reactions: colmcb, Caonabo, Auryn and 2 others
D

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
1,626
365
83
cavok said:
That looks like there could be some fairly heavy rain and winds coming directly onshore on the north coast.
Click to expand...
Not THE system we are tracking. It's just rain. I see that wind is up to a wopping 12 mph gusts. Fishing boat just now going out.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Caonabo
Linda Stapleton

Linda Stapleton

Well-known member
Jun 3, 2003
633
46
48
This was Jewel's update from yesterday. Sorry I couldn't get it up then, was traveling back to the DR, just in time for the storm. Will post any updates.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Caonabo
D

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
1,626
365
83
20200729_175051.jpg
20200729_175051.jpg
 
W

william webster

Rest In Peace WW
Jan 16, 2009
30,246
4,332
113
The calm before the storm - hahaha

hasn't even touched Hispaniola yet..... hours to go before getting to POP

Don't get ahead of yourself - those boys have plenty of time to fish
 
  • Like
Reactions: Caonabo
D

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
1,626
365
83
william webster said:
The calm before the storm - hahaha

hasn't even touched Hispaniola yet..... hours to go before getting to POP

Don't get ahead of yourself - those boys have plenty of time to fish
Click to expand...
Isn't that what i just said? This ISN'T the main event that YOU are looking for.

It's just s rain shower.
 
W

william webster

Rest In Peace WW
Jan 16, 2009
30,246
4,332
113
Pto Rico is where the main event is happening now...

My maps show that....

no - you have read the posts wrong - reread
 
C

cavok

Silver
Jun 16, 2014
11,159
5,108
113
Cabarete
DR Solar said:
Not THE system we are tracking. It's just rain. I see that wind is up to a wopping 12 mph gusts. Fishing boat just now going out.
Click to expand...
They've already reported winds over 40mph. Look at the bands on radar. That's where the rain and winds are.
 
K

Ken

Rest In Peace Ken
Jan 1, 2002
13,884
497
83
cavok said:
They've already reported winds over 40mph. Look at the bands on radar. That's where the rain and winds are.
Click to expand...
As usually happens, the projected track is slowly moving to the north, meaning the strongest winds are moving away from the Dominican Republic. Based on past history, by the time the storm gets to the latitude of Puerto Plata it is very likely to have moved off shore and likely curved toward the Bahamas

The 11 pm forecast and track projection will give us a better idea of what we might expect.

Rain is almost a sure bet and Sosua can use some.
 
D

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
1,626
365
83
william webster said:
Pto Rico is where the main event is happening now...

My maps show that....

no - you have read the posts wrong - reread
Click to expand...

You posted about the D.R. and NOT other places. PR? they are NOT having a main event other then lots of rain. Maps? What maps? What on the ground information? I call B.S.
 
K

Ken

Rest In Peace Ken
Jan 1, 2002
13,884
497
83
I have been on the North Coast for a lot of tropical storms/hurricanes, about half of them while living on a sailboat in Samana, and I am having trouble remembering one with this track. Usually, up to now they either past over or at least touch Puerto Rico, than started curving for the north. There was only one that passed over Samana/Puerto Plata in all those years and it remained a tropical storm until it went north.

Most years in fact, by the time the storm got to the latitude of Sosua it was already so far off shore we didn't get rain, or at least hardly any.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom