- Thread starter dv8
- Start date
hurricane season 2017
- Status
I'm assuming that power is out in Punta Cana / Cabeza del Toro ... since haven't been hearing from Mike. I might have to break down and load What's App on my phone to see if the group is active .
Mike just posted on WhatsApp. Sounds like things are still active there but under control.
We still invite you to our WhatsApp group
https://chat.whatsapp.com/Ld5SAuGk7ofCKCGdPjw2I5
We are now waiting for a 5 am update, the eye is now right north of Higuey. We have got strong winds and some rain here, power has been out since 5 pm in the afternoon.
The storm course is still 310 degrees and wind speeds 110 mph which till makes it Category 2. It has slowed down to forward movement of 9 mph since 11 pm bulletin. We will see what the situation is at 5 am with update at that time.
https://chat.whatsapp.com/Ld5SAuGk7ofCKCGdPjw2I5
We are now waiting for a 5 am update, the eye is now right north of Higuey. We have got strong winds and some rain here, power has been out since 5 pm in the afternoon.
The storm course is still 310 degrees and wind speeds 110 mph which till makes it Category 2. It has slowed down to forward movement of 9 mph since 11 pm bulletin. We will see what the situation is at 5 am with update at that time.
2am report
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/0300Z 19.2N 67.9W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 21/1200Z 19.9N 68.8W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 22/0000Z 21.0N 70.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 22/1200Z 22.3N 70.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 23/0000Z 23.7N 71.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 24/0000Z 26.8N 72.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 25/0000Z 29.5N 72.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 26/0000Z 32.0N 71.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
moving slowly if this is right
still not at 70W = RSJ
000
WTNT35 KNHC 210553
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 20A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
200 AM AST Thu Sep 21 2017
...MARIA REGAINS MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS NEAR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 68.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/0300Z 19.2N 67.9W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 21/1200Z 19.9N 68.8W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 22/0000Z 21.0N 70.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 22/1200Z 22.3N 70.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 23/0000Z 23.7N 71.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 24/0000Z 26.8N 72.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 25/0000Z 29.5N 72.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 26/0000Z 32.0N 71.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
moving slowly if this is right
still not at 70W = RSJ
000
WTNT35 KNHC 210553
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 20A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
200 AM AST Thu Sep 21 2017
...MARIA REGAINS MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS NEAR THE EASTERN DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 68.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
East of Sosua, ocean front/4:50AM. Woke up my normal 4AM. Maria is still around 145 miles east of me. I estimate that the center will be about 45 miles at it's closest point.
Wind has been more like a strong breeze and I thought of my sailing days that I would find this .... fun??? (so I'm a little strange) Not that much rain as of now. Not even a puddle. Short periods of gusts and harder rain that don't last long.
I went to generator last PM so I wouldn't have to worry about power going off/on/off/ sputter, fizzle, bang. Turned off the breaker but have a indicator light that shows that I was right. So the dogs are happily sleeping with the AC on. TV went out for awhile but that's back on. Too bad nothing to watch, as usual. (NOT watching BBC or CNN... Not!)
Some lighting but far away to my south. Can't hear any thunder but enough wind that it would make it difficult to hear anyway.
So all is good at this time. Second cup of coffee sounds good. Stay safe everyone.
Wind has been more like a strong breeze and I thought of my sailing days that I would find this .... fun??? (so I'm a little strange) Not that much rain as of now. Not even a puddle. Short periods of gusts and harder rain that don't last long.
I went to generator last PM so I wouldn't have to worry about power going off/on/off/ sputter, fizzle, bang. Turned off the breaker but have a indicator light that shows that I was right. So the dogs are happily sleeping with the AC on. TV went out for awhile but that's back on. Too bad nothing to watch, as usual. (NOT watching BBC or CNN... Not!)
Some lighting but far away to my south. Can't hear any thunder but enough wind that it would make it difficult to hear anyway.
So all is good at this time. Second cup of coffee sounds good. Stay safe everyone.
5 am update
BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
500 AM AST Thu Sep 21 2017
...MARIA CONTINUES TO LASH THE NORTHEASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 68.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM N OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM SE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
—---------------------------—--------------------------
Course changed from 310 to 315 degrees NW, which is good, Wind speed picking up from 110 to 115 mph, pressure same, same forward movement speed at 9 mph.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
500 AM AST Thu Sep 21 2017
...MARIA CONTINUES TO LASH THE NORTHEASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 68.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM N OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM SE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
—---------------------------—--------------------------
Course changed from 310 to 315 degrees NW, which is good, Wind speed picking up from 110 to 115 mph, pressure same, same forward movement speed at 9 mph.
NOT saying this is correct but a new images from satellite are impressive.
http://edition.cnn.com/interactive/...ail&utm_term=0_a4165679e3-56cc7a82d2-84657125
http://edition.cnn.com/interactive/...ail&utm_term=0_a4165679e3-56cc7a82d2-84657125
Still blowing quite hard in Punta Cana with strong rain at times. My carpentry skills have held up and we got only a bit of water filtering in. Im expecting to be without electricity for several days. Many downed posts and lines. Hotels should be ok but probably damages to thatched roofs in general. We'll see in a few hours I guess...
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Sent from my SM-G800M using Tapatalk
According to the satellite images I looked at the eye wall just about touched the northeast tip of the island. So I think its been a lot closer than some of these tracking paths indicate. It was supposed to leave Punta Cana by 2 am or so according to some accounts but still hitting there hard with rain and wind.
Yes it is ww. about 140 miles ESE. Looking at the satellite image is looks like the eye is around 60 miles across. So IF my rough measurements are anywhere close, that puts the POP/Sosua/Cab area very close to the southern eyewall. NOT good. I'm hoping that my rough measurements are very much off.
Oh well. Guess I'll make another pot of coffee and TRY to get the dogs to go out.
Oh well. Guess I'll make another pot of coffee and TRY to get the dogs to go out.
5am TV said 45 miles across...up from 30-35 in PR
So you're right
I calculate 100+miles offshore so it depends on the strength of the south side to see how badly it will hit
So you're right
I calculate 100+miles offshore so it depends on the strength of the south side to see how badly it will hit
Talked to Cabrera now.... nothing yet but wind picking up.
If northern swing continues it might get easier for them and the north coast
If northern swing continues it might get easier for them and the north coast
slow to arrive dv8.... but will linger
Pto Rico and PC still getting rain/wind.... hours later
Pto Rico and PC still getting rain/wind.... hours later
headings have improved = going north faster than last night , turn has started.
slower moving but moving away... larger eye (45 miles across =/-)
Cat 3
slower moving but moving away... larger eye (45 miles across =/-)
Cat 3
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