Top Tick Buyers Trying to Break Even
Paul Thate says:
"But there are still many around priced where the owner says
well I spend 10 years ago 300 000 I need some profit , so he offers for sale at 350 000. That house is probably worth 100 -200 000 so will never sell."
Paul,
I think you are right-on-target. I hear from smart guys like Jazz (Scott) that there has been some real DEpreciation in property values in/around Cabarete. Yet, the owner feels he/she has to make a profit (for ego reasons I suppose). This is how real estate velocity disappears: buyers' bid are reflective of the economics of the property (put a 20% cap. rate on the funds from operations -- rental income less expenses), but the sellers price their offer on what they paid (which is irrelevant).
It seems to me that given one can earn 15% plus in a US$ account in the DR, a real property (with all the hassles and risks) should earn a 20% cash-on-cash return. Thus, a property that cash flows US$20,000/year should be valued at US$100,000 (20% cap rate = 5 x cash flow). Yet, there are guy asking $300-600,000 for such a property? Sure, there is a land value aspect to a property, but in theory that land value should be tied to the cash flows that can be created on that property. If the owner has failed to create more than US$20,000 in net cash flow on that land, then why should I feel I'm so omnipotent that I can create US$100,000 (US$500,000 property asking price reverse capitalized at 20% rate) in free cash flow? Is the current owner that negligent or inept? Or is tourism simply heading south and there are too many properties for rent in Cabarete?