A Denunciation of Phase 2 Timing

william webster

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Government announces entry to phase 2 de-escalation starting tomorrow; contagion rate has flattened and lethality is one of the lowest

The Government has decided to continue with the de-escalation strategy "Living together with COVID-19 safely", entering stage 2 tomorrow, because the contagion rate has flattened and lethality are relatively low.

The announcement was made today by the Minister of the Presidency, Gustavo Montalvo, as coordinator of the High-Level Commission for the Prevention and Control of Coronavirus (COVID-19), who stressed that the collective sacrifice of recent months has it was worth it.

Authorized companies and number of workers

“In this new phase, micro-companies with between 1 and 10 employees will be able to work with all of their collaborators. For their part, small companies, with between 11 and 50 employees, will be able to incorporate 75% of their workers, while medium and large companies will be able to work with 50% of the staff. ”

He pointed out that the aforementioned percentages apply to sectors that previously did not have permission to work, since from the beginning an operation of agriculture, manufacturing industry, free zones, mining, essential trade, health, with a prudent number of workers was allowed.

"We remember that now the stores of the shopping malls will be able to remain open, but the food, games and recreation establishments will remain closed in order to avoid crowds."

Intercity transport buses and minibuses

In this context, he informed that the buses and minibuses of the interurban transport will be able to start their operations from tomorrow, using a maximum of 60% of the seats, always with distance between the passengers and following the corresponding protocols.

Movement of essential workers during curfew

Regarding the circulation permits for people during curfew hours, he clarified that "this exception only applies to employees of companies whose purpose is to work 24 hours, or that their night work is absolutely necessary."

The coordinator of the High Level Commission reiterated that the transport of cargo, goods and fuel can transit without the need to carry a permit.

He urged workers who need to apply for a permit to do so through their company on the coronavirusrd.gob.do page .

Churches will open with few people and only on Sundays

Another novelty of the second stage announced by the Minister of the Presidency was the authorization to the churches to open their doors, only on Sundays, with a reduced percentage of people.

“Always with a minimum of 2 meters of distance between each person, and following the protocols that will be published. In the case of Adventist churches and others that celebrate their services on Saturdays, they are allowed to start, with one religious service per week.

Result of measures adopted and patience of families

Minister Montalvo explained that the decision is the result of the measures adopted during the state of emergency and the patience and discipline of the Dominican families.

He stressed that, after 3 months of the first case in the country, the Dominican Republic is the second country in Latin America that has slowed the growth rate of the number of infected most.

"We have reduced the rate of natural transmission of the virus to more than half," he said, explaining that it is estimated that each infected person infects 2.5 more people, while in our country this basic number of reproduction is around 1.2.

Healthcare system

He estimated that, as of today, only 20% of the total available beds are being used.

"In the public network we have 2,595 beds available for COVID-19 patients and more than 430 in the private network. In the isolation centers we also have a capacity for 4,011 more people, if their use is necessary."

Similarly, he said that the country has more than 150 beds in intensive care units (ICUs) with ventilators available.

"Still, we are continuing to work intensively to increase the number and dozens of new fans will be installed in the coming weeks."

Regarding the management of positive cases of COVID 19, he pointed out that the case fatality rate is now 2.86%, one of the lowest in the region.

"Obviously, our desire is that no one should die, but we know that the global death rate is around 6%. Even high-income countries show case fatality rates much higher than the Dominican one. ”

It is not a time to relax, but to live responsibly with the COVID-19

He urged the population to maintain social and physical distancing measures, “because the virus has not disappeared. This is not the time to relax, it is the time to live responsibly with the COVID-19 ”.

“International experience already shows us the consequences that this can bring. Many countries have been forced to reverse the opening measures due to spikes in contagion ”.

Phase 3 would start next June 17 and stage 4, in July

He announced that phase 3 would start on June 17. At this stage, churches will be able to worship three times a week. And it will be until the fourth phase, which would begin in July, when airports, restaurants, gyms and other activities where a large number of people can gather will be reactivated.
 

william webster

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This article - sorry


Epidemiologist warns there were no conditions to move to the second phase of the de-escalation

Santo Domingo .- The government has the flag raised celebrating the success of containing the coronavirus in the first 14-day phase of the "de-escalation" and economic reactivation. However, the reality is different, according to an epidemiologist who has followed up on the pandemic.

Epidemiologist Carlos Feliz said that the pandemic remains active, that it has not been flattened, that citizens are not complying with measures such as social distancing and that the government is using the coronavirus politically in the face of the upcoming elections.

According to the specialist doctor, the bulletins reflect the figures that the health authorities want to be based on the perception of citizens and the country.

"The move to the second phase of the pandemic normalization process has not corresponded to the improvement of epidemiological variables, that is not true. The criterion that the epidemiological curve has been flattened by the measures that the government has implemented, according to the minister (Gustavo) Montalvo, is totally uninformed and does not correspond to the epidemiological reality, ”he observed.

He argued that the pandemic is in the country in its active stage, "it has not even reached its maximum peak, the epidemiological curve."

He said that the opening of the second phase does not respond to improvement of the epidemiological variables.

"There are constantly around 10 provinces here that are active in the case development period, with clinical manifestations," he noted.

He noted that this means that there is no decrease in the epidemiological curve.

"It is a political criterion, that is false. It is painful to go to a phase that from the epidemiological point of view, not all the conditions are in place, to generate a public image that we are doing well. ”

He assured that the figures offered by the Ministry of Health are managed. "Notice that in bulletin 75 there were 180 cases and today (this Wednesday) there are 288. And how is there flattening of the epidemiological curve if there are more cases each day in relation to the previous day?" He asked.

He added that the population does not comply with social isolation measures and gave as an example that concho cars do not comply.
 

Cdn_Gringo

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Apr 29, 2014
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That pretty much sums up the way I would be inclined to describe the current situation here in the DR and in many other countries. I didn't believe the infection rate numbers before and I trust them even less now. The DR is certainly playing a numbers game with only ~2000 tests per day and no one looking over their shoulder to confirm the number of tests or the results.
 

NanSanPedro

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Apr 12, 2019
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That pretty much sums up the way I would be inclined to describe the current situation here in the DR and in many other countries. I didn't believe the infection rate numbers before and I trust them even less now. The DR is certainly playing a numbers game with only ~2000 tests per day and no one looking over their shoulder to confirm the number of tests or the results.
But with so of the postives being asymptomatic, who cares? Are the hospitals nearing capacity? That is the only relevant question.
 
Sep 22, 2009
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This article - sorry


Epidemiologist warns there were no conditions to move to the second phase of the de-escalation

Santo Domingo .- The government has the flag raised celebrating the success of containing the coronavirus in the first 14-day phase of the "de-escalation" and economic reactivation. However, the reality is different, according to an epidemiologist who has followed up on the pandemic.

Epidemiologist Carlos Feliz said that the pandemic remains active, that it has not been flattened, that citizens are not complying with measures such as social distancing and that the government is using the coronavirus politically in the face of the upcoming elections.

According to the specialist doctor, the bulletins reflect the figures that the health authorities want to be based on the perception of citizens and the country.

"The move to the second phase of the pandemic normalization process has not corresponded to the improvement of epidemiological variables, that is not true. The criterion that the epidemiological curve has been flattened by the measures that the government has implemented, according to the minister (Gustavo) Montalvo, is totally uninformed and does not correspond to the epidemiological reality, ”he observed.

He argued that the pandemic is in the country in its active stage, "it has not even reached its maximum peak, the epidemiological curve."

He said that the opening of the second phase does not respond to improvement of the epidemiological variables.

"There are constantly around 10 provinces here that are active in the case development period, with clinical manifestations," he noted.

He noted that this means that there is no decrease in the epidemiological curve.

"It is a political criterion, that is false. It is painful to go to a phase that from the epidemiological point of view, not all the conditions are in place, to generate a public image that we are doing well. ”

He assured that the figures offered by the Ministry of Health are managed. "Notice that in bulletin 75 there were 180 cases and today (this Wednesday) there are 288. And how is there flattening of the epidemiological curve if there are more cases each day in relation to the previous day?" He asked.

He added that the population does not comply with social isolation measures and gave as an example that concho cars do not comply.
All day, Wx2! I think all those in the know are aware of the PLD fix. What's your position instead of blind repost of news headlines. You started with NYT this morning
 

william webster

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Jan 16, 2009
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I knew you'd like that one ....
fits in with an earlier post - another thread

PLUS
I agree w/ the thinking..... a mistake
I expect you do too....

Me and my shadow..... me/you
 
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william webster

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Cristo
that runs contrary to my posted article...
increasing cases daily..... and too much social interaction

nothing to do about it except 'wait & see'........... sad state of affairs
but at least we are out & about.... carefully I pray
 

windeguy

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People will only stay confined for so long. Is CV-19 gone? No, but witness the world and the DR. It only took a few cases to start what happened back in November of last year.

Get ready to surf the next wave.
 
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william webster

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It's the fear factor now..... Cristo is right

I posted a long time ago that theory...

once people get over their fear and learn how to cope..... they'll step out

again I say
You don't beat a pandemic.... you survive it
 

GusFring

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Apr 15, 2020
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People will only stay confined for so long. Is CV-19 gone? No, but witness the world and the DR. It only took a few cases to start what happened back in November of last year.

Get ready to surf the next wave.
One case caused the disaster that is still ongoing in San Francisco de Macoris.

One case. Not a few cases. So many people still do not understand this contagion.
 

CristoRey

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william webster

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Jan 16, 2009
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first paragraph-

The small countries of the Caribbean region slowly begin the reopening of economic activity and the relaxation of confinement while COVID-19 cases drop, which with few exceptions has not hit the area hard, compared to other parts of the world.
================================================================
unfortunately- we don't fall into that category

Midget islands have had less problems - easy to figure... less visitors/travelers

Had we had no visitors/travelers..... we'd be all smiles
 
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John Boyter

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Jun 10, 2008
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johnboyter.com
first paragraph-

The small countries of the Caribbean region slowly begin the reopening of economic activity and the relaxation of confinement while COVID-19 cases drop, which with few exceptions has not hit the area hard, compared to other parts of the world.
================================================================
unfortunately- we don't fall into that category

Midget islands have had less problems - easy to figure... less visitors/travelers

Had we had no visitors/travelers..... we'd be all smiles
I think they have more visitors relatively to their population size. They can easier contain it maybe. They have a head start. The DR will have to open up tourism in stages. It may be exaggerated the whole virus thing but the DR can’t appear to not take it serious. I hope they think about the long term. Apart from that more focus on health is not a bad thing.
 

william webster

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Jan 16, 2009
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Let's look at the Bahamas... several islands - a type of isolation..... less spreading as I see it

It's serious here.... and not seeming to respond to the efforts.... the people or the plan