#1 is on the south of the Caribbean Sea moving westward,
no effects expected for Punta Cana.
#2 is a big rainload, at the moment around 500 miles east of the windward islands,
that will most likely enter the caribbean Sea on the northern point and bring rain to Puerto Rico, influence on Punta Cana can not be seen clear by now, it can change track direction and increase/decrease of formation unpredictably, late afternoon or tonight when closer to the Islands it may be clearer what way it wanna go.
# Lx is strengthening and now the 2nd tropical depression of the season for the Atlantic Basin, named Tropical Depression#2.
it is big and the pressure in it's center is just a bit over 1006mb, still dropping.
with a high pressure area on it's south and southwest but a favorable lowpressure area to it's northwest i my best guess is that this depression changes it's actual westward track in a day or two towards the northwest heading for open Atlantic waters, the so called Hurricane Graveyard.
in case of a way towards the island it would take at least 4 days from now to have influence on our area, but very unlikely.
surrounding there are favorable for development, the system is entering today 29C SST's, low presure to it's northwest to favore development, very low and still dropping windshear, but also a bit hindering dry Sahara air to it's north.
it is a slow moving big system, so we can lean back and watch what it is up to, thousands of kilometers away from us.
in case of a flight for august 14th or such,
nobody can tell the weather by now such far in advance.
actually there's nothing in vicinity what would hinder a flight or keep people from having a blast on a beach vacation.
the above in the text mentioned numbers(#1, #2, Lx) are from the 8AM update tuesday morning august 11th 2009.
the Map above updates automatically 8AM, 2PM, 8PM, 2AM),
so in case of any changes those numerations may switch/names may be given to formations etc.
the numerations are only accurate til 2PM august 11th.
Mike