Olly. If the power was out how did your friend post that report? Please have the team investigate further.
- Thread starter Olly
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2015 Hurricane Season
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Olly. If the power was out how did your friend post that report? Please have the team investigate further.
power was out here in Gazcue all day - which is very rare for Gazcue - considered to have power 24/7. But this post reminded me to plug in my rechargeable flashlights (and Kindles)
yesterday I had four bottles of water delivered.
(my mother always used to all me during hurricane watches in New England -- every hour a new admonition... my favorite was "fill the bathtub with water" which I would do here except there is no plug that fits... )
yesterday I had four bottles of water delivered.
(my mother always used to all me during hurricane watches in New England -- every hour a new admonition... my favorite was "fill the bathtub with water" which I would do here except there is no plug that fits... )
shyt,
sorryguys,
i typed a lengthy outlook for us before i left the house a few hrs ago, but it doesn't show.
don't know what i messed up, maybe i simply did not press da "send"button.
no need to resend it now, as such changes every few hours.
will take a look to get up to date and post it in a few.
Mike
sorryguys,
i typed a lengthy outlook for us before i left the house a few hrs ago, but it doesn't show.
don't know what i messed up, maybe i simply did not press da "send"button.
no need to resend it now, as such changes every few hours.
will take a look to get up to date and post it in a few.
Mike
Lays actual chips in a bag! We've only had bags of sour cream & onion in Cabrera for a couple of months so it is still a special treat over the usual queso blanco. But I agree, if I was getting storm chips in a tube, they would be Stacks.
Yeah Mike. Where the heck you been!!? I was wondering when are we going to get your report. Looks like a storm is brewing for Sanoa?
chips for stormwatch??
sound much too much american too me.
i prefer the good stuff,
with the weather maps on 2 screens,
a netflix movie on the 40"screen
(right now its Brother bar the Film, part one with the baby girls to get 'em sleepy, lol, both on my knees while trying to type, there come the typos fro this time of the early evening)
i have some nice beef stored and will prepare it with some bratkartoffeln,
while wife and nanny and the rest can prepare what ever they like for themselves, ands it darn sure contains rice and such stuff. why cant a storm justblow away that stuff, lol.
Mike
sound much too much american too me.
i prefer the good stuff,
with the weather maps on 2 screens,
a netflix movie on the 40"screen
(right now its Brother bar the Film, part one with the baby girls to get 'em sleepy, lol, both on my knees while trying to type, there come the typos fro this time of the early evening)
i have some nice beef stored and will prepare it with some bratkartoffeln,
while wife and nanny and the rest can prepare what ever they like for themselves, ands it darn sure contains rice and such stuff. why cant a storm justblow away that stuff, lol.
Mike
Looks like we are gonna have lots of rainfall over DR.. The windshear i believe is going to slow down the moving speed of the storm and the eye will be go just above the north coast of the island, which means that most of the rain will fall over DR territory, I believe.. Waiting for MikeFisher's opinion.
We had no power for 5 days after Hurricane Sandy hit NJ - posted and e-mailed with cellphone, and recharged it using car charger. Or maybe they have a generator?
My own baby girl still up watching a movie is the only thing preventing me from opening those storm chips now... as I know she'll just want to steal them all!
..And to be fair, it is drizzling out there now!
Yes, I too am looking forward to hearing Mike's opinion, as it looks like we up here in Cabrera could get hit quite hard from what I see, but I'm no storm tracking expert!
The cream and onion was gone in SD for about two months too, but is back since a few weeks. They make
me think of my second to one favorite flavor of Dutch lays chips (cheese and onion, paprika being first). Only issue is a bag is 60 euro cents there and about 3 euros here.
lol
we have gals and we love 'em more than the storm chips or what so ever.
the Baby slept in in front of the movie Brother Bear right away,
so now i only have my 4 years old princess on the left knee,
almost finishing her Kaba Choco.
doesn't look like she will get sleepy beore the 90 minutes movie ends,
so the forecast on that front is very likely keeping myself in the same position, not to move too much Daddy when typing, lol.
Mke
Erika does not bring surprises so far,
the outlooks been well accurate, the cone included the actual path since a couple days already.
it is a well azzkicked Tropical Storm which could have bad for ourselves, but it did miss to get the powers for that last night.
Erika is on the decreasing scale, rising presure and decreasing windforces, and all of that for most part on it's eastern side, away from our eastshores.
it will wander over SW Puerto Rico and get even more bothered due the touch with the very rough terrain of PR, it will have a killing impact on such weak and bad organized storm.
furthermore it wanders 5-15 miles off the DR Eastshores along the coast, almost parallel.
closest encounter with DRsoil here at Cabo Enga?o, just a few miles south of my home,
also very close or even over the Peninsula Samana.
along the northshores over water, but not far out.
there is always teh certainty of a few miles left or right on a map even on the short range outlooks,
it stays possible that the center will wander right over land along the East/PC, but "traditionally" they prefer to stay a few miles off the reefline, beautiful to watch from the veranda up here.
TS Erika carries almost all thunderstorm powers and heaviest rainfalls on it's NE, E and SE'ern Quadrants, which will give PR a hard time of floodings, but that neighbour is a always well prepared one and will hopefully deal with it without adding to the already existing death roll of Erika.
well over 12 inches of water during today been much more than that small Island of Domenica could safely handle.
PR gets their needed water and should stay fine with a couple days of flooded streets, without bringing the folks in danger.
what no model has a chance to count on/predict,
is how well inward or just a outside western scratch of a landfall EWrika will show on PR.
here a small difference of just a few miles make a huge difference or the further outcome, for when it visits Hispa?ola.
PR is a very rough terrain and a touchdown there should knock down the forward speed for hrs and will be "maybe" a huuge knock down on windforces.
again, a few miles differences on that landfall there, make a hige difference for US, to get a Tropical Storm or just a weak TD with some appreciated rainclouds.
Erika's portion, which ""could"" become troublesome for Hispa?ola, is the southern/SE'ern quadrant.
it is the one which will come close or over portions of the Island well after the Center passed such areas.
that portion contains at this moment the heavier thnderstorms and the most concentrated rainloads.
unless living on a riverbed or in a wooden shack, no portion of this storm will arrive in DR at any location hard enough to threaten your live or house.
people who use their brain and do not try to videotape stormwinds, will get the water which we pray for all year long and have some minor inconveniences like power outs as the small and reasonable bill to pay for it.
Erika does not contain any windforces which would bring danger to your house.
depending on your location, floodings will close some intersections or get some people's stuff wet,
WTF,
water means life and life is good.
we will stay on watch and see what happens once the center(that biach is switching center positions well more often than Chic changes his underwear) made landfall in Puerto Rico on the SW.
the way/exact location etc that happens, shows the very exact further path for the following 24hrs of that event, how it walks along my place here and then to you guys in Samana and along the northshores.
this stor will not recover any organization nor any kind of powers from now on, not as long as it is in vicinity of our soil,
it is very likely that it does not survive to "meet da nutheads of DR1 in DR" at all.
last girly also slept in now,
heck, why i typed all this shyt with one finger, as the left arm was filled with the lil princess.
Brother Bear stopped now in the middle, to be continued tomorrow evening, lol.
now daddy has both hands free to grab a drink
Mike
the outlooks been well accurate, the cone included the actual path since a couple days already.
it is a well azzkicked Tropical Storm which could have bad for ourselves, but it did miss to get the powers for that last night.
Erika is on the decreasing scale, rising presure and decreasing windforces, and all of that for most part on it's eastern side, away from our eastshores.
it will wander over SW Puerto Rico and get even more bothered due the touch with the very rough terrain of PR, it will have a killing impact on such weak and bad organized storm.
furthermore it wanders 5-15 miles off the DR Eastshores along the coast, almost parallel.
closest encounter with DRsoil here at Cabo Enga?o, just a few miles south of my home,
also very close or even over the Peninsula Samana.
along the northshores over water, but not far out.
there is always teh certainty of a few miles left or right on a map even on the short range outlooks,
it stays possible that the center will wander right over land along the East/PC, but "traditionally" they prefer to stay a few miles off the reefline, beautiful to watch from the veranda up here.
TS Erika carries almost all thunderstorm powers and heaviest rainfalls on it's NE, E and SE'ern Quadrants, which will give PR a hard time of floodings, but that neighbour is a always well prepared one and will hopefully deal with it without adding to the already existing death roll of Erika.
well over 12 inches of water during today been much more than that small Island of Domenica could safely handle.
PR gets their needed water and should stay fine with a couple days of flooded streets, without bringing the folks in danger.
what no model has a chance to count on/predict,
is how well inward or just a outside western scratch of a landfall EWrika will show on PR.
here a small difference of just a few miles make a huge difference or the further outcome, for when it visits Hispa?ola.
PR is a very rough terrain and a touchdown there should knock down the forward speed for hrs and will be "maybe" a huuge knock down on windforces.
again, a few miles differences on that landfall there, make a hige difference for US, to get a Tropical Storm or just a weak TD with some appreciated rainclouds.
Erika's portion, which ""could"" become troublesome for Hispa?ola, is the southern/SE'ern quadrant.
it is the one which will come close or over portions of the Island well after the Center passed such areas.
that portion contains at this moment the heavier thnderstorms and the most concentrated rainloads.
unless living on a riverbed or in a wooden shack, no portion of this storm will arrive in DR at any location hard enough to threaten your live or house.
people who use their brain and do not try to videotape stormwinds, will get the water which we pray for all year long and have some minor inconveniences like power outs as the small and reasonable bill to pay for it.
Erika does not contain any windforces which would bring danger to your house.
depending on your location, floodings will close some intersections or get some people's stuff wet,
WTF,
water means life and life is good.
we will stay on watch and see what happens once the center(that biach is switching center positions well more often than Chic changes his underwear) made landfall in Puerto Rico on the SW.
the way/exact location etc that happens, shows the very exact further path for the following 24hrs of that event, how it walks along my place here and then to you guys in Samana and along the northshores.
this stor will not recover any organization nor any kind of powers from now on, not as long as it is in vicinity of our soil,
it is very likely that it does not survive to "meet da nutheads of DR1 in DR" at all.
last girly also slept in now,
heck, why i typed all this shyt with one finger, as the left arm was filled with the lil princess.
Brother Bear stopped now in the middle, to be continued tomorrow evening, lol.
now daddy has both hands free to grab a drink
Mike
when you look on the tracking models,
for the now important short term outlooks,
"beklieve in the red lined one, the GFS Model,
it prooved since years to be the on the spot one for the next 24-48hrs,
even that anything after landfall in PR is pure speculation,
no model can take the real impact of that landfall into count, as really some few miles west or east on te hit would make a huge difference about "what is left and where it goes.
our low and mid level steering winds are pointing for the next 2 days towards WNW, so that's the direction Erika will wander.
they are stable and will not change during the time frame the storm is near ourselves.
the uppe level steering winds are out of question, Erika does not reach up high into the atmosphere, she is much too weak to get influenced by those.
Mike
for the now important short term outlooks,
"beklieve in the red lined one, the GFS Model,
it prooved since years to be the on the spot one for the next 24-48hrs,
even that anything after landfall in PR is pure speculation,
no model can take the real impact of that landfall into count, as really some few miles west or east on te hit would make a huge difference about "what is left and where it goes.
our low and mid level steering winds are pointing for the next 2 days towards WNW, so that's the direction Erika will wander.
they are stable and will not change during the time frame the storm is near ourselves.
the uppe level steering winds are out of question, Erika does not reach up high into the atmosphere, she is much too weak to get influenced by those.
Mike
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as long as it moves around the east/and approaching PR and the PC and Samana,
keep an eye on the San Juan Radar station,
it covers our eastern area well, even on the edge of the radar reach.
the yellow areas are the stuff which guarantees that we will not water any darn tree or flowers this weekend, they will get drunk automatically.
Mike
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=JUA&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
keep an eye on the San Juan Radar station,
it covers our eastern area well, even on the edge of the radar reach.
the yellow areas are the stuff which guarantees that we will not water any darn tree or flowers this weekend, they will get drunk automatically.
Mike
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=JUA&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
and it did an other jump with the center,
don't get surprised if your "tracking lines" show the storm again to have been "moved South".
it is now placed right at the corner of it's heavier Thunderstorm quadrants E and SE of the over all circulation.
a bad "trick" would be to change it in the middle of the eastern quadrants,
such would show a mid range Tropical Storm force, smaller on over all size,
better organized,
moving the same WNW tracking but form a more southern point on,
missing PR's SW and wandering to DR towards the SE shores.
but such is not forecasted.
just a thought of mine,
as it just moved that Center again towards the TS areas, to get rid of the windshear and dry air bothered NW'ern portions
Mike
don't get surprised if your "tracking lines" show the storm again to have been "moved South".
it is now placed right at the corner of it's heavier Thunderstorm quadrants E and SE of the over all circulation.
a bad "trick" would be to change it in the middle of the eastern quadrants,
such would show a mid range Tropical Storm force, smaller on over all size,
better organized,
moving the same WNW tracking but form a more southern point on,
missing PR's SW and wandering to DR towards the SE shores.
but such is not forecasted.
just a thought of mine,
as it just moved that Center again towards the TS areas, to get rid of the windshear and dry air bothered NW'ern portions
Mike
Samana City - Hard rain and small gusts
This is "old" news since I was not home to report. We had HEAVY rains from about 7:30-8:30pm then light rain from 9:00 pm dwindling to almost nothing now. We see the moon and some clouds.
This is "old" news since I was not home to report. We had HEAVY rains from about 7:30-8:30pm then light rain from 9:00 pm dwindling to almost nothing now. We see the moon and some clouds.
the farest outer bands, not really part of a storm, they are just i the swing of it and conatin maybe a couple clouds. it may rain a few minutes over your place, while your neighbour a block a way does not even realize a cloud in his vicinity.
you are in santo domingo,
at this moment by the actual outlooks, the farest away place in DR from Erika at any time.
wait til we report about the happenings here on te easternmost tip and on the further track from there on,
then you may get rain from Erika.
Mike
thats the way i do it, too.
start early, next day stock up again and enjoy it all for all weekend long.
if nothing happens,
who the fukc would care?
it's gooood
Mike
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