we have at this moment nothing to worry about and at this time not even the longest of longshot forecast guesses shows anyhing to threaten our Island.
sure, such can change quickly this time of the year, a disturbance could pop up over night close to the East of the Caribbean or SE of DR in the Eastern Caribbean Sea and form into a TS within short hours, to become a threat. such things happened before.
but at this moment nothing of such is in the make anywhere and none of the far away areas of disturbed weather is on any position, from where it would be awaited to wander into our direction.
the steering currents are weak but clear, tho all active areas E of the Caribbean are at this moment and for days to come Heading WNW and then turn up more Northward.
Hurricane Paulette could only become a threat for Bermuda as the only Landmass to reach.
Ex-Rene is a dying ex-storm.
TD20 is still trying to unite a very wide area ofthunderstorms and moisture, hence the slow development.
it is around the Low Center a well organized system and should manage to get the W and SW of the Center located area closer to the Center and wrap them around it. I don't think this one needs more than 2 more days to get this done and build a Wall around the L-Center/means to be a Hurricane.
it should already be a TS by today/Sunday afternoon.
Important to us is the Steering Currents:
TD20, of what ever powers it will reach, will not come close to the Caribbean at any time,
it will be tracking up northwards to the open central Atlantic and never threaten any land.
the Orange Cross 2 is already too far North under given steering currents, so it will move up to northern directions from the beginning.
the Cabo Verde Islands are the only land to get influenced by it.
and this one is for our Canadian follower, to not get scared because i mentioned above the possibility that something not shown on any map could pop up over night in the caribbean sea and develop quickly:
we have actually over the Eastern and Central Caribbean Sea a wide area of quiet harsh 30+ Knots Windshear,
so during this weekend no system popping up here(near DR) would have a chance to any quick development, not even into a small storm.
so simply, Don't Worry about anything this weekend, just enjoy.
our Tropical Highway between Africa and the Caribbean is ready, conditions for storm developmentare good,
but the steering xurrents will actually not bring anything into our direction.
so all is good for now.