I would be very happy to not receive direct hit, each to their own
Best of luck to everyone in DR
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hurricane season 2017
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I would be very happy to not receive direct hit, each to their own
Best of luck to everyone in DR
Very un-scientific. On Google earth "measured" yesterday AM and it was around 400 miles wide not including outer bands. It is now 480 miles wide. Give or take? lol
Thanks for your words of wisdom, but they're a bit late. I'll let you know if I'm dead in 48 hours.
San Juan reported about 60mphr winds this afternoon.
getting dark on the eastern tip now, wind stays constantly on, rain is very near.
it is still only the farest out rainfields, nothing of real power nor any heavy stuff.
the next wave behind this actual one is then a part connected to the whole building named Irma.
it is now North of Estern Puerto Rico/Fajardo,
passing the PR northshores out over Sea.
Mike
getting dark on the eastern tip now, wind stays constantly on, rain is very near.
it is still only the farest out rainfields, nothing of real power nor any heavy stuff.
the next wave behind this actual one is then a part connected to the whole building named Irma.
it is now North of Estern Puerto Rico/Fajardo,
passing the PR northshores out over Sea.
Mike
I saw that. It was at 18.9 at 6pm, so it's still moving northward which is good. I hope it continues.
Aguadilla, the old Ramey AFB, is about 80 miles west of Irma right now. Here's the current METAR:
http://en.allmetsat.com/metar-taf/puerto-rico-lesser-antilles.php?icao=TJBQ
http://en.allmetsat.com/metar-taf/puerto-rico-lesser-antilles.php?icao=TJBQ
Something aint adding up. Cat 5 with radar(s) showing this thing as a monster
with 175mph winds and just 60mph winds reported in San Juan. Perhaps these
websites / American (fake) news stations are not telling the whole truth.
With the way things are outside right now here in Los Pepinos, Santiago one
would think there is no storm coming anywhere near here anytime soon.
Question to Mike F.....is this the inflow into the storm rather than storm pressure gradient wind? It has been like this for several hours.
Firstly the NHC cone is off the North Coast now and they therefore highly doubt that we will be hit by the powerful centre of the storm. And they indicate a track at least a 100km north of the nearest DR coast and if you refer to the models it would be even further away but for the UKMet which is a bit closer.
WW this may also help you relax a bit (admittedly earlier information):
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
Look at the circle at the bottom indicating the extent of hurricane force winds in nautical miles.....It suggests that the outer extent of hurricane force winds as it passes DR NC could be between 30 and 45nm (35 to 51 miles) out from centre based upon current storm set up. The current NHC track and weather models are suggesting the storm will track 60 to 70 miles north of DR or more.
I think we have dodged a bullet.
Thx Jul
I know the direct hit won't come but you're right,,,
How bad the wind is for me will be the question... and the rest of Cabrera.
Like the 3 Little Pigs -
Some of us have houses of straw, others have sticks and a few have bricks.
Anything under 100mph sounds good right about now....
hard to believe I'm asking for 100mph winds....
50mph will be better.... but may be out of the question
I know the direct hit won't come but you're right,,,
How bad the wind is for me will be the question... and the rest of Cabrera.
Like the 3 Little Pigs -
Some of us have houses of straw, others have sticks and a few have bricks.
Anything under 100mph sounds good right about now....
hard to believe I'm asking for 100mph winds....
50mph will be better.... but may be out of the question
This is the only functioning webcam in LT - it's in Playa Bonita about 2-3km from LT. I guess they forgot to remove it. Hope it's still around tomorrow morning:
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/dominican-republic/samana/las-terrenas/playa-bonita.html
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/dominican-republic/samana/las-terrenas/playa-bonita.html
Tell ya what I think, I think we've all just been had.
Can't trust the news these days.
A decently built house will withstand a Cat 1 (74 to 94mph) with cosmetic damage such as shingle and gutter damage, Cat 2 from 95mph is when a risk of structural damage to roof for example kicks in. The Cat 5 Barbuda and SXM had, can wipe the slate clean and apparently 90% of homes in Barbuda are demolished.
Based upon what I posted, it would appear that if nothing changes in the information used, you will not even get a Cat 1(74mph) and the information I have received from folks in a similar geographical position south (of a 185mph core incidentally), to what DR will be in tomorrow confirm this.
I am sure Canadians like UK folk living on the west coast are used to storm force gales at strengths higher than 74mph? Not nice but a decent built place handles it.
It is all speculation of course based upon current information and things can change
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