hurricane season 2017

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caribmike

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Jul 9, 2009
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Where are the hourly position updates to be seen? When I open the NOAA site with the projection path last image is from 7:22 PM...
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
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Where are the hourly position updates to be seen? When I open the NOAA site with the projection path last image is from 7:22 PM...

no Images, only textures with the hoursly update about positioning and Heading and windforce and pressure data.
the Image only changes every 3hrs with the full detailed update.
also the Tracking forecast/Lines are changed only every 3 hrs with the full update.

Mike

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
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Hurricane Hugo wlaked straight over as a Cat3 in 1989.
Hurricane George in 1998 came flat through PR from E-W as a Cat2, with the well known straight hit into us some hours later.
in 1999 Hurricane Jose approached as aa Cat1 and passed over the PR Eastern Tip as a Cat3/4 from NE to SW, it was one of the weird tracking Hurricanes.
my personal first encounter with a tropical windy thing been in 1996 Hurricane Hortense.
it walked the Mona Passage from SE to NW scratching over Western PR on the way.

there is no historical data about such hit of such storm, and less nothing as of recent years (hey, it is good that we do not get such data every year newly updated) since the tracking works the way it is calculated todays, with data abotu all the different side factors of surroundin conditions present and predicted as it is done todays.

the Tracking Data Freaks will get a completely new set of Datastuff to feed into Tracking Runs for future Model Runs of Storms.

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
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newest update from 9:35PM;
as Hunters been/are with the Storm during the Landfall in Dominica:

Hurricane Maria Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
935 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017

...MARIA MAKES LANDFALL ON DOMINICA AS A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...

Radar data from Martinique and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft reports indicate that Maria made landfall on Dominica
around 915 PM AST (0115 UTC) with estimated winds of 160 MPH
(260 KM/H).

The next update will be the 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC) complete advisory
package.

SUMMARY OF 935 PM AST...0135 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 61.3W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM SE OF DOMINICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...924 MB...27.29 INCHES

Mike
 

ju10prd

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I know this isn't DR related but it is Maria related.

See what the Prime Minister of Dominica has just posted on his Facebook page as Maria's eye is just about to arrive on his country:

xmsys1.jpg
[/IMG]

Incredible...his roof went
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
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So it did not move up another bit north?

from 8PM til 9PM it did a 5 degrees turn towards the WEST.
those numbers are Degrees on a Compass.

0/360 Degrees is North.
90 Degrees is East.
180 Degrees is South.
270 Degrees is West.

315 Degrees is a exact NW Tracking.

Punta Cana is located West/270 Degrees of the Puerto Rican Northshores.

just as references, so numbers dont confuse.
sorry if i use them this way, to me they are the same as if someone on a street asks for a direction and you would tell him turn on the next corner to the Right.
for a Boater is is Degrees.

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
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I know this isn't DR related but it is Maria related.

See what the Prime Minister of Dominica has just posted on his Facebook page as Maria's eye is just about to arrive on his country:

xmsys1.jpg
[/IMG]

Incredible...his roof went

Motherfocker.
who cares about any house?
I just hope no human beeing been on the Island this evening,
because the Eye of Maria is at this moment completely in the middle of that small Island.
there should be a dead sentence for dumb Prime Ministers posting such Tweets.
such people are the reason why i dont trust Polititians, Lawyer nor the ones which we are not allowed to discuss here.

Mike
 

davetuna

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Jun 19, 2012
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Cabarete, Dominican Republic
newest update from 9:35PM;
as Hunters been/are with the Storm during the Landfall in Dominica:

Hurricane Maria Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
935 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017

...MARIA MAKES LANDFALL ON DOMINICA AS A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...

Radar data from Martinique and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft reports indicate that Maria made landfall on Dominica
around 915 PM AST (0115 UTC) with estimated winds of 160 MPH
(260 KM/H).

The next update will be the 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC) complete advisory
package.

SUMMARY OF 935 PM AST...0135 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 61.3W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM SE OF DOMINICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...924 MB...27.29 INCHES

Mike

sorry mike where is this info with degrees?
 
Feb 7, 2007
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Should I be freaking out?

I put a printed compass on the center of Maria on Windy page, and 295 degrees passed through El Cerro sector of Higuey...

I hope I am doing something wrong.
 

ju10prd

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Nov 19, 2014
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Motherfocker.
who cares about any house?
I just hope no human beeing been on the Island this evening,
because the Eye of Maria is at this moment completely in the middle of that small Island.
there should be a dead sentence for dumb Prime Ministers posting such Tweets.
such people are the reason why i dont trust Polititians, Lawyer nor the ones which we are not allowed to discuss here.

Mike

But it tells us, because his house would have been better than many, that another island is about to be wiped almost out with devastating consequences, and I do care about the people of Dominica, whoever they are, just like any other Caribbean community.

Politicians are just normal people in these small island communities.
 

dv8

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Sep 27, 2006
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i think couple of pages back mike said windy was not very reliable and does not update often enough with new data feed.
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,896
2,486
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Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
Should I be freaking out?

I put a printed compass on the center of Maria on Windy page, and 295 degrees passed through El Cerro sector of Higuey...

I hope I am doing something wrong.

sorry to say,
but you did that darn right.
but don't freak.
Maria will walk like a drunk over the Islands, they do not walk a straight line, never.
we have to see the over all general Heading.
to do so we need to watch the Heading for many ours to get a real Line to which it will stay close.
anyways,
this may change significantly into any direction.
we keep watching and hope that the focker of a prime minister of Dominica travels as his own pilot in his private plane and goes down over some kinda Shark Alley.

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,896
2,486
113
Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
darn, been kicked out here in the idle of the post and could not log back in.

here's the copy of what i typed before to the theme as i think it did not show up.

Degrees is degrees, even windy can't screw THAT up... :)

Lol.
they can not screw up any single degree,
BUT if the ""actual" position shown by Windy is not the real poistion,
then the correct Heading but starting from the wrong location will lead to a completely wrong Destination.
always and only use the NHC Data/DEtails on the NHC Maps with the exact NHC Positions(Long and Lat) at the SAME TIME provided by the NHC.
everything else will bring you just a Puzzle with pieces from different real puzzles, the pieces will not fit.

Mike
 

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
13,896
2,486
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Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
I've seen it on FB yesterday :D that is Mike's B-Day. I kept shut hoping not to distract him keeping us informed about Maria. :D

don't worry,
my 35th B-Day can not distract me from a good storm watch.
and i have a yesterday purchased fresh Gall of Brugal XV at my side, to stay focused, hehe.
so in case i start typing without any typo errors, then just stop reading me til after breakfast, lol.

Mike
 
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