With 17 days to go before the Dominican Liberation Party (PLD) and the Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) hold their primaries on 6 October 2019, polls are continuously being released by the interested parties.
According to the Peruvian polling firm ABC Marketing, Fernández will defeat Castillo 44.9% to 35.7% in the primary election. But this is not certain since 19.4% said they had not yet decided who to vote for among the two. Castillo represents the Danilo Medina faction in the ruling political party. Fernández is a three-term former President.
For the PRM, the poll suggests Luis Abinader will grab 84.1% of the vote against his main contender, former President Hipólito Mejía.
According to the poll, Luis Abinader of the PRM leads in voter preference with 41.3%, followed by PLD pre-candidates former President Leonel Fernández (26.1%) and former Public Works Minister Gonzalo Castillo (15.4%). Neither has the 50%+1 vote needed to win in the first round election set for 17 May 2020.
The poll raised several scenarios of second-round elections, facing the candidates. If Abinader were to run against Fernández, 53.7% said they would vote for Abinader. If the election were Abinader and Castillo, Abinader would win with 58.6%.
The CID Latino América poll indicated the primaries could go either way between Gonzalo Castillo and Fernández. Luis Haug, regional manager for CID Latino America, said that when people were asked who they thought would win the PLD primary, 48% said Gonzalo Castillo and 45% said Leonel Fernández. 7% said they were undecided.
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19 September 2019