Could any one imagine the following senario?
The Dominican Republic defaults on its loan, as a result the economic situation goes from bad to worse (so what's new). While the tourism breifly surges due to low labor costs, this does not offset the festering poverty of the majority as a result of this economic catastrophy. A candidate that supports land reform laws comes alone (i.e. Chaves like) that the poor support and the rich (or any one far beyond the starvation level ) hates.
The desperate need of the poor to survive (or be selfish, depending on your opinion) and the dire need of the rich land owners and others to retain thier wealth leads to political manipulation by bribes (by the rich) and political manipulation by death threats (by the poor) (I know this is a almost a charaticure, just trying to give an idea). Escalate into civil strife on the street, which then in turn leads to the US (or others with the same solution in mind), to land troops and prop up the party and candidate of the rich.
I could invent all kind of details, but to think we (or the DR) is above civil strife if things go from what they are now to worse . . . .
I mean, who could survive (of the poor) if the peso goes to 100 for 1 US$, any one with out a small plot of land will be starving, and if there is a default, there will be a whole lot of starving people here all at the same time.
Ok, maybe or I think this senario is exzagerated, but the core of the poor in the major cities, that have no land, will be motivated in this direction.
-Lee
The Dominican Republic defaults on its loan, as a result the economic situation goes from bad to worse (so what's new). While the tourism breifly surges due to low labor costs, this does not offset the festering poverty of the majority as a result of this economic catastrophy. A candidate that supports land reform laws comes alone (i.e. Chaves like) that the poor support and the rich (or any one far beyond the starvation level ) hates.
The desperate need of the poor to survive (or be selfish, depending on your opinion) and the dire need of the rich land owners and others to retain thier wealth leads to political manipulation by bribes (by the rich) and political manipulation by death threats (by the poor) (I know this is a almost a charaticure, just trying to give an idea). Escalate into civil strife on the street, which then in turn leads to the US (or others with the same solution in mind), to land troops and prop up the party and candidate of the rich.
I could invent all kind of details, but to think we (or the DR) is above civil strife if things go from what they are now to worse . . . .
I mean, who could survive (of the poor) if the peso goes to 100 for 1 US$, any one with out a small plot of land will be starving, and if there is a default, there will be a whole lot of starving people here all at the same time.
Ok, maybe or I think this senario is exzagerated, but the core of the poor in the major cities, that have no land, will be motivated in this direction.
-Lee