Peso Devaluation
To try and estimate with some factual data behind it would require running a regression on FX rates changes to election years, specifically those with changes in regimes, i mean government.
What I do believe though is that regardless of elections, with the amount of debt being taken on by the government, the peso will at some point devalue. I would say 40-45 would be a floor, but this range is not based on empirical data. The facts are irrefutable though, when a country loads up on debt in such a short amount of time, has high corruption, and limited natural resources with which to generate excess Revenue to pay down debt, the only place for the currency to go is down as the country strangles itself with higher taxes to try and pay down debt, while at the same time likely printing more money to cover bloated budgets. (i.e. inflation).
In simple terms, if the DR was personified, he/she would have poor credit, a crappy job being paid in deteriorating currency, no security, no savings, a huge mortgage, and personality disorder where he/she only does "good" at the tail end of 4 years and can't seem to learn from mistakes, that doing well for the people, does well for the country, and even does well for the corrupt crooks running it.
I would suggest holding a basket of currencies in order to hedge against peso devaluation. e.g. 33% US 33% EURO 33% Pesos if possible.
just my 2 cents.