A friend of mine studies this quite a bit.....
Here's his recent report......... I made the colors
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The facts speak for themselves:
The first phase of curfew ended on 30th June and the second phase started on 20th July.
In those 20 days we saw the confirmed cases jump by 20,569 to an average of one thousand a day with and average of 17 deaths daily and a jump in active cases by nearly thirteen thousand to 27,402 from 14,729. along with an increase in positivity from 20% to 30%.
Only now after more curfew, the active cases are diminishing again and the positivity is dropping at times below 20% and the daily numbers are much lower with more testing too. The cases and positivity is still too high and the government knows it.
Curfew works well for DR now and the intelligent view from government is we need to keep the pressure on, whilst bearing down on where cases are happening through local measures and education.
A foolish view is to cease curfew and see another unsustainable peaking of cases as before and another need to damp down the virus. That would be another disaster.
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If the gov't keeps this up and the success continues, it's easy to imagine a 10pm thereabouts curfew
There is no denying that the numbers are improving -
More testing and fewer cases.....
Here's his recent report......... I made the colors
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The facts speak for themselves:
The first phase of curfew ended on 30th June and the second phase started on 20th July.
In those 20 days we saw the confirmed cases jump by 20,569 to an average of one thousand a day with and average of 17 deaths daily and a jump in active cases by nearly thirteen thousand to 27,402 from 14,729. along with an increase in positivity from 20% to 30%.
Only now after more curfew, the active cases are diminishing again and the positivity is dropping at times below 20% and the daily numbers are much lower with more testing too. The cases and positivity is still too high and the government knows it.
Curfew works well for DR now and the intelligent view from government is we need to keep the pressure on, whilst bearing down on where cases are happening through local measures and education.
A foolish view is to cease curfew and see another unsustainable peaking of cases as before and another need to damp down the virus. That would be another disaster.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
If the gov't keeps this up and the success continues, it's easy to imagine a 10pm thereabouts curfew
There is no denying that the numbers are improving -
More testing and fewer cases.....