Don't disagree that more tests are needed for a valid statistical analysis. However, I would think that the number hospitalized is what we should be concerned with. If those are level or are decreasing, then we are on the road to victory. I don't follow the numbers so I don't know what the trends are.
the numbers of hospitalized citizens will def rise for a while.
due the reopening, even that the government recommends citizens 60 years old and up and citizens with specific health conditions to continue with the "quedate en casa", more and more will be out and do their thing, many of those folks are part of the mirco business crowd, make money selling stuff on the streets, work small jobs to meet the needs to eat something everyday during normal times.
most families will not keep their grannies at home and take care about their food and needs.
and those are the ones who end as the hospitalized cases/numbers, not just due age, it is due the bad health conditions so many of that age group has.
so the hospitalization numbers will rise.
how much they rise will be one of the prime deciders about success or failure of a reopening phase for sure,
because if that number rises too steep, the end of the stat would be a colapse of the clinics, so restrictions would be tightened and the start of the next phase postponed, to avoid such colapse.
btw,
already yesterday many many businesses along the mainstreet here in Veron been opened.
today it looked like almost All businesses been reopened,
BUT today also the authorities been over some and reclosed.i hope they go the hard way to assure that people go in line with the rules.
who opens when not allowed or does not run by the given safety rules, should get his busines license revoked for at least a month right away.
otherwise before week's end this week we will have everything back to the old normal
and we would not need any infection statistics anymore, because the hospitals would colaps anyways by months end.
and such in the press then, THAT would be the sudden death for ourDR Tourism.