i bet Ike is a hurricane tomorrow evening,
it is growing fast,
til now the strongest with the biggest chances to come on our side of the atlantic as a major hurricane before he's even close to the eastern caribbean, he is reaching higher power much earlier(much more east from us) than all the others did, he will have a looong time to grow, but by actual conditions on his straight west course he will more likely get a northern drift and pass us far north, and in 'his' case i really hope so.
the 99L is the same kind, starting to suck in everything around at the moment it left the african continent, also running straight west, and compared to our side he is located more south than the others, a west course for some days and a slight usual NW drift later could bring that one very close, but til now the same not favorable conditions to do so like Ike, they MUST turn a bit more northernwards 24-48 hrs from now.
those formations over the african continent been on the satellites since a week, that's why i wrote sevral days ago we will get 3-4+ names on the screens at the same time during the next 2-3 weeks.
it is a real line up and no end in sight til end september, but that doesn't mean a thing as long as they don't get a straight western path, and they don't have that.
looking on the just passed month of august,
for myself my 14th august in punta cana,
working on the water, so that grap is vital for myself and my little business,
i have to say that in case of Punta Cana i passed the smoothest and quietest/calmest august in those 14 years. usually we have 1-2 times the Sea conditions fu.. up with rough Sea/strong winds 20-25 mphr that month, this year the friday of Fay been the only day we could not go fishing, on day and the prior night full of rain and strong winds(no stormwinds, just 30-35mphr heavy breeze), and this year started early with a lot of upcoming/bypassing formations.
sure i know that the south got it's huge share of water, but even with that in mind i would say we've been very lucky with the paths and some not so favorable conditions for the storms on their atlantic crossing way over here before they reached the eastern caribbean.
owuld Fay had favorable conditions on it's way west before hitting the east i may still not have a internet connection today to write about the calm august we passed over here.
btw,
how Hanna did finally effect the northcoast, did you guys get something out of it?
it is forecasted to go to the northwest,
but on the other hand it's actual course is still and since many hours a south southwest towards the passage between hispaniola and Cuba, i would assume you get or got some rain there, but don't know.
let's keep the info from all sides of the island coming.
nice eve
Mike