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hurricane season 2017
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Fishy
I was thinking of the Samana peninsula....
one side on the bahia side - the eastern side and the other on the western side.
Wind from the east blowing west would be harder on the bay side....
blowing from the back on the western shoreline and hidden by the ridge in the middle
Hurricane Irma has become so strong it's showing up on seismometers used to measure earthquakes
Florida, Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands have declared states of emergency
US-bound Hurricane Irma has gotten so strong that it is showing up on equipment designed to measure earthquakes.
Stephen Hicks, a seismologist at the National Oceanography Centre Southampton, said seismometer recordings on Guadeloupe, an island group in the southern Caribbean Sea, show the now-Category 5 storm approaching the Lesser Antilles, another Caribbean island group.
“Seismometer recordings from the past 48 hours on Guadeloupe show Cat. 5 #Hurricane #Irma driving closer toward the Lesser Antilles,” Dr Hicks tweeted.
n a later tweet, Dr Hicks clarified that background noise – for example, wind causing trees to move and crashing ocean waves – was causing seismographs to pick up Irma.
Irma, which is already the strongest hurricane ever recorded outside the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, is likely to make landfall somewhere in Florida over the weekend.
Florida, Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands have declared states of emergency.
Rick Scott, the governor of Florida, has said the exact path of the storm is unknown, but it could affect “millions of Floridians”.
Because of Irma’s size and power, very dangerous weather could also occur up to 200 miles away from the eyewall, the most devastating region of a hurricane.
“The hurricane force winds in Irma are wider than Florida,” tweeted Bryan Norcross, hurricane specialist at the Weather Channel. “You won’t need a direct hit to get Wilma-type winds & storm surge on both coasts.”
As Florida and nearby states and territories prepare to be battered by Irma, Texas continues to reel from the devastation caused by Hurricane Harvey in August.
Texas Governor Greg Abbott has suggested repair costs could total $180bn. Donald Trump sent Congress a $7.9bn request for an initial down payment for Harvey relief and recovery efforts.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...thquake-measurement-seismometer-a7931286.html
Florida, Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands have declared states of emergency
US-bound Hurricane Irma has gotten so strong that it is showing up on equipment designed to measure earthquakes.
Stephen Hicks, a seismologist at the National Oceanography Centre Southampton, said seismometer recordings on Guadeloupe, an island group in the southern Caribbean Sea, show the now-Category 5 storm approaching the Lesser Antilles, another Caribbean island group.
“Seismometer recordings from the past 48 hours on Guadeloupe show Cat. 5 #Hurricane #Irma driving closer toward the Lesser Antilles,” Dr Hicks tweeted.
n a later tweet, Dr Hicks clarified that background noise – for example, wind causing trees to move and crashing ocean waves – was causing seismographs to pick up Irma.
Irma, which is already the strongest hurricane ever recorded outside the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, is likely to make landfall somewhere in Florida over the weekend.
Florida, Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands have declared states of emergency.
Rick Scott, the governor of Florida, has said the exact path of the storm is unknown, but it could affect “millions of Floridians”.
Because of Irma’s size and power, very dangerous weather could also occur up to 200 miles away from the eyewall, the most devastating region of a hurricane.
“The hurricane force winds in Irma are wider than Florida,” tweeted Bryan Norcross, hurricane specialist at the Weather Channel. “You won’t need a direct hit to get Wilma-type winds & storm surge on both coasts.”
As Florida and nearby states and territories prepare to be battered by Irma, Texas continues to reel from the devastation caused by Hurricane Harvey in August.
Texas Governor Greg Abbott has suggested repair costs could total $180bn. Donald Trump sent Congress a $7.9bn request for an initial down payment for Harvey relief and recovery efforts.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...thquake-measurement-seismometer-a7931286.html
Jet Blue has published the following statement on it's website:
Hurricane Irma fee waivers
Last Updated: 9/5/2017 4:10 PM ET
Due to the impending weather forecasted in the Caribbean and Florida regions, we will waive fees and increases in fare for customers within the parameters below.
Eastern Caribbean
Customers traveling Tuesday, September 5, 2017 through Thursday, September 7, 2017 to/from:
Aguadilla, Puerto Rico (BQN)
Antigua (ANU)
Ponce, Puerto Rico (PSE)
San Juan, Puerto Rico (SJU)
St. Croix (STX)
St. Maarten (SXM)
St. Thomas (STT)
Customers may rebook their flights for travel through Monday, September 11, 2017 online in the ‘Manage Flights’ section of jetblue.com or by calling 1-800-JETBLUE (538-2583) prior to the departure time of their originally scheduled flight. Customers with cancelled flights may also opt for a refund to the original form of payment. Original travel must have been booked on or before Monday, September 4, 2017.
Western Caribbean
Customers traveling Wednesday, September 6, 2017 through Friday, September 8, 2017 to/from:
Puerto Plata, DR (POP)
San Juan, PR (SJU)
Punta Cana, DR (PUJ)
Santo Domingo, DR (SDQ)
Santiago, DR (STI)
Havana, Cuba (HAV)
Santa Clara, Cuba (SNU)
Camaguey, Cuba (CMW)
Holguin, Cuba (HOG)
Providenciales, Turks & Caicos (PLS)
Nassau, Bahamas (NAS)
Customers may rebook their flights for travel through Tuesday, September 12, 2017 online in the ‘Manage Flights’ section of jetblue.com or by calling 1-800-JETBLUE (538-2583) prior to the departure time of their originally scheduled flight. Customers with cancelled flights may also opt for a refund to the original form of payment. Original travel must have been booked on or before Tuesday, September 5, 2017.
Florida region
Customers traveling Saturday, September 9, 2017 through Sunday, September 10, 2017 to/from:
Fort Lauderale, FL (FLL)
West Palm Beach, FL (PBI)
Fort Myers, FL (RSW)
Sarasota, FL (SRQ)
Tampa, FL (TPA)
Orlando, FL (MCO)
Customers may rebook their flights for travel through Tuesday, September 12, 2017 online in the ‘Manage Flights’ section of jetblue.com or by calling 1-800-JETBLUE (538-2583) prior to the departure time of their originally scheduled flight. Customers with cancelled flights may also opt for a refund to the original form of payment. Original travel must have been booked on or before Tuesday, September 5, 2017.
Hurricane Irma fee waivers
Last Updated: 9/5/2017 4:10 PM ET
Due to the impending weather forecasted in the Caribbean and Florida regions, we will waive fees and increases in fare for customers within the parameters below.
Eastern Caribbean
Customers traveling Tuesday, September 5, 2017 through Thursday, September 7, 2017 to/from:
Aguadilla, Puerto Rico (BQN)
Antigua (ANU)
Ponce, Puerto Rico (PSE)
San Juan, Puerto Rico (SJU)
St. Croix (STX)
St. Maarten (SXM)
St. Thomas (STT)
Customers may rebook their flights for travel through Monday, September 11, 2017 online in the ‘Manage Flights’ section of jetblue.com or by calling 1-800-JETBLUE (538-2583) prior to the departure time of their originally scheduled flight. Customers with cancelled flights may also opt for a refund to the original form of payment. Original travel must have been booked on or before Monday, September 4, 2017.
Western Caribbean
Customers traveling Wednesday, September 6, 2017 through Friday, September 8, 2017 to/from:
Puerto Plata, DR (POP)
San Juan, PR (SJU)
Punta Cana, DR (PUJ)
Santo Domingo, DR (SDQ)
Santiago, DR (STI)
Havana, Cuba (HAV)
Santa Clara, Cuba (SNU)
Camaguey, Cuba (CMW)
Holguin, Cuba (HOG)
Providenciales, Turks & Caicos (PLS)
Nassau, Bahamas (NAS)
Customers may rebook their flights for travel through Tuesday, September 12, 2017 online in the ‘Manage Flights’ section of jetblue.com or by calling 1-800-JETBLUE (538-2583) prior to the departure time of their originally scheduled flight. Customers with cancelled flights may also opt for a refund to the original form of payment. Original travel must have been booked on or before Tuesday, September 5, 2017.
Florida region
Customers traveling Saturday, September 9, 2017 through Sunday, September 10, 2017 to/from:
Fort Lauderale, FL (FLL)
West Palm Beach, FL (PBI)
Fort Myers, FL (RSW)
Sarasota, FL (SRQ)
Tampa, FL (TPA)
Orlando, FL (MCO)
Customers may rebook their flights for travel through Tuesday, September 12, 2017 online in the ‘Manage Flights’ section of jetblue.com or by calling 1-800-JETBLUE (538-2583) prior to the departure time of their originally scheduled flight. Customers with cancelled flights may also opt for a refund to the original form of payment. Original travel must have been booked on or before Tuesday, September 5, 2017.
Hurricane Warning entire north coast of la rep dom.
North and Easthsores are under Hurricane Warning in DR.
Mike
17.1 !!! Not climbing north !!
of course it is climbing, all day long.
and of course very slowly, it will not do any sharp turn, such never been awaited.
17.1N and 15mphr froward Speed.
new set timeline:
arrival north of the Mona Passage, closest approach towards Punta Cana,
Wednesday night between midnight and thursday 3AM.
Mike
this Irma is so far on it's predicted path.
it will come a bit closer and a bit farer all the time, thats normal on such tracking.
over all it is wandering all day long on teh Tracking forecasted yesterday.
of course we have Hurricane warning for the North and even for the whole Eastshores,
such thing is never sure to not turn towards the Eastcoast and it anyways is very close to the north shores.
til now no hit forecasted on DR Terrain and very likely no Hurricane winds to be received on DR Terrain,
but such is not out of the possibilities.
20 miles further north or south of a predicted path would make a immense difference on the outcome on such close forecasted storm, and the error possibilities on the Tracking are waaay bigger than just such short distance of error.
the whole coastlines under Hurricane Alert have to be already Ready to move within a very short time/right away to a shelter or House/PLace/Hideout safe to stand Hurricane Forces.
thats the meaning of such Hurricane Alert.
and i really hope people understand that and have a sure plan where to move to in case their home is not safe under hurricane force.
Mike
it will come a bit closer and a bit farer all the time, thats normal on such tracking.
over all it is wandering all day long on teh Tracking forecasted yesterday.
of course we have Hurricane warning for the North and even for the whole Eastshores,
such thing is never sure to not turn towards the Eastcoast and it anyways is very close to the north shores.
til now no hit forecasted on DR Terrain and very likely no Hurricane winds to be received on DR Terrain,
but such is not out of the possibilities.
20 miles further north or south of a predicted path would make a immense difference on the outcome on such close forecasted storm, and the error possibilities on the Tracking are waaay bigger than just such short distance of error.
the whole coastlines under Hurricane Alert have to be already Ready to move within a very short time/right away to a shelter or House/PLace/Hideout safe to stand Hurricane Forces.
thats the meaning of such Hurricane Alert.
and i really hope people understand that and have a sure plan where to move to in case their home is not safe under hurricane force.
Mike
Maybe a reminder is in order where public shelters will be located: http://www.coe.gob.do/index.php/albergues
If you are on the North Coast and need gas, go get it now. Queues at gas stations and already some pumps dry.
A lucky point? At least the bulk of the storm should be during daylight hours. Nothing like trying to survive in the middle of the night with only a flashlight.
I still hope that the mountains in the PR and DR will knock it down a notch or two. Maybe not. On present track, mostly TS conditions for the north coast with gusts into Cat. 1. Being on the ocean, it's still the ocean surf and breaking waves being really high that worries me. Rain and flooding will keep us at home for a time along with downed trees and other obstacles.
Power, internet, water, TV most likely out for who knows how long. So having some plans for that should be considered and how you handle it. It's not just the storm.... it's how long to get back to normal and being able to cope with that time.
If you are not ready by now or can not finish being ready by tomorrow afternoon............... you might want to grab that already packed "get out of town" bag and do so.
Thanks again to Mr. Fisher.
I still hope that the mountains in the PR and DR will knock it down a notch or two. Maybe not. On present track, mostly TS conditions for the north coast with gusts into Cat. 1. Being on the ocean, it's still the ocean surf and breaking waves being really high that worries me. Rain and flooding will keep us at home for a time along with downed trees and other obstacles.
Power, internet, water, TV most likely out for who knows how long. So having some plans for that should be considered and how you handle it. It's not just the storm.... it's how long to get back to normal and being able to cope with that time.
If you are not ready by now or can not finish being ready by tomorrow afternoon............... you might want to grab that already packed "get out of town" bag and do so.
Thanks again to Mr. Fisher.
I see the Florida Keys are already under evacuation. Does the Government here ever warn people to evacuate ahead of time from coastal areas? We're just darn too close to the ocean. Concerned but not able to leave. We've heard people in Cabarete (Dominicans and expats leaving to Santiago and Santo Domingo).
The path has moved north/south several times being 20 miles or more difference. Being on the "edge" is a lot different from a full head-on hit. The north coast will not get hit with Cat. 5 winds. (unless she very much changes direction.)
So far it looks like POP in the TS 80% to almost 100% of the time. Cat. 1 gusts will happen. The odds of sustained Cat. 1 winds at this time are still low.
But we have to wait for her to move along to get more and better information.
and for any kinda plans guys have, whatsoever,
one important Point:
the shut will not start to hit the Ven when the Storm_Center is closest to your location,
it will start many many hous before, because such Storm carries shutloads on all sides, not just at it's Center.
it should start to get nasty here on the SE about noon ahead tomorrow.
from there on people should simply not be out on the streets anymore and sure not plan to start a travel somewhere tomorrow afternoon or even in the evening.
once the Sun stops to shine in it's usual perfect manner, is the time to be at safe sweet home,
ready to close the doors when ever it starts to get more than just nasty.
and it will get more than nasty .
Mike
one important Point:
the shut will not start to hit the Ven when the Storm_Center is closest to your location,
it will start many many hous before, because such Storm carries shutloads on all sides, not just at it's Center.
it should start to get nasty here on the SE about noon ahead tomorrow.
from there on people should simply not be out on the streets anymore and sure not plan to start a travel somewhere tomorrow afternoon or even in the evening.
once the Sun stops to shine in it's usual perfect manner, is the time to be at safe sweet home,
ready to close the doors when ever it starts to get more than just nasty.
and it will get more than nasty .
Mike
Recon. just now recording 173 knot winds (199mph) and 913.1mb. Scary.
Thankfully my friends are in Nevis and it should turn north west soon and head through Barbuda and SXM/Anguilla and St Barts but the thought of facing this head on makes one want to crap.
I know Barbuda well and a few folks there and there is very little substantial there and it is very low lying where the 1600 or so people live so it could be carnage.
We must remember that maybe 50k Dominicans live in the at risk areas.
Thankfully my friends are in Nevis and it should turn north west soon and head through Barbuda and SXM/Anguilla and St Barts but the thought of facing this head on makes one want to crap.
I know Barbuda well and a few folks there and there is very little substantial there and it is very low lying where the 1600 or so people live so it could be carnage.
We must remember that maybe 50k Dominicans live in the at risk areas.
I'm confused. You can't leave? Why not?
The Govt here won't order an evacuation because logistically it can't pull something like that off. Many do not own a car and you really can't pile the family onto a moto and head to Santiago with clothes and other essentials. There aren't enough buses to move a population and the roads couldn't handle the traffic volume anyways.
So back to you. You are concerned about the safety of the location you are in. You have heard of others who are also not satisfied with their situation and have left for somewhere safer. You have chosen to stay because? That little voice in your head is what you should be listening to, not the Government. In other words, if you are standing on the tracks and the train is coming full speed towards you, are you satisfied to wait for the train to stop or are you going to get out of the way on your own?
Good luck.
i decided i should dedicate tomorrow to baking just in case and sent miesposo to jose luis for last minute shopping. he said it was a mess already, packed with folks buying supplies.
he is only working until noon tomorrow and we are going to do our hurricane prep tomorrow. locking the cats, bringing the dogs in for the night, all that jazz. remember to bring your rubbish bins inside as well, that stuff may fly.
he is only working until noon tomorrow and we are going to do our hurricane prep tomorrow. locking the cats, bringing the dogs in for the night, all that jazz. remember to bring your rubbish bins inside as well, that stuff may fly.
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