important is the raise in total cases of dengue reported, not so much the death%.
why?
2015 shows to date a rise of almost 500 more cases than 2014 had for the same time period.
both years been a exceptionally dry period.
2014 reported to date around 4.300 cases, 2015 shows 4.800 cases so far, a rise of 11-12% on overall cases.
now the fatal ending % is higher in 2015, and it will get higher for the years to come,
because a vast mayority of fatal endings is Not on 1st timer patients, it is on repeating patients who get the hemorrhagic(sorry for my spelling) variation, which is the killer of the 4 known Dengue variations.
so we have every year more repeating patients, even if the over all number of dengue cases would not rise,
that's what brings the higher numbers.
HB's mentioned "number" shows that there may be a very big difference between "whats reported by MSP" and what really happens in clinics, not to mention some of the poorest areas whom may die without anybody checking for dengue as the real cause of dead.
HB,
one thing that i am curious about.
the cases, where the final cause of fatality, been for example the common IV overdose on infants/youngguns,
do such cases go into the stats as Dengue or are they not shown in the MSP's reports at all?
Mike