good morning everybody.
let's enjoy the sunny weekend,
next weeek is school start for the kids, and that's not the only bad outlook for the same week.
2 bases loaded.
Depression #2 is back like awaited and gains powers quick.
it is a small system, now named TS/Tropical Storm Ana,
and it is by the 11AM updates today on a straight track towards the Islands.
we're in huricane season since a while, so i guess there's no need to recommend folks to stock up the fridges and fuel the generators.
it should be hurricane Ana by monday morning due to the now very favorable surrounding conditions, low near surface pressure on all the westwards track, til now no excessive windshear in sight, perfectly high SST's around the Isles. it will as a max reach a weak Cat 1 force.
the important point will be reached around early monday morning, weak storms tend to swift when hitting opposition like the landmass of the northern lesser antilles, a NNW track for monday afternoon and monday night is possible and would keep us out of any danger.
meeting point by actual track and forward speed would be Tuesday somewhere early morning/before noon.
Tropical Depression TD#3.
formerly Invest 90L is like awaited on the rise, i awaited it to be a TS before TD#2, but now the name Ana is taken, so it will be "Bill" chasing "Ana".
TD#3 is located more south of the track of Ana, also intensifying and it is wide spread, the potential for a big boy.
today TD#3 is running within a high pressure area, but will find the very favorable track over high SST's and low near surface pressure to it's WNW, in the foodsteps of Ana. the difference: when reaching the 14degreesN line it will be on a WNW track, while Ana is with just 550 miles of distance to the Isles on a straight westward course and fast.
TD#3 will not change directions as quick as Ana, it will be much wider and more powerful, i say it will pass the Islands, NE of the most northern Islands of the Lesser Antilles.
TD#3 is running 2 days behind Ana, that's very close, would be nice to see it sucking away powers from Ana on her eastern side.
PC is looking on a sunny weekend, and tomorrow there will be some interesting sat shots watching.
nothing to panic for,
the usual swift would be a pass 150miles east of Puerto Rico on a NW track with clouds, some rain and a strong Northeastern wind for PC mid week ahead.
that Lady should know what the usual behavior/track for her kind has to be.
Mike