2020 Hurricane Season

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Dolores

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Ken said:
As usually happens, the projected track is slowly moving to the north, meaning the strongest winds are moving away from the Dominican Republic. Based on past history, by the time the storm gets to the latitude of Puerto Plata it is very likely to have moved off shore and likely curved toward the Bahamas

The 11 pm forecast and track projection will give us a better idea of what we might expect.

Rain is almost a sure bet and Sosua can use some.
Click to expand...

Ken... please check again.

2pm: 16.2N 64.7W
4pm: 16.3N 65.2W
5pm: 16.4N 65.6W

It is so big the whole island will be drenched, but seems to be doing more a Georges issue. When in 1998 we expected it to hit the north and it pulled into La Romana.
 
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cavok

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Ken said:
As usually happens, the projected track is slowly moving to the north, meaning the strongest winds are moving away from the Dominican Republic. Based on past history, by the time the storm gets to the latitude of Puerto Plata it is very likely to have moved off shore and likely curved toward the Bahamas

The 11 pm forecast and track projection will give us a better idea of what we might expect.

Rain is almost a sure bet and Sosua can use some.
Click to expand...
IF it tracks to the north of the DR, you could be right. So far, the track has been drifting slightly to the south and the NHC model shows it going right over the DR for now.
 
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flyinroom

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REMNANTS OF SARA

www.nhc.noaa.gov

If it stays off the southern coast of Puerto Rico...
All bets are off.
In my experience, their mountains tend to stand guard against these storms and send them ricocheting off to the north.
If the track stays well away from them, the D.R. loses its best defender.
I'm no expert.
But if I were in an exposed place, I would be taking serious precautions.
East for sure...
North or south?
Could be either, probably north, maybe south.
Don't forget what they say...
Better safe than sorry.
Geez.
I probably shouldn't say it but looking at all these maps and hurricane predictions gives me the heebie jeebies.
I keep waiting for someone to pullout the old black sharpie and attempt to impose their will on the masses.
Silly...right?
 
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Olly

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We have been watching this storm (S) and perhaps there will be Two - one going South of DR and one going North of PR both about TS strength. The computer models cannot handle that scenario and it would be unprecedented. However Twin Tornados occur so it is not impossible. Just an observation at present. Time will tell !

Olly ( no team this time)
 
El Rey de Mangu

El Rey de Mangu

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I'm in Samaná. I find it disturbing the national periodicals have been posting a 2 day old storm map. No tropical storm catagory yet. Idk but maybe it's going to be a fizzle, but sounds like it's being majorly downplayed in the MSM here.
 
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El Rey de Mangu

El Rey de Mangu

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Finally an admission of... Something
Fenómeno #9 lol. Like Mambo #5

Screenshot_20200729-202913.png
 
Drake

Drake

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Looks like its beginning now in Punta Cana. Any reports. SD has been a bit windy with no rain.
 
El Rey de Mangu

El Rey de Mangu

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Caonabo said:
Ms. Stapleton. She mentioned she was traveling back to RD. That should have shown within the response.
(I truly hope this isn't considered to be "noise".)
Click to expand...
In other news, Puerto Puta, Samaná MTS etc, alert yellow. Red áreas of the map are fire and brimstone

Screenshot_20200729-205205.png
 
Caonabo

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El Rey de Mangu said:
I'm in Samaná. I find it disturbing the national periodicals have been posting a 2 day old storm map. No tropical storm catagory yet. Idk but maybe it's going to be a fizzle, but sounds like it's being majorly downplayed in the MSM here.
Click to expand...

Or, is it being severely overplayed, as is most things in this year 2020?
We will have a better idea Friday morning/afternoon.
 
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