Asisa polling company revealed on 25 September 2019 that 69.3% of those who say they will vote in the primary, would vote for former President Leonel Fernández and 29.4% for Gonzalo Castillo. Castillo is running for the followers of President Danilo Medina.
The primary of the ruling Dominican Liberation Party (PLD) will be on 6 October 2019. 60% of those interviewed said it was very probable or somewhat probable that they would vote in the primary. The PLD chose an open primary modality. This means any citizen eligible to vote in the 2020 general election is eligible to vote in the primary, regardless of political inclination.
The Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) will also be holding its primary on the same day, but this is only open to the vote of persons registered as party members. Of those, 18% said they were sure or probably sure to vote. Of these 79% said they would vote for Luis Abinader, 16% for Hipólito Mejía and 1% for Wellington Arnaud.
In the case that the May 2020 election Leonel Fernández of the PLD would run against Luis Abinader of the PRM, Fernández would win with 53% and Luis Abinader would get 36% of the vote.
Vice President Margarita Cedeño ranked best in favorability of leading politicians in the Asisa poll. She rated 58%, compared to 52% of pre-candidate President Leonel Fernández, 52% for pre-candidate Gonzalo Castillo. Hipólito Mejía has a 29% and Guillermo Moreno 21%.
The Dominican Constitution bans President Danilo Medina from running for the Presidency or Vice Presidency in the 2020 general election. While he is not a pre-candidate, Asisa rated him with 52% favorability rate.
The poll was carried out 21-23 September 2019 with a sample of 1,481 eligible voters.
26 September 2019