it is a tropical wave west of Jamaica, moving towards Yucatan.
no very likely to form a tropical cyclone or such, but at least it will pretty sure damp a lot of rain on the anyways struggling Mexicans.
very early in the year, thou, activities in june are very rare.
just 4 formations at all since 1995, and only one of 'em made it to a stormstrength.
it has nothing to do with any changes of locations where tropical storms form up that this one is located down there in the western caribbean Sea, anyways since ever a birthplace for many tropical waves.
it is very early in the season, later on they can come up from everywhere.
the most common directions for tropical storms to head to is towards the north and towards the west, so their typical direction is a mix of that in most cases.
of course there are exceptions, we had huge and powerful exceptions moving towards SE.
but usually we should await to get the danger in from the east and south of our location.
here the warnings for expected formations during the next 48hrs show up, always actualized.
welcome to your first year on the Isle my friend.
here in the weather section of DR1 you will find the actual weather situation about anything brewing up somewhere near right away.
DR1 became over the years for me the best spot on the net to discuss actual and expected upcoming weather throu tropical storm season.
sat shots show very few amount of shara dust crossing the atlantic for this season, that dust is usually hindering the strengthening of forming storms,
but we will see what we are up to this year soon.
Mike