2021 Hurricane Season

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Olly

Bronze
Mar 12, 2007
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Above average season in 2021 forecast

The 2021 hurricane season starts on 1st June and is only one month away. In 2020 Tropical Storm Arthur was a strong early-season tropical storm that impacted the Bahamas and East Coast of the United States on 16th May 2020. This was the first of thirty-one depressions and thirty different named storms of the extremely active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season.

The latest forecast from Colorado State University predicts an above average season in 2021 because of a weak La Nina in the early part of the season and higher sea surface temperatures on the Atlantic. "According to dr. Phil Klotzbach, the Colorado State University (CSU) predicts 17 named storms for the Atlantic hurricane season 2021. That is 40 percent (5 named storms) more than an average hurricane season. Basically, all the parameters that are typically monitored during a hurricane season are likely to be above average this year. CSU predicts about 80 named storm days (35 % above average), 8 hurricanes (25 % above average), and 4 major hurricanes (48 % above average)."

Source :: https://www.severe-weather.eu/tropi...According to dr.,period between 1981 and 2010

In term of probabilities for at least one MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE tracking into the Caribbean (10-20°N, 88-60°W) is 58% - well above the average. (average for last century is 42%).

This year’s names for the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season include:

Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Elsa, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida,

Julian, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose,

Sam, Teresa, Victor and Wanda.

The Greek Alphabet will not be used this season.

Perhaps it is time to prepare for 2021 Hurricane Season!

Olly and the Team
 
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C

cavok

Silver
Jun 16, 2014
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I don't know about here, but prices for lumber are going through the roof in the US. One article I read said the price for a 3/4", 8'X4' sheet of plywood has gone from $35 to $95 in the past year. Boarding up your windows is going to be expensive.
 
PCMike

PCMike

Active member
Aug 30, 2008
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Every year about this time...same old same old...going to be a very active year. Then in July or August they mention an average to below average year.
 
MikeFisher

MikeFisher

The Fisherman/Weather Mod
Feb 28, 2006
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Punta Cana/DR
www.mikefisher.fun
cavok said:
I don't know about here, but prices for lumber are going through the roof in the US. One article I read said the price for a 3/4", 8'X4' sheet of plywood has gone from $35 to $95 in the past year. Boarding up your windows is going to be expensive.
Click to expand...
fock the lumber prices,
window crystal is dead cheap here.
let it break and fit in some nice new ones a day later.
 
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Sailor51

Sailor51

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Oct 30, 2018
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MikeFisher said:
fock the lumber prices,
window crystal is dead cheap here.
let it break and fit in some nice new ones a day later.
Click to expand...
Then perhaps you should buy that glass now? And a shop vac for those damp rugs.
 
Sailor51

Sailor51

Happy to still be here
Oct 30, 2018
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Had to check, Erigging has 300'X1inch @ $427.00 US. Don't know about shipping but sent them a query.
 
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Sailor51

Sailor51

Happy to still be here
Oct 30, 2018
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DR Solar said:
Please explain how this works for a hurricane,?
Click to expand...
In boating it's called ground tackle. Strong holding on those breezy days when on the hook, a.k.a anchorage.
So the boat stays where it was put.
 
D

DR Solar

Bronze
Nov 21, 2016
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Ok. Was confused that some trying to tie down house. Was not thinking about a boat.... that can relocate.
 
O

Olly

Bronze
Mar 12, 2007
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First Invest 90L 2021

The 2021 hurricane season is nearly upon us and it's already starting to make pre-official, start of the Atlantic Hurricane season just like Arthur in 2020!
From StormCarib :
90L has been designated for a closer look by the NHC as has been forecast in the last week or so by the long term genesis models. Located several hundred miles to the NE of Bermuda, it's forecast movement will be towards Bermuda with minimal impacts expected such as high waves, gusty winds and lashing rains but then is expected to pull back towards the NE with no threat to land masses while the shipping lanes will have a rough go.

This is not a tropical system but a potential sub tropical one with a large wind field, most thunderstorms and heavy convection displaced from the mainly cloud free "center" while being either warm or cold core. In essence, a hybrid of characteristics.

Tidbit: There is no such thing as a sub tropical hurricane for if their winds reach hurricane force, then that system would have evolved to become fully tropical.

That's it for now as breaktime is over. The first name on the board for this season is Ana. While it's a bit before the official start of the season, it's not too early to start preparations.

Be safe and prepared!

Thanks to Dave at Stormcarib.com

Olly and the Team
 
W

william webster

Platinum
Jan 16, 2009
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Reading some detail on this....

The reports/prognoses indicate that storms will be further north than other years
 
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