hurricane season 2017

[MikeFisher]

How do you get it to function in color, such as cavok's posting? When I click on the link, it's in a generic grey and white.

to me the link of Matilda shows up in sufficient necessary colors.
and it show conditions right at the different locations.
cavok's link on the Onamet Page only shows the satelite Loops from NOAA,
they are good for general all around observations of changes,
but they are zero indicating any local conditions at specific areas,
like when you want to know about rain or Temps or wave activity at specific locations like
Punta Cana, Puerto Plata, Samana etc etc.
the moving shades on those loops do not mean there are clouds at specific locations,
and shown clouds do not mean it rains/shines or whatsoever.

Mike

 

[Matilda]

How do you get it to function in color, such as cavok's posting? When I click on the link, it's in a generic grey and white.

Loads of colour for me. You can click on what you want to see - wind, waves, temp, rain and all changes colour. The slider at the bottom gives you the date and time you want, you can zoom in on any town/place you want to, change centigrade to fahrenheit whatever.

https://www.windy.com/?19.450,-70.700,5

Matilda

 

[MikeFisher]

so that early Invest on the far Eastern Highway get's the doors open on a Free-Lane.
running below the 10"N makes it difficult for areas of disturbed weather to get the right Swing as a Tropical Power,
but in this case the position far South, barely above the 5"N margin, is what safed it from a early quick bye-bye.
No Swing, but down there it stays well away from the dry Saharn Air Layer and wanders a nice Wet pavement,
which should allow that the system continues to organize during teh next days.
also the Windshear, over all Hostile almost everywhere, is very low/favorable down there on the Southern Lane.
by the end of the weekend this could be a Tropical Power with a good swing once coming close to the 10"N,
fueled by actually unlimited high Octane Fuels/Moisture.
we will see how it develops the next days, see if it gets a chance to become a Storm
and how the actually very Hostile Windshear and moisture atmosphere over the Caribbean Sea shift/develop.
big Development from something wandering that far South is rare, but not impossible once climbing Northwards.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

if that disturbance out there would wander the highway just a hundred miles further north under the same surrounding conditions, I guess we would then see a so called Cape Verde Cyclone mid June this year.
but the far south position hinders a strong swing.
it wanders exactly on the open Lane(low windshear), a small path on the southern Highway.
now 1800 miles off the Windward Islands, it has around 1000 more miles under favorable windshear and in a moisture environment, passing south of the heavier areas of dry Saharan Airmasses.
the atmosphere will stay wet and the dry air should not be a problem when closing in towards the southernmost Windward Islands, but the windshear looks top ont the scale of Hostile against a Storm then there.
it will be interesting to observe how good it can get organized before that point of the Enemy's attack.
til now there are no indicators that it would shift more northwards, which would make it strong.
Monday Noon it should be at it's top point of powers and the windshear attack begin,
but that time scale can of course change a lot, depending on it's over all forward speed, which could slow down a lot.

no dangers out there for our hometurf.

Mike

 

[Natu]

My favorite time of the year finally started!!

 

[MikeFisher]

My favorite time of the year finally started!!

so you are a Sado-Maso??
high humidity with highest heat?
I love it warm with low winds and without the high humidity like we have it early Spring and then again late summer and Fall.
the full summer heat togeter with its high humidity,sweating even when sitting in the shade, Mom Nature could cut that out of the year's cycle and i would be perfectly fine with our tropical island climate.


Mike

 

[sanpedrogringo]

"high humidity with highest heat?"

That's what the beaches are for.

 

[MikeFisher]

TD2 came out of the Disturbance which wandered the far southern Lane of the Highway.
it is not a well running power machine, too far south for a full Swing,
but it is still running under favorable surroundings with low windshear, moistured atmosphere and high sea surface temps.
it is steaming on very fast/over 20mphr Westward towards the NE Shores of the Southamerican Continent/Southern Windward Islands.
an other 24 hrs and it will be under hostile windshear.
at the moment i don't think it will survive a Entry into the SE'ern Caribbean Sea due that high Windshear.
nothing else to watch out there, so we kep an eye on the strange southern lane walker.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

let's find out how much TD2 will struggle or not.
it is now starting to touch hostile grounds in case of windshear,
due that i would say it had it's peak time already this morning and should not grow further powers.
but all other conditions go more favorable for a Storm from now on,
the Sea Surface rising on the Path, the Atmosphere perfectly moistured, far away from the Shield of Saharan dry Air.
my best guess is that it will not manage to grow powers, max a weak TS and more likely just a TD.
as such wandering from the SE in the Caribbean Sea tracking W-WNW.
as a moisture fueled TD tacking the middle Lane of the Caribbean Sea steaming from E to West.
Betya this Wednesday we will encounter Xtreme Levels of HIgh Sea's out there.
the High Sea Dangers will have their most/full effects on the Eastshores from the Cape Southwards along Juanillo
and then all along our Southshores from Rafael de Yuma to Barahona.
ty up the Botas nicely and do not plan on any Boat Activities fo this Wednesday,
the Authotities sure will close anywatersports, at least they should.
Waves rolling along our shores will range somewhere 10-15ft with 20'ers as the Tops.
Wind should not be anything bad, around 15knots, Gust Tops could be 20Knots at some spots.
it will all pass very quick on wednesday, that TD2 is steaming on high speed, a F1 runner of stormy systems.
it's high forward speed is one of the reasons why it did not grow stronger.
so, under the line:
if you have boats or run water activities or live right on the Beach on the Southern Tip of the East or along the Southshores,
then Plan on a single Day Off this Wenesday, Ty up the boats tied and monitor the Wave Reports, as the High Sea's are the danger point of such System, not any wind powers or such.
Thursday we will all be back out fishing, IF the Authorities are smart enough to realize that it is long over an the Alerts should be lifted again, lol.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

the Hunters are fying their inestigation of TD2 now.
it is likely that it will be declared a TS, but nothing of concern.
it did not gain further powers since last night nor did the central pressure drop in the area.
a southern caribbean Sea wanderer which will bring strong waes to our shores, mainly the southshores, on Wednesday.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

all as awaited.
TD2 been declared Tropical Storm Bret.
Bret is approaching the Northshores of Venezuela,
scratching along that coastline on the southern Lane through the Caribbean Sea.
no changes on prior expected powers or directions.
all fine for lil Paradise.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

TS Brett is too close to Land to gain powers down there, Central Pressure already dropping.
the Storm already left the area of favorable windshear, running in neutral surroundings of 15-20mphr Windshear,
tonight it will enter the SE'ern corner of the Caribbean Sea and face hostile windshear of 30+mphrs, rising on the Path.
it is also on a very high forward speed, unfavorable for the growth of a Storm, running on around 25mphr forward.
it should look significantly weaker tomorrow morning already.

Mike

 

[sanpedrogringo]

You need to start a YouTube channel. Thanks for the updates. Great stuff.

 

[MikeFisher]

just a addy to my above post.
the "Red Cross" on the NOAA Advisory Map looks a bit misleading.
I locate the Center of circulation already over Land in NE'ern Venezuela, South of Port of Spain.
the "red cross" marks only the area where the heavier part of Thunderstorms are located.
with the Center over Land chances are slim for the Storm to keep up any stormy shape for long.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

now on the 11PM update the Maps show Brett where i located it, over Land.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

nothing new on Tropical Storm Bret this morning, it run's as expected.
the weak TS is scratching near the SA-Northshores through the southernmost Caribbean Sea from E to WWNW.
it will not come in vicinity of our hometurf.
it will be able to keep it's Tropical Storm Status for a max of 30-35 more hrs and going downwards then.
shortly after midnight tonight it should be straight south of the Mona Passage
and leave our territory's Lat 10-12hrs later, most likely already down to a TD by that time.
it's effects on our Isle will be a rising Sea Level late afternoon tomorrow, but i don't think anything significant will reach our shores.
the SE and S will get their Alerts out and kep small Crafts in Port, nothing else.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

I am surprised that TS Brett keeps it's powers up.
the heavym moistured Athmosphere over the Caribbean Sea and highest Sea Surface Temps
work better than the hostile high Windshear.
his proximity to the Southamerican Continent does not effect much
as the Storm carries it's powers away from the South.
while wandering south of our Soil eve the windshear is predicted to stay on the lower side for several hours,
so it is very likely that it stays a TS til it already passed our spae.
No change on dangers for our Isle,
it is not coming up to our Soil, we will all stay fine.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

a general Look on our Highway, the Big Cyclones Breeding Ground between Western Africa and the Caribbean.
we are only just past mid JUNE, but Boy are those conditions out there BadAzz stuff.
the northern and middle lanes are covered of our protecting SAL(dry Saharan Sanded Air), but density is on decline.
the southern lane is protection shield Free.
Sea Surface Temps are off the South of the Westafrican Coastline as hot as they are over here in the Caribbean Sea
and in all area on the whole Highway well over 26C, mostly over 27C.
Windshear as a protection shield is actually nowhere existent over the Highway, solely in The Caribbean Sea.
the whole southern lane, the Lesser Antilles Island Belt and the whole Caribbean Sea run under a heaviliest moistured Atmosphere.
Waves moving over the African Continent run South, pointing towards the south of the Highway.
What ever get's a Swing kicking in between 5-10"N on the Highway, will be right away interesting to watch
and enjoy a Free Lane of perfect Pavement.
looking forward to see those actual conditions out off our East changing soon, they are a open invitation.

Mike

 

[MikeFisher]

the heavy moistured areas leaving Africa for the southern Highway.

here's the Sat Shot from the European Sat this morning 11AM.
it shows what enteredd the southern Highway and what moisture moves behind on the southern Saharan Lanes.



Mike

 

[Natu]

Ok so the TS just ceased to exist. Like it dissapeared out of thin air and now its just the remnants.