My two cents
I have made my opinions on this subject before in many other threads, but here is a different stroke:
1)Success in music is measured by international acclaim and sales.
2)Bachata has been winning the last two years in both categories.
3)The best and most active names internationally in the last two years have been bachata acts, like Aventura and Monchy and Alexandra. Dominican merengueros have not placed any songs or albums in the top Billboard hits this year and have barely matched the same success locally.
4)There is not a single merengue hit that has transcended this year and few will become classics. Many bachata songs have become classics already and continue to get airplay and popular play long after their original release.
5)Like it or not, Puerto Rican bands have done better in sales and positioning internationally. Grupo Mania and Elvis Crespo have sold more than any native acts and have won all the awards. They're smart enough to use our arrengement and composing talent and using innovative styles and presentations. Our merengue singers mostly look like goons(To?o, Krisspy) and dress up like "tigueres". Puerto Ricans present a very updated "pop" image, good looks and upscale videos. While people like Eddy Herrera have improved their image, it's too little too late, because these are aging acts. The new generation is a bunch of Dominican-Yorks and campesinos.
6)While Millie has stayed close, Olga Ta?on has been much more successful internationally and has broken the pop barrier, by succeeding with both merengue and pop. Her song "Asi es la Vida" proves she is better than Millie. Millie cannot crossover. She's is just a made-up campesina who is fat and outdated. While Olga is aging, she has aged more gracefully and has a mystique Millie lacks. Gisselle went the pop route and also succeeded.
7)Aventura will continue to dominate. Pochy's renewed life with "Amor de lejos" is just a local flash in the pan. Juan Luis Guerra will try with his new CD to bring merengue back to the top, but Aventura will be too much. JLG does not attract the young set. To?o has not recovered from his latest failures.The Rosarios have not gotten up. El Torito is just static and cannot match previous successes. Crooner Rubby Perez is just a local act. Fernandito is aging so badly, only the older generation sticks to him.
8)Just by sheer niumbers alone(more bands, more singers, more productions)bachata will stay ahead this year.
9)More people are beginning to feel bachata is a much better dance than merengue, which takes more creatitivity and style. Merengue has now become both a couples and individual dance, where dancers break away from each other to do other styles, like reggae, regetton and house music while they dance to a merengue tune. Bachata keeps the couple together. Women look gorgeous and stilish holding their men's neck with their hands and swinging their arms while dancing bachata and have created hundreds of steps and turns, unlike merengue has remained flat. There is even bachata fashion, which merengue lacks. Bachata owns the colmadones in DR, and that's where the action is. Merengueros are surviving on private parties and concerts. Otherwise all would be flat broke.
TW
TW