{"id":71428,"date":"2016-02-03T16:38:50","date_gmt":"2016-02-03T16:38:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/dr1.com\/new\/?p=71428"},"modified":"2016-02-03T16:38:50","modified_gmt":"2016-02-03T16:38:50","slug":"gallup-rep-explains-difference-in-poll-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dr1.com\/news\/2016\/02\/03\/gallup-rep-explains-difference-in-poll-results\/","title":{"rendered":"Gallup rep explains difference in poll results"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Gallup representative in the Dominican Republic, Rafael Acevedo has given some possible reasons for the marked difference in the results of one poll contracted by a business group that took place on 8-12 January 2016 and another from 24 and 27 January 2016 nationwide with a sample size of 1,200.<\/p>\n

The 8-12 January poll showed Medina with 57% and Luis Abinader (PRM) with 27.8%. <\/p>\n

The 24-27 January poll showed Medina with 51.8% and Luis Abinader with 35.7%. <\/p>\n

Acevedo said that when responding to the 8-12 January poll the respondents were still in holiday mode, which was no longer the case in 24-27 January, when reality began to sink in. <\/p>\n

Acevedo said this effect is known as “lagging effect.” <\/p>\n

A second probable reason for the difference could be political polarization, explained Acevedo. He explains this happens when followers focus on two candidates. <\/p>\n

The 51.8% vote for Medina reported by Gallup makes a second round much more likely than with the previous 57%. <\/p>\n

Rafael Acevedo explica el porqu\u00e9 de las diferencias entre encuestas<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n