According to findings of the Gallup-Hoy poll, no political candidate alone has enough votes to reach the 50%+1 vote needed to win in a first round.
To the question: “If there were a second round for who would you vote?,” 53.3% of those polled for the Gallup-Hoy poll said they would vote for Luis Abinader of the Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM).
The ruling Dominican Liberation Party (PLD) candidate Gonzalo Castillo would receive 30.2% of the vote and former PLD president, Leonel Fernandez would receive 15.3% of the vote. Fernandez had aspired to be the PLD candidate but split to create the People’s Force Party after claiming fraud in the 6 October 2019 primary. Fernandez has been President of the Republic from 1996-2000, 2004-2008 and 2008-2012.
Gallup-Hoy asked eligible voters who they would vote for if the candidates in the second round election were Luis Abinader and Gonzalo Castillo. 58% said they would vote for the PRM candidate, and 36% for the PLD candidate.
In another scenario, if the candidates were Abinader and Leonel Fernandez, 57% said they would vote for Abinader and 31% for the People’s Force candidate.
In a third scenario where the candidates were Castillo and Fernandez, 45.3% said they would vote for Castillo and 37.8% for Fernandez.
The Gallup-Hoy poll was conducted from 16 to 21 January 2020, and has a confidence level of 95%. The margin of error is +/- 2.8%. 1,200 eligible voters were polled.
28 January 2020