Current Caribbean and Atlantic Weather

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jon1

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Mar 29, 2006
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I am visiting Puerto Plata on the 4th for two weeks is the weather getting any better it looks a bit grim for the next week.
 

Chris

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This current weather system should certainly be clear of us by then. A longer term outlook is just too 'iffy' to risk. Our weather is mostly great, however we also have to get rain - else we would not be the beautiful island that we are.

It seldom rains around the clock here, and you usually have rainy patches, interspersed with sunny patches during most days.
 

jon1

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Chris, many thanks very much we get rain most days all of the day - well not quite but it feels that way, and ten hours is a long flight to get the same weather. I cant wait it sounds gorgeous!
 

Chris

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Our normal trade winds are back and the trough over us is slowly dissipating. We should start seeing our normal pattern of sunshine interspersed with tropical showers starting today. The trade winds brought in a patch of moisture and this patch is situated over the center of our island. The trough is expected to rebuild some on Friday, but further away from us. This stationary system has brought much rain to most of the islands in our corner of the Caribbean. Hispaniola, Cuba and Puerto Rico all report mudslides and/or flash floods.
 

Chris

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Our Current Weather Pattern - Variable

We are currently under the influence of an upper trough from 32 North 71 West, across Cuba to around 19 North 81 West. Then we have a surface low located over the Eastern Bahamas with a stationary front extending North Eastwards from this low. Upper level diffluence and surface forcing is generating overcast skies and possible thunderstorms from 19 North, to 32 North and between 63 West and 73 West. We fall within the approximate 240 miles band of showers and thunderstorms caused by this surface low.

Over Hispaniola, the local topography, (i.e., our mountains and terrain) is causing enchanced lift of the cloud cover. Two further surface troughs is helping to create more rain and thunderstorms on our end of this large weather pattern. San Juan Doppler radar indicates that the most organized activity is moving over Hispaniola into the deep moisture associated with the upper trough.

The weak low will be meandering around North of us through Friday, and the upper trough is expected to finally flatten by Saturday. So, this messy weather will most likely diminish by the weekend. We should see more sunshine after that.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh.html
 
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Chris

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There is this band of clouds draped over Hispaniola as a result of a surface low.

http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goes/

It still is likely that the low will begin to move NorthEastwards tomorrow, as the upper trough flattens out. The unsettled weather will continue to shift Eastwards tomorrow and is expected to diffuse by the weekend. We are all hoping for brilliant weather for this important weekend.
 

Chris

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The Heat

It looks like we're going to get a little relief from the heat soon now. Around Punta Cana we have high thunderclouds and generally temperatures are a little lower all around the island, because of the high cloud covering us.

Broken to overcast high clouds are between the Virgin Islands and Jamaica and a few drops of rain fell last night on the Southern side of Hispaniola.

We have a tropical wave around Central Venezuela which should make its way up here in some form or another. Thunderstorms around Northwestern Colombia may also decide to drift our way. So, the relentless heat will have to give way to some tropical storms. Let's see what PJT has to say this morning from his area to see what the rest of us can expect.
 
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