Section 5 : Application of the Methodology to New York
Table 8: 2000 Census State- and City-level Estimates of New York City’s Population by Latino Groups
| Universe |
Total Population |
State-level Census Citizenship Data |
City-level Census Citizenship Data |
| % of Adult Citizen |
Number of Adult Citizen |
% of Adult Citizen |
Number of Adult Citizen |
| Total |
8,008,278 |
65.74 |
5,264,642 |
58.48 |
4,683,241 |
| Latino |
2,161,530 |
43.59 |
942,211 |
45.79 |
989,765 |
| Puerto Rican* |
784,297 |
67.53 |
529,636 |
68.61 |
538,106 |
| Dominican |
425,739 |
32.95 |
140,281 |
32.66 |
139,046 |
| Mexican |
177,527 |
17.67 |
31,369 |
14.43 |
25,617 |
| Colombian |
81,566 |
39.29 |
32,047 |
39.34 |
32,088 |
| Cuban |
41,474 |
67.11 |
27,833 |
69.03 |
28,630 |
| Salvadorian |
25,266 |
20.28 |
5,124 |
27.38 |
6,918 |
Source: 2000 US Census Bureau; Summary File-4
*For the sake of consistency Puerto Ricans were included in all calculations. While we recognize
the citizenship privilege they possess as American citizens upon birth, the census does present
(either through self-reporting error or special circumstances) a small percentage of Puerto Ricans
that were in fact naturalized. For the sake of consistency Puerto Ricans were included at all
calculation levels throughout the study.
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According to the state level calculation, New York City should have an 89 percent
citizen population, regardless if native or foreign-born. However, the city level
data shows that this is in fact the case for only 80 percent of the population.
The discrepancy could be attributed to the continued influx of newly arriving immigrant
groups arriving to New York City.
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Table 9 shows the relative percent difference between the state and city level data.
It is important to note that the Salvadorian community has the largest discrepancy,
which also happens to be negative. Thus, our data for New York City underestimates
the number of citizens by 10 percent and the number of adult Salvadorian citizens by 26 percent.
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The Census city data shows that there are more US citizens of Salvadorian descent who
live in the city than in the rest of the State of New York.
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Table 9: Percentage Difference Between the State-based and City-based Citizenship Population Estimated Values
| Universe |
% Difference between No. of Citizens at the State versus City level |
% Difference between No. of Adult Citizens at the State versus City level |
| Total |
11 |
12.4 |
| Latino |
1 |
-4.8 |
| Puerto Rican |
0 |
-1.6 |
| Dominican |
1 |
0.9 |
| Mexican |
12 |
22.5 |
| Colombian |
2 |
-0.1 |
| Cuban |
1 |
-2.8 |
| Salvadorian |
-10 |
-25.9 |
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For Dominicans, the estimated projection seen in Table 9 works very well.
This high level of accuracy can be attributed to the fact that Dominicans
are highly concentrated in urban areas. According to the 2000 Census, 99 percent
of Dominicans reside in urban areas, thus it brings credibility and precision to
the urban congressional district data generated nationwide.
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Summary
The shift-share projection is applied to New York City and compared to results
generated from the study. The high-level of accuracy observed for Dominicans and
the other Latino groups in terms of citizenship rates brings credibility and
precision to the The significance and importance of this congressional
district-level study cannot be understated.
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As Dominican-Americans move forward in formulating a national agenda the
limitations of the data and the research opportunities the data presents
must be clear to the Dominican community and the reader. It is the goal
of this section to highlight these very concerns while reflecting how the
findings can lead to further intellectual and political growth prospects.
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