Mike Brennan, the head of the National Hurricane Center in Miami, says that although all of the forecasters have said that this season will be “almost normal” there is nothing really “normal” about hurricanes. He said that while “normal” sounds good if one is comparing things to previous seasons, there is nothing good about a normal hurricane season.
So far, the National Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has called for a 40% chance of a nearly normal hurricane season, a 30% chance that it will be normal, and a 30% chance that it will be below normal.
For those of us who live in the Caribbean, some good news is that the NHC has developed new modeling algorithms that will allow a 72-hour advance in predicting whether a system will become a tropical cyclone or not. In addition, forecasts will be extended to seven days, giving additional warning time to persons in the path of a storm. Take note, most NHC reports are focused on what could affect the United States.
Basic provisions that should be on hand in case of a hurricane warning are water, illumination (preferably not candles), and sustainable foodstuffs, non-refrigerated items, and a needed supply of medicines.
Each family should have an evacuation plan in place and personal documents on hand for safekeeping. DR1 provides up-to-the-minute information on hurricanes from the focus on what could affect the Dominican Republic.
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