Mark Penn: Abinader 39%, Castillo 37%, Fernández 10%, Vega had said phone polls are not trustworthy in the DR


Staff member
Feb 20, 2019

From 20 to 25 May 2020, Mark Penn/Stagwell pollsters asked 1,000 eligible voters who they would vote for on that day. The answers: the presidential candidate of the Modern Revolutionary Party, Luis Abinader, would obtain 39% of the votes, Gonzalo Castillo of the ruling Dominican Liberation Party (PLD) would get 37%, Leonel Fernández of the People’s Force 10%, Guillermo Moreno of Country Alliance (Al Pais) 1%, and undecided 13%. This is the first time Mark Penn Stagwell polls Dominicans by telephone (mobile). The results mean a costly second round election is likely to happen. Dominican electoral law establishes that to win in a first round 50%+1 of the vote is needed. The first round is scheduled for 5 July 2020, the second round is scheduled for 26 July 2020

In the previous Mark Penn Stagwell person-to-person poll of 1,003 persons, published on 16 January 2020, the numbers...
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