According to the results of an Asisa Research Group poll, announced on Tuesday, 11 September 2018, former President Leonel Fernández of the ruling PLD political party would win the 2020 presidential elections with 48.2% over Luis Abinader of the Revolutionary Modern Party (PRM) with 40.2% if they were held on the day of the poll. Abinader was the PRM presidential candidacy in the 2016 presidential election.
The poll was carried out between 1 and 3 September 2018 with 5.9% of those polled saying they would vote for neither and 5.6% refusing to answer of 1,207 persons polled nationwide. The results were revealed by the director general of Asisa, Lilian Pagán, and Mildred Pimentel, who acted as head of the polling project. 1,207 Dominican voters were polled across the country.
The potential voters were asked who they thought was most likely to win the presidential election. The top answer was 88% saying Leonel Fernandez, followed by Danilo Medina and Luis Abinader who each had 19%. The 2015 Constitution bans President Danilo Medina from running again for office.
Among PLD partisan voters, Leonel Fernandez has 62% of voters’ preference, President Danilo Medina 17%; Vice President Margarita Cedeño 14%; National District senator Reinaldo Pared Pérez 1%, with 7% of those polled abstaining from answering. Among PRM followers, former PRM presidential candidate Luis Abinader had 74% of the preferences; National District Mayor David Collado 10%; Carolina Mejía 7%, her father, former President Hipólito Mejía 6%, and 2% did not answer.
75.4% of those polled said they are aware the present Constitution does not allow for President Danilo Medina to run for President in 2020. 77% of eligible voters are contrary to amending the 2015 Constitution so that President Danilo Medina can run for a third consecutive term. This compares to 71% that opposed the amendment in the Asisa March 2018 poll.
70% of those polled understand that the amending of the Constitution to accommodate President Danilo Medina’s aspirations to a third term would be negative for the country.
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Asisa Research
12 September 2018
