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Thread: 2013, the Storms and the Fisherman in Paradise

  1. #21
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    Great maps as usual from wunderground.com

    Thanks for bringing to our attention, Mike...

    Have a few "greenies" today, ...

    Cordially,

    HB

    Moderator DR1.com

  2. #22
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    Stormwise it looks clear around the Isle for this weekend and the coming week.
    the models do not expect cyclonic activities before end of next week, the hotspots are the Gulf of Mexico and the Western Caribbean Sea, so the southshores more than here on the far East.
    been in santo domingo this morning, watching the caribbean Sea on my way, looks very nasty and dirty, the sign for a heck of rain that lately came down over the central mountains and the southern shores, so the rivers bring all that dirt down to the Sea, while here on the East nothing happened, the usual nighttime downpours, but nothing else.

    Mike

  3. #23
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    since today the Map of the national hurricane center is up and running again, from june 1st to november 30th 2013.
    the first sytem of the Atlantic Basin of the 2013 season is the remaints of former Paqcific Hurricane Barbara, which crossed Mexico and is located in the southern gulf of mexico in the Bay of Campeche.

    here i copy the Map, which will autoupdate every 6hrs.

    Mike


  4. #24
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    as awaited the early season activity starts in the western Caribbean Sea/Gulf of Mexico regions.
    since this morning we have the first caribbean disturbance up, located in the northwestern caribbean sea, walking slowly towards the Yucatan channel. chances for development are near zero, conditions are unfavorable in the area.
    the western caribbean sea and the southern gulf of mexico are actually the only areas where Disturbances can be expected to pop up.
    we are nice clear around our Island, here on the East we can await to pass all day long under blue clear skies with a low wind of just 5-7 knots out of the ESE'ern direction, gusts may reach 10 knots, all is quiet and ready for a perfect beachday here.

    Mike

  5. #25
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    our SAL(the dry Saharan Airmasses which hinder/bother storms to grow up/develop quick) is this season's beginning well down, the African Coastline is spawning watermasses out on the Atlantic, moisturing da Highway between Cap Verde and the Caribbean Islands. Seasurface temperatures are all around on the high side of the Stats, Windshear East of Us is in the mid-low range only and forecasted to stay down for the next days(the WS forecasts are not any reliable more than 3-4 days in advance). the same for the Caribbean Sea, moistured and very high Sea Surface Temps.

    Mike

  6. #26
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    nothing for our own hometurf, so let's show what's around elsewhere within the Atlantic Basin.
    as awaited the first system came up well west of Hispaniola, it formed in the western caribbean sea and moves into the gulf of mexico.
    designated Invest 91L, the first system of the Season for our region, is slowly moving northwards and will most likely not become a Storm, it may become a TD by Thursday as the max by the actual present conditions.
    but as so often, it is not the windpowers which are the big threat, it is the waterloads, and that's what is plentiful available in that system, Yucatan/Western Cuba and Southern Florida can expect up to 8 inches of watering during the next 3-4 days. a significant percentage of the System's Moisture been fed by formerly Pacific Cyclone Barbara, which left it's wet remaints over the Bay of Campeche in the souther Gulf, 91L just su.cked it up.

    nothing bad to await for our Island for the next days

    Mike

  7. #27
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    all clear around Paradise Island.

    invest 91L shows a bit or organization and seems to run by the shedule i showed on monday.
    it may become for a very short timeframe a TD later tomorrow/thursday, and will then walk over northern Florida, along coastal North Carolina and into Massachusets friday night/early sat morning. due not very favourable surrounding conditions on it's way for the next couple days the system has very short time frames to intensify into a storm/Tropical or Extratropical Storm, i see it very unlikely that it contains Tropical Storm powers when walking Massachusets, but it is a slight possibility. the system is small and built weak and unorganized, so even if it reaches the Name Status it will be for a short while, once over land it will go down quick, is is nothing of a resisting powerforce. until now it does not show any powers that would bring bad weather conditions over here to us as a result of 91L.

    looks all good for Hispaniola for the next days

    Mike

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  9. #28
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    Tropical Storm Andrea is up in the Gulf of Mexico, surprisingl˝y quick considering the surroundinh conditions, very quick.
    she is drifting northwards on no more than 3 mphr speed, so she will get some extra hours over water to intensify before walking Land.

    Mike

  10. #29
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    quiet a nice amount of water for Florida moving around


  11. #30
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    TS Andrea grew despite high windshear, dry air and expected unorganzed structure very well, in size and on her powers.
    latest data is from a Hurricane Hunter flight at 3AM last night and there will not be much updates before the next flight sheduled for 3PM this afternoon. landfall is expected for early evening today. she can be expected to run on the border of a strong TS/Weak Cat1 Cuclone on Landfall.
    this morning Florida faced a number of Tornadoes from Fort Lauderdale to Tampa Bay, with the Tampa Bay area the most prone to the buggers, there are several more to come during today, Florida will stay under Tornado alert for the whole day today.
    the mainthreat of Andrea is her heavy rains which will continue for at least 36 more hours.

    all quiet around our own Island and nothing expected to come up for the next days.

    Mike

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