global reserve currency

jackcrew

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Aug 5, 2010
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Somebody has to pay

The Simpson-Bowles Commission found hundreds to tax loopholes which would save over a trillion dollars without decreasing anyone's paycheck. But apparently some members of Congress considers a closed loophole the equivalent to a tax increase and pulled it from negotiations. And yes, there is a spending problem - it is called fighting two wars with a credit card. Bush cut taxes (good for him) when we had a budget surplus. But when we got attacked he opened two war fronts without ever asking a dime from Congress in order to pay for them. I remember he said the economy was weak after the attacks and we should go shopping. Fine, but a decade later there still has not been any revenue increase to pay for the wars.

Somebody has to pay for America's choice to fight wars and I don't think it should be based on cutting the retirement pensions for teachers and firemen. Tax the rich because they can most easily afford it. Move the tax rate up from 36% to 39% for them like it was under Clinton. Call me a bleeding-heart-socialist-populist if you want but even Alan Greenspan stated the Bush tax cuts should be repealed and the tax code reset to Clinton era rates (and nobody has ever called Greenspan a populist). Reform the Medicare and Social Security programs if need be but don't tell me to not tax the rich (or new rhetorical term Job Creators). They survived during the 1990s paying 39%, they will survive again.

Concerning the global reserve currency - who cares? France proposed such a thing during DeGualle's tenure. His argument was that it gave America an unfair economic advantage when borrowing...and it does. The dollar always worked well because of its stability. But as other economies strengthen and other currencies become strong (Brazilian Real, China's Yuan, Canada's Dollar, India's Rupee, Britain's Pound), it doesn't make sense to use just one country's currency (especially since that nation continues to make bad economic policies). Eventually it will happen.

But let us face the fact that as bad as America's economic and political troubles are currently, who else can the world depend on? For a while people thought Europe might emerge as a counter-valance to the US. But recent developments demonstrate that the EU still needs some time to work out their issues. Brazil, Russia, India...I don't think so. China? I don't think the world will soon look to China for the global defense of life, liberty, and freedom. So until there is a viable alternative, the US (and by default its currency) is still the best choice.

Now as an American, I can say that at this point, I don't give a damn who is president or who leads Congress or what party is to be blamed or defended... those mother-f@$%ing politicians need to get this sh!t fixed and put country before any other consideration. And I don't care about the next generation either...I want it fixed during this generation!
 
Jan 9, 2004
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The Simpson-Bowles Commission found hundreds to tax loopholes which would save over a trillion dollars without decreasing anyone's paycheck. But apparently some members of Congress considers a closed loophole the equivalent to a tax increase and pulled it from negotiations.


This has now become a crisis of leadership at the top. To be sure, Congress is not immune from deserved criticism, but the buck stops with the President.

President Obama created a bi-partisan deficit commission (Simpson-Bowles) which produced a balanced approach of tax cuts and spending reductions in the 4 Trillion area. Interestingly enough, that is the area of cuts and reductions the S&P had been looking for when they warned the U.S. of a potential downgrade in April.

The President however declined to endorse the plan or offer one of his own. By not doing that, he opened the door for the new Tea Party Congessional delegation to bring us to the brink. I criticized him in the Presidential election thread here on DR1 as not being decisive enough. I think my quote was that he voted "Present" (so he could not be criticized for a yes or no vote) far too many times as a Senator and this to me showed lack of decisiveness and leadership. I am afraid he will go down in history as one of our worst Presidents and there will be multiple comparisons to him and President Herbert Hoover. He certainly has not lived up to the hype. Certainly you can lay claim to that "he is better than President Bush," or "better than John McCAin would have been." But right now, we need to deal with What it is, not what it was or what it could have been.

Tomorrow will be an interesting day for sure. The ECB held emergency talks this morning on Italy. The G-7 did likewise today on the impact of the US downgrade on the worlwide financial markets. Lots of us smaller players held working breakfasts trying to determine where interest rates will be tomorrow and beyond.

If he intends to seek another term, President Obama needs to boldly take charge of this situation. Great leaders get that way by inspiring confidence and taking charge. To use a sports metaphor, President Obama needs to raise his game to the next level.

My apologies in advance to the moderators for not keeping this Dominican related, but it does and will impact them at some point.


Respectfully,
Playacaribe2
 

peep2

Bronze
Oct 24, 2004
581
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To go back to the beginning, how is all this going to effect those of us who live in the D.R. whose income is in US dollars? What effect will irresponsible U.S. finances have on the peso?
 

cobraboy

Pro-Bono Demolition Hobbyist
Jul 24, 2004
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To go back to the beginning, how is all this going to effect those of us who live in the D.R. whose income is in US dollars? What effect will irresponsible U.S. finances have on the peso?
Directly, when U.S. prosperity dries up, so do remittances to the DR. When budget cutting comes to the US...and guaranteed it WILL in a large dose...USAID will have it's budget slashed and that has significant downstream consequences. Both will have an enormous negative effect.

IMO, the $ and the peso are devaluating at approx. the same rate so the exchange isn't changing a whole lot...
 

Tarheel

Well-known member
Dec 19, 2005
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There is no currency that can replace the dollar. You can talk about it all you want but it's not going to change. Clearly Obama has not been tough enough and I doubt that his pesonality will change.

Revenue increases have to be part of the solution. In 1947 the US had a debt that was equal to the GDP. How did we manage to get out of that? The answer is growth of the economy took care of the problem. Growth of the economy has to be the biggest part of the overall equation. Our current problem is the Tea Party people don't understand this. They want to focus on reducing the debt exclusively. They are one trick ponies.

What would have happened if Obama has said before the debt ceiling debate "Give me a clean debt ceiling increase without negotiations"? I think he would have gotten it. However, I'm not giving him a pass. He allowed the other side to control the debate. Shame on him.

We need leadership and someone who can control congress like Lyndon Johnson. He wouldn't have taken any crap from the Tea Party. Concerning the markets; I am confident that they have already adjusted for the downgrade.

S&P is a loser. They rated subprime morgage back securities triple A. They don't know what they are doing.
 

cobraboy

Pro-Bono Demolition Hobbyist
Jul 24, 2004
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Growth of the economy has to be the biggest part of the overall equation. Our current problem is the Tea Party people don't understand this. They want to focus on reducing the debt exclusively.
You are absolutely 100% incorrect in this assessment. THEY are the ones who preach growth. They are the ones who exploded onto the scene BECAUSE they saw leftist policies that were anti-business and anti-growth, sucking $$$ out of the private sector with socialized medicine, unfunded mandates, onerous regulations, heavy-handed big gubmint and the threat of increased tax burdens.

The TP movement HAPPENED because of the abject fear of Big Gubmint killing growth.

FACT is Obama formed the Simpson-Bowles debt group who made some concrete suggestions that eceeded what S&P required back in March to avoid a downgrade and he flat blew off their suggestions. Additionally, the debt ceiling didn't just happened. We spend tens of millions of tax $$$ a year to have eggheads with computers (maybe even Apples...:cheeky:) that track precisely those numbers. This has been brewing for a while. It didn't have to happen this way.

While DC was fiddling, America burned...
 

cobraboy

Pro-Bono Demolition Hobbyist
Jul 24, 2004
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Never trust a politician, and never give politicians any more power than you'd give your neighbor's 15 y.o. son.

PJ O'Rourke said:
Giving money and power to government is like giving whiskey and car keys to teenage boys.
 

Contango

Banned
Dec 27, 2010
2,196
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I'm on the Wrong Side of the Trade...

Experiencing some serious pain... long CMI CAT DE BTU TD, and a few other bashed in stocks..
I have to ride it out, or sell at a serious loss.. I mistakenly bought the DIP a week early... all of a sudden now i'm a long term investor, as opposed to a trader..
Close to margin call... air feels sucked out of the room.. ugh..
 

cobraboy

Pro-Bono Demolition Hobbyist
Jul 24, 2004
40,964
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Politicians are like pimps they promise you the world and then f.ck you!!!
I'm just hoping that folks are beginning to see what folks here have mocked me for saying: gubmint is the problem, not the people.

When you believe a politician can solve your problems, you will be perpetually disappointed.

Please recall the many times I have quoted

CB's Law of Rhetorical Economics said:
The reason "talk is cheap" is because the supply exceeds the demand.
 

bob saunders

Platinum
Jan 1, 2002
32,580
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dr1.com
You are absolutely 100% incorrect in this assessment. THEY are the ones who preach growth. They are the ones who exploded onto the scene BECAUSE they saw leftist policies that were anti-business and anti-growth, sucking $$$ out of the private sector with socialized medicine, unfunded mandates, onerous regulations, heavy-handed big gubmint and the threat of increased tax burdens.

The TP movement HAPPENED because of the abject fear of Big Gubmint killing growth.

FACT is Obama formed the Simpson-Bowles debt group who made some concrete suggestions that eceeded what S&P required back in March to avoid a downgrade and he flat blew off their suggestions. Additionally, the debt ceiling didn't just happened. We spend tens of millions of tax $$$ a year to have eggheads with computers (maybe even Apples...:cheeky:) that track precisely those numbers. This has been brewing for a while. It didn't have to happen this way.

While DC was fiddling, America burned...

Socialized medicine is not the problem, the problem is the administrative and drug costs, combined with the expensive treatment due to mal-practise insurance rates. (That's just medical Care). The real problem is the sense of entitlement; that you can have medicare, social programs, good road...etc without having to pay for it. Sometimes taxes are necessary but make them equal, and fair with no loop holes.
 

cobraboy

Pro-Bono Demolition Hobbyist
Jul 24, 2004
40,964
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Socialized medicine is not the problem, the problem is the administrative and drug costs, combined with the expensive treatment due to mal-practise insurance rates. (That's just medical Care). The real problem is the sense of entitlement; that you can have medicare, social programs, good road...etc without having to pay for it. Sometimes taxes are necessary but make them equal, and fair with no loop holes.
Not much argument from me. I'd have been mo' bettah with ObamaCare had it been structured much differently. But Obamacare is just one (large) log on the fire. Frankly, it should have never been poushed in the middle of a recession/depression. Insane timing.
 

Tamborista

hasta la tambora
Apr 4, 2005
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Fair value is a CNBC puppet head term , the market is trading at 1777!
I thought you were a trader not an investor?
Put your helmet on & get in the game son.