The Dominican national weather service has just said that they expect the hurricane to be a category 2 before it leaves the DR. The track has definitely shifted south and west of the forecast and so it is looking at lot worse for DR than previously thought.
- Thread starter Olly
- Start date
2022 Hurricane Season
- Status
I am 2 miles west of the airport. Not one blip in the electricity, although the internet has dropped a few times. Winds at this time are similar to when Maria passed. We can expect an increase in the middle of the night and early morning. As I have said all along, it is not the wind that is a concern. It is the rain. The further west she tracks, the higher the likelihood. Tomorrow could be a very wet day that makes us forget about the relatively dry blustery night we are having.
Looking at potential tracks on windy.com the eye will cross right over us in Cuidad la Palma around 3am. As that happens we will have dead calm winds and then I shift my daughters out of their room and they can finish the night in our bedroom, as the winds will come from the south.
Looking at potential tracks on windy.com the eye will cross right over us in Cuidad la Palma around 3am. As that happens we will have dead calm winds and then I shift my daughters out of their room and they can finish the night in our bedroom, as the winds will come from the south.
This is where the Storm was located by 8PM this evening, exactly at Mona Island.
And the Blue Dot I put to show where it is located NOW.
It did not move up northward not a single dot.
I just hope it will never go to any Northern direction, that would be the full blow.
When ever it will turn, that will mean a walk over land here on our SouthEast.
No matter it would come ashore in Yuma or Cap Cana, the devastation would be all over the wider area.
It did not get knocked down by the influence of PR Mountains so it will take a long time before it would get taken down some notches once our Mountains,
as the hard core stuff is Not in front of the Storm, it is what comes after the Center on the N/NE/E/SE and S of the Storm.
What we have now and will keep for a long while is just winds which can gust to TS Strength,
the stuff coming behind it's Center is the real stuff moving vehicles etc.
And the Blue Dot I put to show where it is located NOW.
It did not move up northward not a single dot.
I just hope it will never go to any Northern direction, that would be the full blow.
When ever it will turn, that will mean a walk over land here on our SouthEast.
No matter it would come ashore in Yuma or Cap Cana, the devastation would be all over the wider area.
It did not get knocked down by the influence of PR Mountains so it will take a long time before it would get taken down some notches once our Mountains,
as the hard core stuff is Not in front of the Storm, it is what comes after the Center on the N/NE/E/SE and S of the Storm.
What we have now and will keep for a long while is just winds which can gust to TS Strength,
the stuff coming behind it's Center is the real stuff moving vehicles etc.
WunderMap® | Interactive Weather Map and Radar | Weather Underground
Weather Underground’s WunderMap provides interactive weather and radar Maps for weather conditions for locations worldwide.
www.wunderground.com
As I see it, after just going through all the bands on NOAA, GOES i mage viewer, if it doesn't change course I see it following the southern coast of the DR. Boca de Yuma, Bayahibe, La Romana, San Pedro de Macoris. Moving due west with maybe a hint of NW??
The weather people forecast it will enter via La Altagracia (Higuey, Punta Cana), moving to El Seibo, Hato Mayor, possibly Samana... but forecasters say the storm needs to be closely monitored because there is no certainty. It also is a BIG storm with a long tail and we could be under five days of rains. It is moving slowly.
Last edited:
The storm is now changing path from NE to WNW so it will go little west closer to La Romana. At 8am or so, the eye will be over Samana with 90-95mph winds so it will not look pretty by then.
There is no real forecast for Fiona since the Storm went towards PR and did not cross but scratched along the PR South Westward.
And it still is moving West with a very light notch up North compared to the position 90 minutes ago.
This can go everywhere, from a Westward along our South to a NW over the East.
It is interacting with our higher terrains now and no Model nor any Forecaster ever got a forecast of how a storm changes when starting such.
We have to expect to feel it's powers everywhere, plain and simple.
It is a huge Storm which formed into a Hurricane while interacting with PR and which is growing powers even interacting with DR.
This will not be just a long weekend, we will be under the influence of it's wind now and it's rain later on for several more days to come.
By now at my place also the 2nd power grid went down, so no more lights here at home, but 4 good walls, a strong roof and no intention to go anywhere else than the ways between bedrooms, kitchen, bathroom and of course the beer fridge in the office, lol.
Stay home and safe everybody, but where ever on the Island you are, don't let your guards down, as there is no set direction nor arrival time set for anything.
This thing can turn at any moment anywhere.
As for the most likely way to go I see our own surroundings here as the most likely Path, a Landfall in the SE of DR anywhere between La Romana and Cabo Engaño.
On any way it will not be done very soon.
And it still is moving West with a very light notch up North compared to the position 90 minutes ago.
This can go everywhere, from a Westward along our South to a NW over the East.
It is interacting with our higher terrains now and no Model nor any Forecaster ever got a forecast of how a storm changes when starting such.
We have to expect to feel it's powers everywhere, plain and simple.
It is a huge Storm which formed into a Hurricane while interacting with PR and which is growing powers even interacting with DR.
This will not be just a long weekend, we will be under the influence of it's wind now and it's rain later on for several more days to come.
By now at my place also the 2nd power grid went down, so no more lights here at home, but 4 good walls, a strong roof and no intention to go anywhere else than the ways between bedrooms, kitchen, bathroom and of course the beer fridge in the office, lol.
Stay home and safe everybody, but where ever on the Island you are, don't let your guards down, as there is no set direction nor arrival time set for anything.
This thing can turn at any moment anywhere.
As for the most likely way to go I see our own surroundings here as the most likely Path, a Landfall in the SE of DR anywhere between La Romana and Cabo Engaño.
On any way it will not be done very soon.
Last edited:
I wish i could forecast something, but it is running under its own influences, no steering currents or High/Low pressure ridges to watch and then get a good guess on directions.
It is on its fight with our Landmass and no chance to do any math on it.
I will look on h radar again in an hour or so, but it is far feom the PR station, coverage will end soon feom there.
- Status