- Thread starter MikeFisher
- Start date
2014 Hurricane Season
- Status
It is pouring down rain in Santo Domingo. Has been for over an hour. Really heavy and solid. Not too much wind. But GREAT rain.
Bertha Moving Away From DR But More Rain Expected
From the 5 AM report of the National Hurricane Center.
THE CENTER OF BERTHA WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AS WELL THE TURKS AND CAICOS THROUGH
MONDAY.
From the 5 AM report of the National Hurricane Center.
THE CENTER OF BERTHA WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC THIS MORNING.
BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AS WELL THE TURKS AND CAICOS THROUGH
MONDAY.
We had a big thunderstorm during the night in the Colonial Zone and a good drenching. And I can hear some more thunder right now and the skies are black, so it looks like we're due some more in a few minutes. Bertha obviously likes it here.
My kids were in a concert in Zona Colonial last night which had to be canceled due to heavy winds, it had been raining since before midnight but that didn't stop their fun, they were drenched and having fun but sudden gusts of wind started knocking down signs and fixtures they used as props and the concert had to be cut short, it rained all night, just stopped raining now, I wish it would rain all day 
it appears, as usual, that the south coast is the wind/rain target.....
hard for the weather to climb over the altitude in the center of the island
hard for the weather to climb over the altitude in the center of the island
Post from Mike late last night, just saw it:
hi,
nothing happened overhere on the east, Bertha is an other no show on the list of stormies.
here's the actual update of mine, while Bertha is reaching right now the waters of Samana Bay over Sabana de la Mar.
----------------------
since around an hour or so we have much needed rain coming down softly, zero wind involved, just nice and refreshing wet here in Cabeza de Toro. according to some phonecalls it was raining much earlier and partly with some windgusts inHiguey, it was earlier also raining at Cap Cana which is very close where the center came ashore and it rained hard with a strong wind (nothing near any storm forces, just strong wind) in Boca de Yuma, where the center hit shore just a few miles away.
Bertha is still named Bertha and classified a Tropical Storm, the weather maps show it un bothered with 45mphr windspeeds, which i completely doubt that they existed during the last 7-8 hrs.
i can not imagine that any damage due wind or water will be reported, as simply nothing out of the ordinary happened, other than a rainy evening with maybe 15-18mphr winds at some isolated small areas, which is really nothing out of what usually could happen at any given day of the year without a named Storm involved.
right now the center is at Sabana de La Mar, a small town at the southern shores of Samana Bay, wandering over water then crossing the Bay of Samana continuing it's NW'ern tracking.
the unreal data shown about powers on the weathersites suggerates to me that no data been selected form the Storm late afternoon nor this evening, as it was clear that it will not make landfall on US american/PR soil it went uninteresting for those guys for the remainder of the day. i bet by first sunlight in the morning the hunters will place their dropsondes and collect data again, by mid morning the real powers should be shown.
good chances to reintensify again once it gets a bit of distance to our rough anti-stormy-terrain while walking the Bahamas, waters are warm up there, i don't know how the windshears are on the way to the american SE shores over the Bahamas. as a small sized storm Bertha could easily intensify quickly to a strong TS and even to a Cat1, depends what the surrounding conditions up there provide. a small sized storm is less likely to curve out on Sea as forecasted the last days, it would come closer to the mainland, a bigger sized storm and reaching higher up into the atmosphere would turn earlier North and then NorthEastwards out on open Sea for the Graveyard.
i hpe it will continue with that constant soft rain for a couple hours, but while typing this the sound of rain on the palmtrees in front of the windows gets smoother, so i fear it will stop any moment. on the radar is not much to see behind, the beach should be all dry in the morning, Ocean is supercalm/well calmer than the last couple days before the Storm, no wind around, tomorrow should be a very calm day, perfect for a beachday and also for a fantastic day of fishing. i will check early mrning and guess i will send the boats out fishing by mid morning. earlier would be impossible as our coastguard is always very slow taking off the red alerts, hence tomorrow's charters are planned to start mid morning instead of the usual early morning.
happy sunny travels
Mike
---------------------------------------
hi,
nothing happened overhere on the east, Bertha is an other no show on the list of stormies.
here's the actual update of mine, while Bertha is reaching right now the waters of Samana Bay over Sabana de la Mar.
----------------------
since around an hour or so we have much needed rain coming down softly, zero wind involved, just nice and refreshing wet here in Cabeza de Toro. according to some phonecalls it was raining much earlier and partly with some windgusts inHiguey, it was earlier also raining at Cap Cana which is very close where the center came ashore and it rained hard with a strong wind (nothing near any storm forces, just strong wind) in Boca de Yuma, where the center hit shore just a few miles away.
Bertha is still named Bertha and classified a Tropical Storm, the weather maps show it un bothered with 45mphr windspeeds, which i completely doubt that they existed during the last 7-8 hrs.
i can not imagine that any damage due wind or water will be reported, as simply nothing out of the ordinary happened, other than a rainy evening with maybe 15-18mphr winds at some isolated small areas, which is really nothing out of what usually could happen at any given day of the year without a named Storm involved.
right now the center is at Sabana de La Mar, a small town at the southern shores of Samana Bay, wandering over water then crossing the Bay of Samana continuing it's NW'ern tracking.
the unreal data shown about powers on the weathersites suggerates to me that no data been selected form the Storm late afternoon nor this evening, as it was clear that it will not make landfall on US american/PR soil it went uninteresting for those guys for the remainder of the day. i bet by first sunlight in the morning the hunters will place their dropsondes and collect data again, by mid morning the real powers should be shown.
good chances to reintensify again once it gets a bit of distance to our rough anti-stormy-terrain while walking the Bahamas, waters are warm up there, i don't know how the windshears are on the way to the american SE shores over the Bahamas. as a small sized storm Bertha could easily intensify quickly to a strong TS and even to a Cat1, depends what the surrounding conditions up there provide. a small sized storm is less likely to curve out on Sea as forecasted the last days, it would come closer to the mainland, a bigger sized storm and reaching higher up into the atmosphere would turn earlier North and then NorthEastwards out on open Sea for the Graveyard.
i hpe it will continue with that constant soft rain for a couple hours, but while typing this the sound of rain on the palmtrees in front of the windows gets smoother, so i fear it will stop any moment. on the radar is not much to see behind, the beach should be all dry in the morning, Ocean is supercalm/well calmer than the last couple days before the Storm, no wind around, tomorrow should be a very calm day, perfect for a beachday and also for a fantastic day of fishing. i will check early mrning and guess i will send the boats out fishing by mid morning. earlier would be impossible as our coastguard is always very slow taking off the red alerts, hence tomorrow's charters are planned to start mid morning instead of the usual early morning.
happy sunny travels
Mike
---------------------------------------
Looks like Bertha is going to bring rain after all....
....to North Wales where I'm sitting now
Heavy rains and wind forecast for sunday throughout Wales and central UK
....to North Wales where I'm sitting now
Heavy rains and wind forecast for sunday throughout Wales and central UK
INvest 96L - Heading for here? Saturday ?
It might be worth watching this one !
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area
of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands has become a little better organized during the past few
hours. Additional slow development of this system is possible during
the next day or two, and a tropical depression could form as the
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser
Antilles and into the Caribbean Sea. After that time, land
interaction could limit development potential over the weekend.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy
rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto
Rico, and the Virgin Islands on Thursday night and Friday. Interests
in those islands should closely monitor the progress of this system.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.
###################################
For here it would likely be around Saturday . Tracks are interesting and if a good forecast pass right over DR.
96L 2014: Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts | Weather Underground
Olly and the Team
It might be worth watching this one !
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area
of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands has become a little better organized during the past few
hours. Additional slow development of this system is possible during
the next day or two, and a tropical depression could form as the
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser
Antilles and into the Caribbean Sea. After that time, land
interaction could limit development potential over the weekend.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy
rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto
Rico, and the Virgin Islands on Thursday night and Friday. Interests
in those islands should closely monitor the progress of this system.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.
###################################
For here it would likely be around Saturday . Tracks are interesting and if a good forecast pass right over DR.
96L 2014: Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts | Weather Underground
Olly and the Team
- Status