The start of the remarkable DR success happened at a G20 meeting in London with the IMF also there ,when the G20 countries decided that they did not want the economic mess, started by the USA, to destroy the economies of the smaller and less wealthy countries..so the wealthy countries asked that the IMF transfer some of their drawing rights to the less rich countries .
First, Thank You for your response.
Second, a little historical background and clarification.
While I am not so sure I would call what happened a "remarkable DR success," unless you refer to the fact that a lot of the IMF money was spent as earmarked.....but that would be a matter of opinion...and opinions do vary.
Clarifying a bit, the "economic mess" was not started by the US...but rather in it....with the contagion spreading to other countries whose banking institutions were even more exposed and underfunded for such a black swan event.
The G-20 at its then annual meeting pledged to support the IMF and indeed some countries increased their contributions to the fund. The IMF also sold some of its gold reserves to further bolster its liquidity to support weaker economies not likely to economically survive without said liquidity, and the DR was one such country.
The DR took up this extremely generous offer, I do not think that GB ,USA and Europe particularly,knew what horrors lay ahead for them, and so the DR had relatively cheap money to start many projects. In other words, exactly when most cou
ntries were cutting down on government expenditure, on government pensions , etc, the DR was actually blazing ahead with good capital works ..To an extent the DR was also very fortunate that the tourist industry was not affected to nearly the same extent as other countries. I am going to put this down to good promotion but it could have been simply because this is a cheap place to holiday . but all in all ,wonderful economic management by the Central bank of the RD .
But the IMF did not and does not approach a country. Protocol requires the country to request assistance, lest the IMF be viewed as interfering with a sovereign nation.
Once the IMF was asked to return (they had already saved the DR after the Baninter collapse) they initiated a Stand By Agreement with the DR, providing three years of massive liquidity, the likes of which the DR had never seen.
http://www.imf.org/external/np/fin/...1=260&endDate=2015-03-08&finposition_flag=YES
These funds in the form of SDR's (special drawing rights) were used for countless projects in the DR which did in fact boost its growth rate and gave the appearance of a growing economy. But these funds are meant to prime the economic pump....not sustain it indefinitely......and those same funds are in fact loans that add to the debt to GDP ratio.....which for the DR is now at 51%.
And while it's not debt to GDP that really matters....but the ability to pay it back.....the devil is in the details.
For that liquidity, new taxes have been and continue to be implemented as well as measures to provide better and more transparent governance.
My concern here is the DR has stopped borrowing from the IMF. And while at first blush one would assume that is a good thing, it actually may have the opposite effect.
Since the DR has in essence stopped borrowing from the IMF, they no longer have to abide by those strings attached (new taxes, better governance) the IMF would have demanded for those new loans....and the Central Bank is now left to manage or mismanage the economy.
And yes the DR has been fortunate that Tourism, while declining after the economic crisis, has rebounded nicely. But that is more due to luck than it is to government policy. Ditto for remittances and the new bright spot....exports.
But all this has come at a price.
The DR continues to be burdened by deficit spending and debt. And while neither spell doom on their own, any financial crisis added to the mix, could spell difficult times ahead for the economy.
And right now, there are just way too many possibilities as I outlined in my prior post.
All that having been said, the Central Bank could guide the economy away from rocky shores.....but history and the government may not be on their side.
Respectfully,
Playacaribe2